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This paper considers the problem of optimizing the average tracking error for an elliptic partial differential equation with an uncertain lognormal diffusion coefficient. In particular, the application of the multilevel quasi-Monte Carlo…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-09-30 Philipp A. Guth , Andreas Van Barel

This paper investigates a novel a-posteriori variance reduction approach in Monte Carlo image synthesis. Unlike most established methods based on lateral filtering in the image space, our proposition is to produce the best possible estimate…

Graphics · Computer Science 2019-06-04 Oskar Elek , Manu M. Thomas , Angus Forbes

Randomized quasi-Monte Carlo (RQMC) sampling can bring orders of magnitude reduction in variance compared to plain Monte Carlo (MC) sampling. The extent of the efficiency gain varies from problem to problem and can be hard to predict. This…

Computation · Statistics 2017-06-26 Art B. Owen

Multifidelity Monte Carlo methods often rely on a preprocessing phase consisting of standard Monte Carlo sampling to estimate correlation coefficients between models of different fidelity to determine the weights and number of samples for…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-06-29 Todd A. Oliver , Christopher S. Simmons , Robert D. Moser

Adaptive Monte Carlo methods are very efficient techniques designed to tune simulation estimators on-line. In this work, we present an alternative to stochastic approximation to tune the optimal change of measure in the context of…

Probability · Mathematics 2009-10-23 Benjamin Jourdain , Jérôme Lelong

Techniques for evaluating the normalization integral of the target density for Markov Chain Monte Carlo algorithms are described and tested numerically. It is assumed that the Markov Chain algorithm has converged to the target distribution…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-10-30 Allen Caldwell , Chang Liu

The problem of sampling constrained continuous distributions has frequently appeared in many machine/statistical learning models. Many Monte Carlo Markov Chain (MCMC) sampling methods have been adapted to handle different types of…

Computation · Statistics 2023-02-21 Shiwei Lan , Lulu Kang

We apply diffusion quantum Monte Carlo (DMC) to a broad set of solids, benchmarking the method by comparing bulk structural properties (equilibrium volume and bulk modulus) to experiment and DFT based theories. The test set includes…

Materials Science · Physics 2015-06-17 Luke Shulenburger , Thomas R. Mattsson

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is a state of the art method for sampling from distributions with differentiable densities, but can converge slowly when applied to challenging multimodal problems. Running HMC with a time varying Hamiltonian,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-26 Reuben Cohn-Gordon , Uroš Seljak , Dries Sels

We consider quantile estimation using Markov chain Monte Carlo and establish conditions under which the sampling distribution of the Monte Carlo error is approximately Normal. Further, we investigate techniques to estimate the associated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-20 Charles Doss , James M. Flegal , Galin L. Jones , Ronald C. Neath

For a long time, people have been focusing on how to extract more information, such as off-diagonal observables, from the quantum Monte Carlo (QMC) simulation of the partition function, but there have been numerous difficulties, and many of…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2026-03-13 Zhiyan Wang , Zhe Wang , Bin-Bin Mao , Zheng Yan

Many questions in quantitative finance, uncertainty quantification, and other disciplines are answered by computing the population mean, $\mu := \mathbb{E}(Y)$, where instances of $Y:=f(\boldsymbol{X})$ may be generated by numerical…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-02-07 Fred J. Hickernell , Nathan Kirk , Aleksei G. Sorokin

Rejection Sampling is a fundamental Monte-Carlo method. It is used to sample from distributions admitting a probability density function which can be evaluated exactly at any given point, albeit at a high computational cost. However,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-10-23 Juliette Achdou , Joseph C. Lam , Alexandra Carpentier , Gilles Blanchard

In the this paper, the authors propose to estimate the density of a targeted population with a weighted kernel density estimator (wKDE) based on a weighted sample. Bandwidth selection for wKDE is discussed. Three mean integrated squared…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-11-28 Bin Wang , Xiaofeng Wang

Density estimation is a crucial component of many machine learning methods, and manifold learning in particular, where geometry is to be constructed from data alone. A significant practical limitation of the current density estimation…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2016-01-06 Tyrus Berry , Timothy Sauer

Uncertainty quantification (UQ) includes the characterization, integration, and propagation of uncertainties that result from stochastic variations and a lack of knowledge or data in the natural world. Monte Carlo (MC) method is a…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-11-03 Jiaxin Zhang

This paper addresses the complexity reduction of stochastic homogenisation of a class of random materials for a stationary diffusion equation. A cost-efficient approximation of the correctors is built using a method designed to exploit…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Quentin Ayoul-Guilmard , Anthony Nouy , Christophe Binetruy

In Bayesian inference, we seek to compute information about random variables such as moments or quantiles on the basis of {available data} and prior information. When the distribution of random variables is {intractable}, Monte Carlo (MC)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-06 Alec Koppel , Amrit Singh Bedi , Brian M. Sadler , Victor Elvira

Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for sampling probability density functions (combined with abundant computational resources) have transformed the sciences, especially in performing probabilistic inferences, or fitting models to data.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2018-05-23 David W. Hogg , Daniel Foreman-Mackey

The goal of this article is to introduce the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) method -- a Hamiltonian dynamics-inspired algorithm for sampling from a Gibbs density $\pi(x) \propto e^{-f(x)}$. We focus on the "idealized" case, where one can…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Nisheeth K. Vishnoi
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