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Our research presents a new approach for forecasting the synchronization of stock prices using machine learning and non-linear time-series analysis. To capture the complex non-linear relationships between stock prices, we utilize recurrence…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-12 Sanjay Sathish , Charu C Sharma

We propose three different data-driven approaches for pricing European-style call options using supervised machine-learning algorithms. These approaches yield models that give a range of fair prices instead of a single price point. The…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-08 Anindya Goswami , Sharan Rajani , Atharva Tanksale

The success of modern deep learning is attributed to two key elements: huge amounts of training data and large model sizes. Where a vast amount of data allows the model to learn more features, the large model architecture boosts the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-08 Muhammad Asif Khan , Ridha Hamila , Hamid Menouar

We present a large scale benchmark of modern deep learning architectures for a financial time series prediction and position sizing task, with a primary focus on Sharpe ratio optimization. Evaluating linear models, recurrent networks,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-03 Adir Saly-Kaufmann , Kieran Wood , Jan Peter-Calliess , Stefan Zohren

We develop a deep learning algorithm for constructing globally accurate approximations to functional rational expectations equilibria of dynamic stochastic economies in the sequence space. We use deep neural networks to parameterize key…

General Economics · Economics 2026-03-17 Marlon Azinovic-Yang , Jan Žemlička

Deep learning models are widely used across computer vision and other domains. When working on the model induction, selecting the right architecture for a given dataset often relies on repetitive trial-and-error procedures. This procedure…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-06 Yen-Chia Chen , Hsing-Kuo Pao , Hanjuan Huang

Artificial intelligence is transforming financial investment decision-making frameworks, with deep reinforcement learning demonstrating substantial potential in robo-advisory applications. This paper addresses the limitations of traditional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-02-24 Gang Huang , Xiaohua Zhou , Qingyang Song

With the rapid development and evolution of sophisticated algorithms for statistical analysis of time series data, the research community has started spending considerable effort in technical analysis of such data. Forecasting is also an…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-09-03 Jaydip Sen , Tamal Datta Chaudhuri

Stock selection, which aims to predict stock prices and identify the most profitable ones, is a crucial task in finance. While existing methods primarily focus on developing model structures and building graphs for improved selection,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-23 Mengyu Wang , Tiejun Ma , Shay B. Cohen

Accuracy of crop price forecasting techniques is important because it enables the supply chain planners and government bodies to take appropriate actions by estimating market factors such as demand and supply. In emerging economies such as…

Applications · Statistics 2020-09-10 Ayush Jain , Smit Marvaniya , Shantanu Godbole , Vitobha Munigala

Decision analytics commonly focuses on the text mining of financial news sources in order to provide managerial decision support and to predict stock market movements. Existing predictive frameworks almost exclusively apply traditional…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-07-05 Stefan Feuerriegel , Ralph Fehrer

Portfolio optimization has been a broad and intense area of interest for quantitative and statistical finance researchers and financial analysts. It is a challenging task to design a portfolio of stocks to arrive at the optimized values of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-08 Jaydip Sen , Saikat Mondal , Sidra Mehtab

Big data, both in its structured and unstructured formats, have brought in unforeseen challenges in economics and business. How to organize, classify, and then analyze such data to obtain meaningful insights are the ever-going research…

General Economics · Economics 2025-02-04 Viet Trinh

The application of deep learning to time series forecasting is one of the major challenges in present machine learning. We propose a novel methodology that combines machine learning and image processing methods to define and predict market…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 Bairui Du , Delmiro Fernandez-Reyes , Paolo Barucca

Predictive models are often used for real-time decision making. However, typical machine learning techniques ignore feature evaluation cost, and focus solely on the accuracy of the machine learning models obtained utilizing all the features…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-08-19 Leilani Battle , Edward Benson , Aditya Parameswaran , Eugene Wu

Time series forecasting is widely used in a multitude of domains. In this paper, we present four models to predict the stock price using the SPX index as input time series data. The martingale and ordinary linear models require the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-10-23 Aaron Elliot , Cheng Hua Hsu

Investors and stock market analysts face major challenges in predicting stock returns and making wise investment decisions. The predictability of equity stock returns can boost investor confidence, but it remains a difficult task. To…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-04 Adebola K. Ojo , Ifechukwude Jude Okafor

Scientists often use observational time series data to study complex natural processes, but regression analyses often assume simplistic dynamics. Recent advances in deep learning have yielded startling improvements to the performance of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-21 Cory Shain , William Schuler

This paper describes experiments on fine-tuning a small language model to generate forecasts of long-horizon stock price movements. Inputs to the model are narrative text from 10-K reports of large market capitalization companies in the S&P…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-28 Joel R. Bock

In this paper we employ deep learning techniques to detect financial asset bubbles by using observed call option prices. The proposed algorithm is widely applicable and model-independent. We test the accuracy of our methodology in numerical…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-06-21 Francesca Biagini , Lukas Gonon , Andrea Mazzon , Thilo Meyer-Brandis
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