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Deep neural networks (NNs) are known to lack uncertainty estimates and struggle to incorporate new data. We present a method that mitigates these issues by converting NNs from weight space to function space, via a dual parameterization.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-09-06 Aidan Scannell , Riccardo Mereu , Paul Chang , Ella Tamir , Joni Pajarinen , Arno Solin

Reliable predictive uncertainty estimation plays an important role in enabling the deployment of neural networks to safety-critical settings. A popular approach for estimating the predictive uncertainty of neural networks is to define a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-12-29 Tim G. J. Rudner , Zonghao Chen , Yee Whye Teh , Yarin Gal

In this work, we explore two classes of density dependent relativistic mean-field models, their predictions of proton fractions at high densities and neutron star structure. We have used a metamodelling approach to these relativistic…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2025-02-07 Prasanta Char , Chiranjib Mondal

The uncertainty quantifications of theoretical results are of great importance to make meaningful comparisons of those results with experimental data and to make predictions in experimentally unknown regions. By quantifying uncertainties,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2018-12-10 Sota Yoshida , Noritaka Shimizu , Tomoaki Togashi , Takaharu Otsuka

Statistical inference in high dimensional settings has recently attracted enormous attention within the literature. However, most published work focuses on the parametric linear regression problem. This paper considers an important…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-11-14 Qi Gao , Randy C. S. Lai , Thomas C. M. Lee , Yao Li

Time Series Foundation Models (TSFMs) have emerged as a promising approach for zero-shot financial forecasting, demonstrating strong transferability and data efficiency gains. However, their adoption in financial applications is hindered by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-16 Arundeep Chinta , Lucas Vinh Tran , Jay Katukuri

In this PhD thesis, we propose a novel framework for uncertainty quantification in machine learning, which is based on proper scores. Uncertainty quantification is an important cornerstone for trustworthy and reliable machine learning…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-26 Sebastian G. Gruber

Radio occultations are commonly used to assess remotely the thermodynamic properties of planets or satellites' atmospheres within the solar system. The data processing usually involves the so-called Abel inversion method or the numerical…

Earth and Planetary Astrophysics · Physics 2022-08-22 Adrien Bourgoin , Edoardo Gramigna , Marco Zannoni , Luis Gomez Casajus , Paolo Tortora

Nuclear density functional theory is the prevalent theoretical framework for accurately describing nuclear properties at the scale of the entire chart of nuclides. Given an energy functional and a many-body scheme (e.g., single- or…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-06-19 N. Schunck , J. O'Neal , M. Grosskopf , E. Lawrence , S. M. Wild

The nuclear charge density distribution plays an important role in nuclear physics and atomic physics. As one of the most frequently used models to obtain charge density distribution, the two-parameter fermi (2pF) model has been widely…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2024-04-17 Tian-Shuai Shang , Jian Li , Zhong-Ming Niu

We introduce a method for the estimation of uncertainties in density-functional-theory (DFT) calculations for atomistic systems. The method is based on the construction of an uncertainty-aware functional distribution (UAFD) in a space…

Materials Science · Physics 2025-07-14 Teitur Hansen , Jens Jørgen Mortensen , Thomas Bligaard , Karsten Wedel Jacobsen

Estimating how uncertain an AI system is in its predictions is important to improve the safety of such systems. Uncertainty in predictive can result from uncertainty in model parameters, irreducible data uncertainty and uncertainty due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-03 Andrey Malinin , Mark Gales

The interpretation of future precise experiments on atomic parity violation in terms of parameters of the Standard Model could be hampered by uncertainties in the atomic and nuclear structure. While the former can be overcome by measurement…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2008-11-26 B. Q. Chen , P. Vogel

Uncertainty quantification has become increasingly more prominent in nuclear physics over the past several years. In few-body reaction theory, there are four main sources that contribute to the uncertainties in the calculated observables:…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2020-12-17 A. E. Lovell , F. M. Nunes , M. Catacora-Rios , G. B. King

Neural networks predictions are unreliable when the input sample is out of the training distribution or corrupted by noise. Being able to detect such failures automatically is fundamental to integrate deep learning algorithms into robotics.…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-02-18 Antonio Loquercio , Mattia Segù , Davide Scaramuzza

We demonstrate that the matter density distribution in the surface region is determined well by the use of the relatively low-intensity beams that become available at the upcoming radioactive beam facilities. Following the method used in…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2009-11-07 Akihisa Kohama , Ryoichi Seki , Akito Arima , Shuhei Yamaji

Quantum state transfer protocols are a major toolkit in many quantum information processing tasks, from quantum key distribution to quantum computation. To assess performance of a such a protocol, one often relies on the average fidelity…

A substantial fraction of systematic uncertainties in neutrino oscillation experiments stem from the lack of precision in modeling the nuclear target in neutrino-nucleus interactions. Whilst this has driven significant progress in the…

High Energy Physics - Experiment · Physics 2025-01-15 J. Chakrani , S. Dolan , M. Buizza Avanzini , A. Ershova , L. Koch , K. McFarland , G. D. Megias , L. Munteanu , L. Pickering , K. Skwarczynski , V. Q. Nguyen , C. Wret

We review the basic definitions of the direct microscopic formalism (DMF) and the corresponding model code TRANSNU, to describe pre-equilibrium nuclear systems, as elements of the grand canonical ensemble. We analyze its inconsistencies,…

Nuclear Theory · Physics 2013-11-19 F. B. Guimaraes

A critical limitation of current methods based on Neural Radiance Fields (NeRF) is that they are unable to quantify the uncertainty associated with the learned appearance and geometry of the scene. This information is paramount in real…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-03-22 Jianxiong Shen , Antonio Agudo , Francesc Moreno-Noguer , Adria Ruiz