English
Related papers

Related papers: AlphaEvolve: A Learning Framework to Discover Nove…

200 papers

Stable distributions provide a flexible framework for modeling heavy-tailed and skewed data, with the stability index $\alpha$ quantifying tail heaviness. We propose a new semiparametric estimator for $\alpha$ that leverages the two-sum…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-19 Cornelis J. Potgieter , Jacques van Appel , Sudharshan Samaratunga

The intricate behavior patterns of financial markets are influenced by fundamental, technical, and psychological factors. During times of high volatility and regime shifts causes many traditional strategies like trend-following or…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-28 Varun Narayan Kannan Pillai , Akshay Ajith , Sumesh K J

Randomized Uphill Climbing is a lightweight, stochastic search heuristic that has delivered state of the art equity alpha factors for quantitative hedge funds. I propose to generalize RUC into a model agnostic feature optimization framework…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Nguyen Van Thanh

Signal decay and regime shifts pose recurring challenges for data-driven investment strategies in non-stationary markets. Conventional time-series and machine learning approaches, which rely primarily on historical correlations, often…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-30 Zuoyou Jiang , Li Zhao , Rui Sun , Ruohan Sun , Zhongjian Li , Jing Li , Daxin Jiang , Zuo Bai , Cheng Hua

Automating machine learning has achieved remarkable technological developments in recent years, and building an automated machine learning pipeline is now an essential task. The model ensemble is the technique of combining multiple models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-21 Yunpu Zhao , Rui Zhang , Xiaqing Li

This paper investigates how Large Language Models (LLMs) from leading providers (OpenAI, Google, Anthropic, DeepSeek, and xAI) can be applied to quantitative sector-based portfolio construction. We use LLMs to identify investable universes…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Alina Voronina , Oleksandr Romanko , Ruiwen Cao , Roy H. Kwon , Rafael Mendoza-Arriaga

We have entered a new era of machine learning (ML), where the most accurate algorithm with superior predictive power may not even be deployable, unless it is admissible under the regulatory constraints. This has led to great interest in…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-08-23 Subhadeep Mukhopadhyay

Generating asset-specific trading signals based on the financial conditions of the assets is one of the challenging problems in automated trading. Various asset trading rules are proposed experimentally based on different technical analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-10-28 Mehran Taghian , Ahmad Asadi , Reza Safabakhsh

Statistics and Optimization are foundational to modern Machine Learning. Here, we propose an alternative foundation based on Abstract Algebra, with mathematics that facilitates the analysis of learning. In this approach, the goal of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Fernando Martin-Maroto , Nabil Abderrahaman , David Mendez , Gonzalo G. de Polavieja

This paper introduces a novel methodology for index return forecasting, blending highly correlated stock prices, advanced deep learning techniques, and intricate factor integration. Departing from conventional cap-weighted approaches, our…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-05-06 Tian Tian , Ricky Cooper , Jiahao Deng , Qingquan Zhang

We propose a novel machine learning approach for forecasting the distribution of stock returns using a rich set of firm-level and market predictors. Our method combines a two-stage quantile neural network with spline interpolation to…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-08-05 Jozef Barunik , Martin Hronec , Ondrej Tobek

Natural language processing (NLP) has been widely used in quantitative finance, but traditional methods often struggle to capture rich narratives in corporate disclosures, leaving potentially informative signals under-explored. Large…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Chanyeol Choi , Yoon Kim , Yu Yu , Young Cha , V. Zach Golkhou , Igor Halperin , Georgios Papaioannou , Minkyu Kim , Zhangyang Wang , Jihoon Kwon , Minjae Kim , Alejandro Lopez-Lira , Yongjae Lee

Sparse additive models have attracted much attention in high-dimensional data analysis due to their flexible representation and strong interpretability. However, most existing models are limited to single-level learning under the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-23 Xuelin Zhang , Xinyue Liu , Lingjuan Wu , Hong Chen

Atlas-type models are constant-parameter models of uncorrelated stocks for equity markets with a stable capital distribution, in which the growth rates and variances depend on rank. The simplest such model assigns the same, constant…

Probability · Mathematics 2008-12-10 Adrian D. Banner , Robert Fernholz , Ioannis Karatzas

Recent advances in large language models (LLMs) have enabled breakthroughs in mathematical discovery, exemplified by AlphaEvolve, a closed-source system that evolves programs to improve bounds on open problems. However, it relies on…

Efficient radar resource allocation is a fundamental yet computationally challenging problem, as optimal solutions typically require iterative optimization with high complexity. Motivated by the need for real-time scheduling, robust…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-05-05 Zhenkang Hou , Wenqiang Pu , Junkun Yan , Rui Zhou , Hongwei Liu

Stock return forecasting is a major component of numerous finance applications. Predicted stock returns can be incorporated into portfolio trading algorithms to make informed buy or sell decisions which can optimize returns. In such…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-23 Zimeng Lyu , Amulya Saxena , Rohaan Nadeem , Hao Zhang , Travis Desell

We find economically and statistically significant gains when using machine learning for portfolio allocation between the market index and risk-free asset. Optimal portfolio rules for time-varying expected returns and volatility are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

Thanks to the high potential for profit, trading has become increasingly attractive to investors as the cryptocurrency and stock markets rapidly expand. However, because financial markets are intricate and dynamic, accurately predicting…

We introduce a novel approach to options trading strategies using a highly scalable and data-driven machine learning algorithm. In contrast to traditional approaches that often require specifications of underlying market dynamics or…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-11-22 Wee Ling Tan , Stephen Roberts , Stefan Zohren