Related papers: Extending the Mann-Kendall test to allow for measu…
Instead of testing solely a precise hypothesis, it is often useful to enlarge it with alternatives that are deemed to differ from it negligibly. For instance, in a bioequivalence study one might consider the hypothesis that the…
Comparing the mean vectors across different groups is a cornerstone in the realm of multivariate statistics, with quadratic forms commonly serving as test statistics. However, when the overall hypothesis is rejected, identifying specific…
Easy-to-interpret effect estimands are highly desirable in survival analysis. In the competing risks framework, one good candidate is the restricted mean time lost (RMTL). It is defined as the area under the cumulative incidence function up…
To investigate intervention effects on rare events, meta-analysis techniques are commonly applied in order to assess the accumulated evidence. When it comes to adverse effects in clinical trials, these are often most adequately handled…
The dynamic nature of many real-world systems can lead to temporal outcome model shifts, causing a deterioration in model accuracy and reliability over time. This requires change-point detection on the outcome models to guide model…
Unmeasured confounding is a key threat to reliable causal inference based on observational studies. Motivated from two powerful natural experiment devices, the instrumental variables and difference-in-differences, we propose a new method…
Beyond conditional average treatment effects, treatments may impact the entire outcome distribution in covariate-dependent ways, for example, by altering the variance or tail risks for specific subpopulations. We propose a novel estimand to…
Statistics is sometimes described as the science of reasoning under uncertainty. Statistical models provide one view of this uncertainty, but what is frequently neglected is the 'invisible' portion of uncertainty: that assumed not to exist…
Uncertainty relations are pivotal in delineating the limits of simultaneous measurements for observables. In this paper, we derive four novel uncertainty and reverse uncertainty relations for the sum of variances of two incompatible…
In natural phenomena, data distributions often deviate from normality. One can think of cataclysms as a self-explanatory example: events that occur almost never, and at the same time are many standard deviations away from the common…
In this note, an alternative for presenting the distribution of `significant' events in searches for new phenomena is described. The alternative is based on probability density functions used in the evaluation of the `significance' of an…
Distinguishing between uniform and non-uniform sample distributions is a common problem in directional data analysis; however for many tests, non-uniform distributions exist that fail uniformity rejection. By merging directional statistics…
An experimental test of the "special state" theory of quantum measurement is proposed. It should be feasible with present-day laboratory equipment and involves a slightly elaborated Stern-Gerlach setup. The "special state" theory is…
A new and rapidly growing econometric literature is making advances in the problem of using machine learning methods for causal inference questions. Yet, the empirical economics literature has not started to fully exploit the strengths of…
A popular approach to significance testing proposes to decide whether the given hypothesized statistical model is likely to be true (or false). Statistical decision theory provides a basis for this approach by requiring every significance…
Model uncertainty is a crucial issue in statistics, econometrics and machine learning, yet its definition remains ambiguous and is subject to various interpretations in the literature. So far, there has not been a universally accepted…
The rank-based association between two variables can be modeled by introducing a latent normal level to ordinal data. We demonstrate how this approach yields Bayesian inference for Kendall's rank correlation coefficient, improving on a…
In this paper, we propose a new test for checking the parametric form of the conditional variance based on distance covariance in nonlinear and nonparametric regression models. Inherit from the nice properties of distance covariance, our…
Two semimetrics on probability distributions are proposed, given as the sum of differences of expectations of analytic functions evaluated at spatial or frequency locations (i.e, features). The features are chosen so as to maximize the…
The Mann-Whitney effect is an effect measure for the order of two sample-specific outcome variables. It has the interpretation of a probability and also a connection to the area under the ROC curve. In the literature it has been considered…