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Misspecifications (i.e. errors on the parameters) of state space models lead to incorrect inference of the hidden states. This paper studies weakly nonlin-ear state space models with additive Gaussian noises and proposes a method for…

Applications · Statistics 2017-04-04 Salima El Kolei , Frédéric Patras

This paper considers the general signal detection and parameter estimation problem in the presence of colored Gaussian noise disturbance. By modeling the disturbance with an autoregressive process, we present three signal detectors with…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-07-29 Bo Tang , Haibo He , Steven Kay

This paper presents a robust fixed lag smoother for a class of nonlinear uncertain systems. A unified scheme, which combines a nonlinear robust estimator with a stable fixed lag smoother, is presented to improve the error covariance of the…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2013-09-10 Obaid Ur Rehman , Ian R. Petersen

Designing resilient control strategies for mitigating stealthy attacks is a crucial task in emerging cyber-physical systems. In the design of anomaly detectors, it is common to assume Gaussian noise models to maintain tractability; however,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-09-30 Venkatraman Renganathan , Navid Hashemi , Justin Ruths , Tyler H. Summers

Conventional predictive Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) commonly employ deterministic weight matrices; therefore, their prediction is a point estimate. Such a deterministic nature in ANNs causes the limitations of using ANNs for medical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-02 Minhyeok Lee , Junhee Seok

Anomaly detection has the potential to discover new physics in unexplored regions of the data. However, choosing the best anomaly detector for a given data set in a model-agnostic way is an important challenge which has hitherto largely…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2026-01-27 Marie Hein , Gregor Kasieczka , Michael Krämer , Louis Moureaux , Alexander Mück , David Shih

Multiplicative noise arises in inverse problems when, for example, uncertainty on measurements is proportional to the size of the measurement itself. The likelihood that arises is hence more complicated than that from additive noise. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-11-01 Matthew M. Dunlop

A general many quantiles + noise model is studied in the robust formulation (allowing non-normal, non-independent observations), where the identifiability requirement for the noise is formulated in terms of quantiles rather than the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-11-21 Eduard Belitser , Paulo Serra , Alexandra Vegelien

Hacking and false data injection from adversaries can threaten power grids' everyday operations and cause significant economic loss. Anomaly detection in power grids aims to detect and discriminate anomalies caused by cyber attacks against…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-14 Xijuan Sun , Di Wu , Arnaud Zinflou , Benoit Boulet

We consider the problem of estimating the state of a noisy linear dynamical system when an unknown subset of sensors is arbitrarily corrupted by an adversary. We propose a secure state estimation algorithm, and derive (optimal) bounds on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Shaunak Mishra , Yasser Shoukry , Nikhil Karamchandani , Suhas Diggavi , Paulo Tabuada

Standard deep learning methods, such as Ensemble Models, Bayesian Neural Networks and Quantile Regression Models provide estimates to prediction uncertainties for data-driven deep learning models. However, they can be limited in their…

This paper deals with the noise identification of a linear time-varying stochastic dynamic system described by the state-space model. In particular, the stress is laid on the design of the correlation measurement difference method for…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-12 Oliver Kost , Jindrich Dunik , Ivo Puncochar , Ondrej Straka

This paper describes the use of neural networks to enhance simulations for subsequent training of anomaly-detection systems. Simulations can provide edge conditions for anomaly detection which may be sparse or non-existent in real-world…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2020-11-06 Philip Feldman

In systems identification, the studied phenomena are accompanied by uncertainties, whether arising from measurement data or computational calculations. Interval data provides a valuable way to represent available information on complex…

This paper addresses the problem of estimating multiplicative fault signals in linear time-invariant systems by processing its input and output variables, as well as designing an input signal to maximize the accuracy of such estimates. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-07-01 Gabriel de Albuquerque Gleizer , Peyman Mohajerin Esfahani , Tamas Keviczky

Power system state estimation is being faced with different types of anomalies. These might include bad data caused by gross measurement errors or communication system failures. Sudden changes in load or generation can be considered as…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-08-11 Sajjad Asefi , Mile Mitrovic , Dragan Ćetenović , Victor Levi , Elena Gryazina , Vladimir Terzija

Despite decades of research and recent progress in adaptive control and reinforcement learning, there remains a fundamental lack of understanding in designing controllers that provide robustness to inherent non-asymptotic uncertainties…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-13 Benjamin Gravell , Tyler Summers

Multiplicative noise models are often used instead of additive noise models in cases in which the noise variance depends on the state. Furthermore, when Poisson distributions with relatively small counts are approximated with normal…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Ruanui Nicholson , Jari P. Kaipio

Alternators have recently been introduced as a framework for modeling time-dependent data. They often outperform other popular frameworks, such as state-space models and diffusion models, on challenging time-series tasks. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Mohammad R. Rezaei , Adji Bousso Dieng

We consider a setting, where the output of a linear dynamical system (LDS) is, with an unknown but fixed probability, replaced by noise. There, we present a robust method for the prediction of the outputs of the LDS and identification of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-06 Jakub Marecek , Tigran Tchrakian