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In this article we introduce two new perfect simulation algorithms for chains with infinite memory. Both algorithms belong to the coupling of past procedures. The novelty of our approach is that it allows to include unknown states to the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-30 Emilio De Santis , Kádmo Laxa , Eva Löcherbach

Temporal networks allow representing connections between objects while incorporating the temporal dimension. While static network models can capture unchanging topological regularities, they often fail to model the effects associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Mathilde Perez , Raphaël Romero , Bo Kang , Tijl De Bie , Jefrey Lijffijt , Charlotte Laclau

As renewable energy integration, sector coupling, and spatiotemporal detail increase, energy system optimization models grow in size and complexity, often pushing solvers to their performance limits. This systematic review explores…

We prove a complete class theorem that characterizes \emph{all} stationary time reversible Markov processes whose finite dimensional marginal distributions (of all orders) are infinitely divisible. Aside from two degenerate cases (iid and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-01 Robert L Wolpert , Lawrence D. Brown

Big networks express various large-scale networks in many practical areas such as computer networks, internet of things, cloud computation, manufacturing systems, transportation networks, and healthcare systems. This paper analyzes such big…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-06 Quan-Lin Li

Order-preserving couplings are elegant tools for obtaining robust estimates of the time-dependent and stationary distributions of Markov processes that are too complex to be analyzed exactly. The starting point of this paper is to study…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-06-02 Lasse Leskelä

In this paper, we consider the sigmoid Gaussian Hawkes process model: the baseline intensity and triggering kernel of Hawkes process are both modeled as the sigmoid transformation of random trajectories drawn from Gaussian processes (GP).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Feng Zhou , Zhidong Li , Xuhui Fan , Yang Wang , Arcot Sowmya , Fang Chen

We consider the problem of learning the network of mutual excitations (i.e., the dependency graph) in a non-stationary, multivariate Hawkes process. We consider a general setting where baseline rates at each node are time-varying and delay…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Elchanan Mossel , Anirudh Sridhar

Discontinuous Galerkin methods are developed for solving the Vlasov-Maxwell system, methods that are designed to be systematically as accurate as one wants with provable conservation of mass and possibly total energy. Such properties in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Yingda Cheng , Irene M. Gamba , Fengyan Li , Philip J. Morrison

The Hawkes process is a simple point process, whose intensity function depends on the entire past history and is self-exciting and has the clustering property. The Hawkes process is in general non-Markovian. The linear Hawkes process has…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-04 Behzad Mehrdad , Lingjiong Zhu

This paper proposes an improved quasi-Newton penalty decomposition algorithm for the minimization of continuously differentiable functions, possibly nonconvex, over sparse symmetric sets. The method solves a sequence of penalty subproblems…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Ahmad Mousavi , Morteza Kimiaei , Saman Babaie-Kafaki , Vyacheslav Kungurtsev

We comment on some conceptual and and technical problems related to computational mechanics, point out some errors in several papers, and straighten out some wrong priority claims. We present explicitly the correct algorithm for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2018-04-09 Peter Grassberger

We build on a previous statistical model for distributed systems and formulate it in a way that the deterministic and stochastic processes within the system are clearly separable. We show how internal fluctuations can be analysed in a…

adap-org · Physics 2009-10-22 Iqbal Adjali , José-Luis Fernández-Villacañas , Michael Gell

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

Large-scale Gaussian process inference has long faced practical challenges due to time and space complexity that is superlinear in dataset size. While sparse variational Gaussian process models are capable of learning from large-scale data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-01-23 Ching-An Cheng , Byron Boots

System performance for networks composed of interconnected subsystems can be increased if the traditionally separated subsystems are jointly optimized. Recently, parallel and distributed optimization methods have emerged as a powerful tool…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2013-02-14 Ion Necoara , Valentin Nedelcu , Ioan Dumitrache

We review strategies for differentiating matrix-based computations, and derive symbolic and algorithmic update rules for differentiating expressions containing the Cholesky decomposition. We recommend new `blocked' algorithms, based on…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-25 Iain Murray

We propose a novel framework for modeling multiple multivariate point processes, each with heterogeneous event types that share an underlying space and obey the same generative mechanism. Focusing on Hawkes processes and their variants that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-05 Hongteng Xu , Dixin Luo , Hongyuan Zha

The simplest, and most common, stochastic model for population processes, including those from biochemistry and cell biology, are continuous time Markov chains. Simulation of such models is often relatively straightforward as there are…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-03-01 David F. Anderson , Masanori Koyama

We consider the problem of optimally designing a system for repeated use under uncertainty. We develop a modeling framework that integrates design and operational phases, which are represented by a mixed-integer program and discounted-cost…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-03-25 Seth Brown , Saumya Sinha , Andrew J Schaefer