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We decompose the monthly cosmic-ray data, using several neutron monitor count rates, of Cycles 19-24 with principal component analysis (PCA). We show using different cycle limits that the first and second PC of cosmic-ray (CR) data explain…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-28 Jouni J. Takalo

The present paper reviews results derived from statistical studies on solar activity indices. The prolonged minimum phase of cycle 23 raised the question of peculiarities inherent in cycle 23. The most important solar activity index is the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-02-03 M. Temmer

Here we study the prediction of even and odd numbered sunspot cycles separately, thereby taking into account the Hale cyclicity of solar magnetism. We first show that the temporal evolution and shape of all sunspot cycles are extremely well…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-11 Timo Asikainen , Jani Mantere

We construct a new solar cycle phase clock which maps each of the last 18 solar cycles onto a single normalized epoch for the approximately 22 year Hale (magnetic polarity) cycle, using the Hilbert transform of daily sunspot numbers (SSN)…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-25 S. C. Chapman , S. W. McIntosh , R. J. Leamon , N. W. Watkins

We study the sunspot activity in relation to spotless days (SLDs) during the descending phase of solar cycle $11$--$24$ to predict the amplitude of sunspot cycle $25$. For this purpose, in addition to SLD, we also use the geomagnetic…

The data of sunspot numbers, sunspot areas and solar flare index during cycle 23 are analyzed to investigate the intermediate-term periodicities. Power spectral analysis has been performed separately for the data of the whole disk, northern…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-16 Bhuwan Joshi , P. Pant , P. K. Manoharan

We investigate the occurrence of the "extended solar cycle" (ESC) as it occurs in a host observational data spanning 140 years. Investigating coronal, chromospheric, photospheric and interior diagnostics we develop a consistent picture of…

Principal Components Analysis (PCA) and Independent Component Analysis (ICA) are used to identify global patterns in solar and space data. PCA seeks orthogonal modes of the two-point correlation matrix constructed from a data set. It…

Astrophysics · Physics 2009-11-13 A. C. Cadavid , J. K. Lawrence , A. Ruzmaikin

The Solar Cycle is reviewed. The 11-year cycle of solar activity is characterized by the rise and fall in the numbers and surface area of sunspots. A number of other solar activity indicators also vary in association with the sunspots…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-10-01 David H. Hathaway

The recent paucity of sunspots and the delay in the expected start of Solar Cycle 24 have drawn attention to the challenges involved in predicting solar activity. Traditional models of the solar cycle usually require information about the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2013-12-05 Mercedes T. Richards , Michael L. Rogers , Donald St. P. Richards

The use of the spotless days to predict the future solar activity is here revised based on the new version of the sunspot number index with a 24-month filter. Data from Solar Cycle (SC) 10 are considered because from this solar cycle the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-15 V. M. S. Carrasco , J. M. Vaquero , M. C. Gallego

We study the relationship between solar wind helium to hydrogen abundance ratio ($A_\mathrm{He}$), solar wind speed ($v_\mathrm{SW}$), and sunspot number (SSN) over solar cycles 23 and 24. This is the first full 22-year Hale cycle measured…

Space Physics · Physics 2019-07-01 B. L. Alterman , Justin C. Kasper

The flux of energetic particles originating from the Sun fluctuates during the solar cycles. It depends on the number and properties of Active Regions (ARs) present in a single day and associated solar activities, such as solar flares and…

We create a continuous series of daily and monthly hemispheric sunspot numbers (HSNs) from 1874 to 2020, which will be continuously expanded in the future with the HSNs provided by SILSO. Based on the available daily measurements of…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-01-06 Astrid M. Veronig , Shantanu Jain , Tatiana Podladchikova , Werner Poetzi , Frederic Clette

We use the principal component analysis (PCA) to study geomagnetic activity at annual resolution using a network of 26 magnetic stations in 1966-2015, and an extended network of 40 stations in 1980-2015. The first principal component (PC1)…

Space Physics · Physics 2018-08-22 Kalevi Mursula , Lauri Holappa

We analysed the combined data of sunspot groups from Greenwich Photoheliographic Results (GPR) during the period 1874-1976 and Debrecen Photoheliographic Data (DPD) during 1977-2017 and determined the monthly mean, annual mean, and 13-month…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-05-07 J. Javaraiah

Sunspot number (SSN) is an important - albeit nuanced - parameter that can be used as an indirect measure of solar activity. Predictions of upcoming active intervals, including the peak and timing of solar maximum can have important…

Space Physics · Physics 2023-05-31 Pete Riley

Solar and heliospheric parameters can depict notable differences between the northern and southern hemisphere. Although hemispheric asymmetries of some heliospheric parameters vary systematically with Hale cycle, this is not common for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-06-21 Kalevi Mursula

Through meticulous daily observation of the Sun's large-scale magnetic field the Wilcox Solar Observatory (WSO) has catalogued two magnetic (Hale) cycles of solar activity. Those two (~22-year long) Hale cycles have yielded four…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-09-15 Scott W. McIntosh , Phillip H. Scherrer , Leif Svalgaard , Robert J. Leamon

Analysis of over 36 years of time series data from the NSO/AFRL/Sac Peak K-line monitoring program elucidates five components of the variation of the seven measured chromospheric parameters: (a) the solar cycle (period ~ 11 years), (b)…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Jeffrey Scargle , Stephen Keil , Pete Worden
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