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Insider information and model uncertainty are two unavoidable problems for the portfolio selection theory in reality. This paper studies the robust optimal portfolio strategy for an investor who owns general insider information under model…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-07-11 Chao Yu , Yuhan Cheng

The paper is concerned with the equilibrium distributions of continuous-time density dependent Markov processes on the integers. These distributions are known typically to be approximately normal, and the approximation error, as measured in…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-02-06 Sanda N. Socoll , A. D. Barbour

Consider a surplus process which both of collected premium and payed claim size are two independent compound Poisson processes. This article derives two approximated formulas for the ruin probability of such surplus process, say double…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-20 Amir T. Payandeh Najafabadi , Dan Kucerovsky

We introduce polynomial processes in the sense of [8] in the context of stochastic portfolio theory to model simultaneously companies' market capitalizations and the corresponding market weights. These models substantially extend volatility…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-05-12 Christa Cuchiero

Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms have become powerful tools for Bayesian inference. However, they do not scale well to large-data problems. Divide-and-conquer strategies, which split the data into batches and, for each batch, run…

Computation · Statistics 2017-07-18 Christopher Nemeth , Chris Sherlock

We present a comprehensive discretization scheme for linear and nonlinear stochastic differential equations (SDEs) driven by either Brownian motions or $\alpha$-stable processes. Our approach utilizes compound Poisson particle…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-14 Xicheng Zhang

Stochastic processes find applications in modelling systems in a variety of disciplines. A large number of stochastic models considered are Markovian in nature. It is often observed that higher order Markov processes can model the data…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-04-13 Suryadeepto Nag

We present a numerical approximation technique for the analysis of continuous-time Markov chains that describe networks of biochemical reactions and play an important role in the stochastic modeling of biological systems. Our approach is…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2010-05-06 Thomas A. Henzinger , Maria Mateescu , Linar Mikeev , Verena Wolf

We propose a novel portfolio selection approach that manages to ease some of the problems that characterise standard expected utility maximisation. The optimal portfolio is no longer defined as the extremum of a suitably chosen utility…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-09-29 P. Rossi , M. Tavoni , F. Cocco , R. Marschinski

Sequential optimization methods are often confronted with the curse of dimensionality in high-dimensional spaces. Current approaches under the Gaussian process framework are still burdened by the computational complexity of tracking…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Zeji Yi , Yunyue Wei , Chu Xin Cheng , Kaibo He , Yanan Sui

In this paper we provide a valuation formula for different classes of actuarial and financial contracts which depend on a general loss process, by using the Malliavin calculus. In analogy with the celebrated Black-Scholes formula, we aim at…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-07-18 Caroline Hillairet , Ying Jiao , Anthony Réveillac

Although introduced in the case of Poisson random measures, the lent particle method applies as well in other situations. We study here the case of marked point processes. In this case the Malliavin calculus (here in the sense of Dirichlet…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-29 Nicolas Bouleau

We provide an overview of some recent techniques involving the Malliavin calculus of variations and the so-called ``Stein's method'' for the Gaussian approximations of probability distributions. Special attention is devoted to establishing…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-09-17 Ivan Nourdin , Giovanni Peccati

A Neyman-Scott process is a special case of a Cox process. The latent and observable stochastic processes are both Poisson processes. We consider a deep Neyman-Scott process in this paper, for which the building components of a network are…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-05-10 Chengkuan Hong , Christian R. Shelton

In this paper, the weak convergence of additive functionals of processes with locally independent increments and with Markov switching in the scheme of Poisson approximation is proved. For the relative compactness, a method proposed by R.…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-20 V. S. Koroliuk , N. Limnios , I. V. Samoilenko

The Markov Chain Monte Carlo method is the dominant paradigm for posterior computation in Bayesian analysis. It is common to control computation time by making approximations to the Markov transition kernel. Comparatively little attention…

Computation · Statistics 2017-08-30 James E. Johndrow , Jonathan C. Mattingly , Sayan Mukherjee , David Dunson

We explore two aspects of geometric approximation via a coupling approach to Stein's method. Firstly, we refine precision and increase scope for applications by convoluting the approximating geometric distribution with a simple translation…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Fraser Daly , Claude Lefèvre

This survey is a preliminary version of a chapter of the forthcoming book "Stochastic Analysis for Poisson Point Processes: Malliavin Calculus, Wiener-It\^o Chaos Expansions and Stochastic Geometry" edited by Giovanni Peccati and Matthias…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-05-20 Günter Last

Stochastic approximation is a framework unifying many random iterative algorithms occurring in a diverse range of applications. The stability of the process is often difficult to verify in practical applications and the process may even be…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-03-10 Christophe Andrieu , Matti Vihola

Despite the numerous applications that may be expeditiously modelled by counting processes, stochastic filtering strategies involving Poisson-type observations still remain somewhat poorly developed. In this work, we propose a Monte Carlo…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-07-09 Mamatha Venugopal , Ram Mohan Vasu , Debasish Roy