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Doubly robust estimators have gained popularity in the field of causal inference due to their ability to provide consistent point estimates when either an outcome or exposure model is correctly specified. However, for nonrandomized…

Bayesian nonparametric inferential procedures based on Markov chain Monte Carlo marginal methods typically yield point estimates in the form of posterior expectations. Though very useful and easy to implement in a variety of statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-05-04 Julyan Arbel , Antonio Lijoi , Bernardo Nipoti

Proper econometric analysis should be informed by data structure. Many forms of financial data are recorded in discrete-time and relate to products of a finite term. If the data comes from a financial trust, it will often be further subject…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-12-24 Jackson P. Lautier , Vladimir Pozdnyakov , Jun Yan

Motivated by the proliferation of observational datasets and the need to integrate non-randomized evidence with randomized controlled trials, causal inference researchers have recently proposed several new methodologies for combining biased…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-14 Evan T. R. Rosenman , Francesca Dominici , Luke Miratrix

Alternating recurrent events, where subjects experience two potentially correlated event types over time, are common in healthcare, social, and behavioral studies. Often there is a primary event of interest that, when triggered, initiates a…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Abigail Loe , Susan Murray , Zhenke Wu

Survival regression is widely used to model time-to-events data, to explore how covariates may influence the occurrence of events. Modern datasets often encompass a vast number of covariates across many subjects, with only a subset of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-18 Abhishek Mandal , Abhisek Chakraborty

We propose a two-stage estimation procedure for a copula-based model with semi-competing risks data, where the non-terminal event is subject to dependent censoring by the terminal event, and both events are subject to independent censoring.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-28 Sakie J. Arachchige , Xinyuan Chen , Qian M. Zhou

The distribution-free method of conformal prediction (Vovk et al, 2005) has gained considerable attention in computer science, machine learning, and statistics. Candes et al. (2023) extended this method to right-censored survival data,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-06-04 Jing Qin , Jin Piao , Jing Ning , Yu Shen

We propose to smooth the entire objective function, rather than only the check function, in a linear quantile regression context. Not only does the resulting smoothed quantile regression estimator yield a lower mean squared error and a more…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-16 Marcelo Fernandes , Emmanuel Guerre , Eduardo Horta

Kernel smoothing is a highly flexible and popular approach for estimation of probability density and intensity functions of continuous spatial data. In this role it also forms an integral part of estimation of functionals such as the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-24 Tilman M. Davies , Jonathan C. Marshall , Martin L. Hazelton

The difference in restricted mean survival time (RMST) is a clinically meaningful measure to quantify treatment effect in randomized controlled trials, especially when the proportional hazards assumption does not hold. Several frequentist…

Recently developed survival analysis methods improve upon existing approaches by predicting the probability of event occurrence in each of a number pre-specified (discrete) time intervals. By avoiding placing strong parametric assumptions…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Jimmy Hickey , Ricardo Henao , Daniel Wojdyla , Michael Pencina , Matthew M. Engelhard

Characterizing the genetic basis of survival traits, such as age at disease onset, is critical for risk stratification, early intervention, and elucidating biological mechanisms that can inform therapeutic development. However,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Do Hyun Kim , Hua Zhou , Brendon Chau , Aubrey Jensen , Judong Shen , Devan Mehrotra , Gang Li , Jin J. Zhou

Inferring treatment effects on a survival time outcome based on data from an observational study is challenging due to the presence of censoring and possible confounding. An additional challenge occurs when a unit's treatment affects the…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-13 Chanhwa Lee , Donglin Zeng , Michael Emch , John D. Clemens , Michael G. Hudgens

We develop TwinKernel methods for nonparametric estimation of intensity functions of point processes. Building on the general TwinKernel framework and combining it with martingale techniques for counting processes, we construct estimators…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-12-12 Jocelyn Nembé

There is increasing interest in flexible parametric models for the analysis of time-to-event data, yet Bayesian approaches that offer incorporation of prior knowledge remain underused. A flexible Bayesian parametric model has recently been…

Mixture cure models have been widely used to analyze survival data with a cure fraction. They assume that a subgroup of the individuals under study will never experience the event (cured subjects). So, the goal is twofold: to study both the…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-01 Ana López-Cheda , M. Amalia Jácome , Ignacio López-de-Ullibarri

Estimating causal effects on time-to-event outcomes from observational data is particularly challenging due to censoring, limited sample sizes, and non-random treatment assignment. The need for answering such "when-if" questions--how the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-19 Jessy Xinyi Han , Devavrat Shah

In this work we provide a simple estimation procedure for a general frailty model for analysis of prospective correlated failure times. Rigorous large-sample theory for the proposed estimators of both the regression coefficient vector and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Malka Gorfine , David M. Zucker , Li Hsu

As cancer patient survival improves, late effects from treatment are becoming the next clinical challenge. Chemotherapy and radiotherapy, for example, potentially increase the risk of both morbidity and mortality from second malignancies…