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Aircraft design relies heavily on solving challenging and computationally expensive Multidisciplinary Design Optimization problems. In this context, there has been growing interest in multi-fidelity models for Bayesian optimization to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-04-01 Oihan Cordelier , Youssef Diouane , Nathalie Bartoli , Eric Laurendeau

Detecting a change point is a crucial task in statistics that has been recently extended to the quantum realm. A source state generator that emits a series of single photons in a default state suffers an alteration at some point and starts…

A wavelet-based changepoint method is proposed that determines when the variability of the noise in a sequence of functional profiles goes out-of-control from a known, fixed value. The functional portion of the profiles are allowed to come…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-08-20 Vladimir J. Geneus , Eric Chicken , Jordan Cuevas , Joseph J. Pignatiello

Autonomous unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) rely on global navigation satellite system (GNSS) pseudorange measurements for accurate real-time localization and navigation. However, this dependence exposes them to sophisticated spoofing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-16 Deepak Kumar Panda , Weisi Guo

We propose a new multiple change-point detection framework for multivariate and non-Euclidean data. First, we combine graph-based statistics with wild binary segmentation or seeded binary segmentation to search for a pool of candidate…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-10-05 Yuxuan Zhang , Hao Chen

Visual affordances identify regions in an image with potential interactions, offering a novel paradigm for scene understanding. Recognizing affordances allows autonomous robots to act more naturally, could enhance human-robot interactions,…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2026-05-06 Lorenzo Mur-Labadia , Ruben Martinez-Cantina , Jose J. Guerrero

The paper presents a machine learning approach to design digital interfaces that can dynamically adapt to different users and usage strategies. The algorithm uses Bayesian statistics to model users' browsing behavior, focusing on their…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-24 Eric Petit , Denis Chêne

In my PhD thesis, we elaborate upon Bayesian changepoint analysis, whereby our focus is on three big topics: approximate sampling via MCMC, exact inference and uncertainty quantification. Besides, modeling matters are discussed in an…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-06-19 Tobias Siems

Multi fidelity Bayesian optimization (MFBO) leverages experimental and or computational data of varying quality and resource cost to optimize towards desired maxima cost effectively. This approach is particularly attractive for chemical…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-12 Edmund Judge , Mohammed Azzouzi , Austin M. Mroz , Antonio del Rio Chanona , Kim E. Jelfs

Active perception systems maximizing information gain to support both monitoring and decision making have seen considerable application in recent work. In this paper, we propose and demonstrate a method of acquiring and extrapolating…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-05-04 Martin A. Sehr , Wei Xi Xia , Prithvi Akella , Juan Aparicio Ojea , Eugen Solowjow

Multifidelity approximation is an important technique in scientific computation and simulation. In this paper, we introduce a bandit-learning approach for leveraging data of varying fidelities to achieve precise estimates of the parameters…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-02-22 Yiming Xu , Vahid Keshavarzzadeh , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Online changepoint detection aims to detect anomalies and changes in real-time in high-frequency data streams, sometimes with limited available computational resources. This is an important task that is rooted in many real-world…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-01-12 Gaetano Romano , Idris A Eckley , Paul Fearnhead

This work develops techniques for the sequential detection and location estimation of transient changes in the volatility (standard deviation) of time series data. In particular, we introduce a class of change detection algorithms based on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-12-29 Alireza Ahrabian , Nazli Farajidavar , Clive Cheong-Took , Payam Barnaghi

In many real-world scenarios where data is high dimensional, test time acquisition of features is a non-trivial task due to costs associated with feature acquisition and evaluating feature value. The need for highly confident models with an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-09-17 Orpaz Goldstein , Mohammad Kachuee , Kimmo Karkkainen , Majid Sarrafzadeh

Neural networks make accurate predictions but often fail to provide reliable uncertainty estimates, especially under covariate distribution shifts between training and testing. To address this problem, we propose a Bayesian framework for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-22 Yuli Slavutsky , David M. Blei

In many applications, the dataset under investigation exhibits heterogeneous regimes that are more appropriately modeled using piece-wise linear models for each of the data segments separated by change-points. Although there have been much…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-27 Abhirup Datta , Hui Zou , Sudipto Banerjee

We introduce and study the problem of detecting whether an agent is updating their prior beliefs given new evidence in an optimal way that is Bayesian, or whether they are biased towards their own prior. In our model, biased agents form…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-31 Yiling Chen , Tao Lin , Ariel D. Procaccia , Aaditya Ramdas , Itai Shapira

In modern business modeling and analytics, data monitoring plays a critical role. Nowadays, sophisticated models often rely on hundreds or even thousands of input variables. Over time, structural changes such as abrupt level shifts or trend…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-07 Yingbo Li , Robert Cezeaux , Di Yu

Motivated by the goal of endowing robots with a means for focusing attention in order to operate reliably in complex, uncertain, and time-varying environments, we consider how a robot can (i) determine which portions of its environment to…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-11-14 Meghan Booker , Anirudha Majumdar

This work introduces a novel blackbox optimization algorithm for computationally expensive constrained multi-fidelity problems. When applying a direct search method to such problems, the scarcity of feasible points may lead to numerous…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-09 Stéphane Alarie , Charles Audet , Miguel Diago , Sébastien Le Digabel , Xavier Lebeuf