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Online detection of instantaneous changes in the generative process of a data sequence generally focuses on retrospective inference of such change points without considering their future occurrences. We extend the Bayesian Online Change…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-25 Diego Agudelo-España , Sebastian Gomez-Gonzalez , Stefan Bauer , Bernhard Schölkopf , Jan Peters

We present a Bayesian nonparametric system reliability model which scales well and provides a great deal of flexibility in modeling. The Bayesian approach naturally handles the disparate amounts of component and subsystem data that may…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-22 Richard L. Warr , Jeremy M. Meyer , Jackson T. Curtis

In this work, we demonstrate the Empirical Bayes approach to learning a Dynamic Bayesian Network. By starting with several point estimates of structure and weights, we can use a data-driven prior to subsequently obtain a model to quantify…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Vyacheslav Kungurtsev , Apaar , Aarya Khandelwal , Parth Sandeep Rastogi , Bapi Chatterjee , Jakub Mareček

Markov jump processes and continuous time Bayesian networks are important classes of continuous time dynamical systems. In this paper, we tackle the problem of inferring unobserved paths in these models by introducing a fast auxiliary…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-02-20 Vinayak Rao , Yee Whye Teh

Quantum trajectories describe the stochastic evolution of an open quantum system conditioned on continuous monitoring of its output, such as by an ideal photodetector. Here we derive (non-Markovian) quantum trajectories for realistic…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-07 P. Warszawski , H. M. Wiseman , H. Mabuchi

Optimal design facilitates intelligent data collection. In this paper, we introduce a fully Bayesian design approach for spatial processes with complex covariance structures, like those typically exhibited in natural ecosystems. Coordinate…

Complex systems are sometimes subject to non Gaussian alpha stable Levy fluctuations. A new method is devised to estimate this uncertain parameter and other system parameters, using observations on either mean exit time or escape…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-06-04 Ting Gao , Jinqiao Duan

A growing cohort of experimental linear photonic networks implementing Gaussian boson sampling (GBS) have now claimed quantum advantage. However, many open questions remain on how to effectively verify these experimental results, as…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-08-03 Alexander S. Dellios , Margaret D. Reid , Peter D. Drummond

When modeling a probability distribution with a Bayesian network, we are faced with the problem of how to handle continuous variables. Most previous work has either solved the problem by discretizing, or assumed that the data are generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-02-21 George H. John , Pat Langley

The future development of quantum technologies relies on creating and manipulating quantum systems of increasing complexity, with key applications in computation, simulation and sensing. This poses severe challenges in the efficient…

Bayesian model selection provides a powerful framework for objectively comparing models directly from observed data, without reference to ground truth data. However, Bayesian model selection requires the computation of the marginal…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-17 Xiaohao Cai , Jason D. McEwen , Marcelo Pereyra

Data-driven methods for the identification of the governing equations of dynamical systems or the computation of reduced surrogate models play an increasingly important role in many application areas such as physics, chemistry, biology, and…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-12-17 Stefan Klus , Hongyu Zhu

We study multifractal properties in time evolution of a single particle subject to repeated measurements. For quantum systems, we consider circuit models consisting of local unitary gates and local projective measurements. For classical…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-10-28 Kohei Yajima , Hisanori Oshima , Ken Mochizuki , Yohei Fuji

Bayesian networks have been used extensively in diagnostic tasks such as medicine, where they represent the dependency relations between a set of symptoms and a set of diseases. A criticism of this type of knowledge representation is that…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Luis Enrique Sucar , Duncan F. Gillies

Changes in the timescales at which complex systems evolve are essential to predicting critical transitions and catastrophic failures. Disentangling the timescales of the dynamics governing complex systems remains a key challenge. With this…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-11 Giona Casiraghi , Georges Andres

In this paper we address the problem of learning the structure of a Bayesian network in domains with continuous variables. This task requires a procedure for comparing different candidate structures. In the Bayesian framework, this is done…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-01-18 Nir Friedman , Iftach Nachman

In this manuscript, a general method for deriving filtering algorithms that involve a network of interconnected Bayesian filters is proposed. This method is based on the idea that the processing accomplished inside each of the Bayesian…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-22 Giorgio M. Vitetta , Pasquale Di Viesti , Emilio Sirignano , Francesco Montorsi

The characterisation of quantum networks is fundamental to understanding how energy and information propagates through complex systems, with applications in control, communication, error mitigation and energy transfer. In this work, we…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-09-19 Conall J. Campbell , Matthew Mackinnon , Mauro Paternostro , Diana A. Chisholm

Quantum networks play a major role in long-distance communication, quantum cryptography, clock synchronization, and distributed quantum computing. Generally, these protocols involve many independent sources sharing entanglement among…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2020-09-16 Johan Åberg , Ranieri Nery , Cristhiano Duarte , Rafael Chaves

The outcomes of a series of measurements, made on a quantum system, form a sequence of random events which occur in a particular order. The system, together with a meter or meters, can be seen as following the paths of a stochastic network…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-08-01 D. Sokolovski