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Intent of this research is to explore how mathematical models, specifically Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model, can be utilized to forecast peak outbreak timeline of COVID-19 epidemic amongst a population of interest starting from the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-09-14 Amit Tewari

High-resolution large-eddy simulation (LES) is exploited to study indoor air turbulence and its effect on the dispersion of respiratory virus-laden aerosols and subsequent transmission risks. The methodology is applied to assess two…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-02-02 Mikko Auvinen , Joel Kuula , Tiia Grönholm , Matthias Sühring , Antti Hellsten

Widespread opinions and discussion exist regarding the efficiency of social distancing after crucial spread of the SARS-CoV-2 virus during the actual Covid-19 pandemic. While Germany has released a federal law that prohibits any type of…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-03-26 Franz-Josef Schmitt

The current SARS-CoV-2 pandemic is a harsh reminder of the fact that, whether in a single human host or a wave of infection across continents, viral dynamics is often a story about the numbers. In this snapshot, our aim is to provide a…

Other Quantitative Biology · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-01 Yinon M. Bar-On , Avi I. Flamholz , Rob Phillips , Ron Milo

In this study, the flow field around face masks was visualized and evaluated using computational fluid dynamics. The protective efficiency of face masks suppressing droplet infection owing to differences in the shape, medium, and doubling…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2022-03-23 Keiji Onishi , Akiyoshi Iida , Masashi Yamakawa , Makoto Tsubokura

From footpaths to flight routes, human mobility networks facilitate the spread of communicable diseases. Control and elimination efforts depend on characterizing these networks in terms of connections and flux rates of individuals between…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-01-29 Kyle B Gustafson , Basil S. Bayati , Philip A. Eckhoff

We investigate, through a fractional mathematical model, the effects of physical distance on the SARS-CoV-2 virus transmission. Two controls are considered in our model for eradication of the spread of COVID-19: media education, through…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-03-02 Samia Bushnaq , Tareq Saeed , Delfim F. M. Torres , Anwar Zeb

The world is suffering from a pandemic called COVID-19, caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus. National governments have problems evaluating the reach of the epidemic, due to having limited resources and tests at their disposal. This problem is…

We propose a mathematical model with five compartments for the SARS-CoV-2 transmission: susceptible $S$, undetected infected asymptomatic $A$, undetected infected symptomatic $I$, confirmed positive and isolated $L$, and recovered $ R$, for…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-29 Gabriela Marinoschi

Recent study reported that an aerosolised virus (COVID-19) can survive in the air for a few hours. It is highly possible that people get infected with the disease by breathing and contact with items contaminated by the aerosolised virus.…

Medical Physics · Physics 2021-05-05 J. Zheng , X. Wu , F. Fang , J. Li , Z. Wang , H. Xiao , J. Zhu , C. C. Pain , P. F. Linden , B. Xiang

Waiting in a line (or a queue) is an important, often unavoidable social interaction that occurs frequently in public spaces. Despite its wide prevalence and rich parametric variability, few studies have addressed the risks of airborne…

In this work we propose the design principles of a stochastic graph-based model for the simulation of SARS-CoV-2 transmission. The proposed approach incorporates three sub-models, namely, the spatial model, the mobility model, and the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-11-11 Christos Chondros , Stavros D. Nikolopoulos , Iosif Polenakis

In a metapopulation network, infectious diseases spread widely because of the travel of individuals. In the present study, we consider a modified metapopulation Susceptible-Infected-Removed (SIR) model with a latent period, which we call…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-08-02 Kazue Kudo , Kanako Mizuno

Human speech is often accompanied by hand and arm gestures. Given audio speech input, we generate plausible gestures to go along with the sound. Specifically, we perform cross-modal translation from "in-the-wild'' monologue speech of a…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2019-06-11 Shiry Ginosar , Amir Bar , Gefen Kohavi , Caroline Chan , Andrew Owens , Jitendra Malik

In recent years, it became clear that super-spreader events play an important role, particularly in the spread of airborne infections. We investigate a novel model for super-spreader events, not based on a heterogeneous contact graph but on…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-04-13 Johannes Müller , Volker Hösel

In real social networks, person-to-person interactions are known to be heterogeneous, which can affect the way a disease spreads through a population, reaches a tipping point in the fraction of infected individuals, and becomes an epidemic.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-05-12 Ignacio A. Perez , Paul A. Trunfio , Cristian E. La Rocca , Lidia A. Braunstein

Statistical physicists have long studied systems where the variable of interest spans many orders of magnitude, the classic example is the relaxation times of glassy materials, which are often found to follow power laws. A power-law…

Physics and Society · Physics 2024-10-07 Richard P. Sear

The present work shows that it is possible to analytically solve a general model to explain the transmission dynamics of SARS-CoV-2. First, the within-host model is described, and later a between-host model, where the coupling between them…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-07 Raul Isea

Could the microdroplets formed by viscoelastic stretching and break-up of mucosal liquids in the upper respiratory tract (URT), when inhaled further downwind, explain the brisk pace at which deep lung infections emerge following onset of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2025-04-29 Saikat Basu

In March of 2020, many U.S. state governments encouraged or mandated restrictions on social interactions to slow the spread of COVID-19, the disease caused by the novel coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 that has spread to nearly 180 countries.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-04-22 Parker Liautaud , Peter Huybers , Mauricio Santillana