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This paper considers the problem of tracking a large-scale number of group targets. Usually, multi-target in most tracking scenarios are assumed to have independent motion and are well-separated. However, for group target tracking (GTT),…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-26 Xuqi Zhang , Fanqin Meng , Haiqi Liu , Xiaojing Shen , Yunmin Zhu

We study a class of backtests for forecast distributions in which the test statistic depends on a spectral transformation that weights exceedance events by a function of the modeled probability level. The weighting scheme is specified by a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-30 Michael B. Gordy , Alexander J. McNeil

We consider multiple diseases spreading in a static Configuration Model network. We make standard assumptions that infection transmits from neighbor to neighbor at a disease-specific rate and infected individuals recover at a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-11 Joel C. Miller

The problem of quickest detection of a change in distribution is considered under the assumption that the pre-change distribution is known, and the post-change distribution is only known to belong to a family of distributions…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-30 Tze Siong Lau , Wee Peng Tay , Venugopal V. Veeravalli

Reinforced Galton--Watson processes describe the dynamics of a population where reproduction events are reinforced, in the sense that offspring numbers of forebears can be repeated randomly by descendants. More specifically, the evolution…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-24 Jean Bertoin , Bastien Mallein

When testing for infections, the standard method is to test each subject individually. If testing methodology is such that samples from multiple subjects can be efficiently combined and tested at once, yielding a positive results if any one…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-01 Anže Slosar

In applications of group testing in networks, e.g. identifying individuals who are infected by a disease spread over a network, exploiting correlation among network nodes provides fundamental opportunities in reducing the number of tests…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Hesam Nikpey , Jungyeol Kim , Xingran Chen , Saswati Sarkar , Shirin Saeedi Bidokhti

A critical branching process $\left\{Z_{k},k=0,1,2,...\right\} $ in a random environment generated by a sequence of independent and identically distributed random reproduction laws is considered.\ Let $Z_{p,n}$ be the number of particles at…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-30 V. A. Vatutin , E. E. Dyakonova

We consider the problem of testing whether two finite-dimensional random dot product graphs have generating latent positions that are independently drawn from the same distribution, or distributions that are related via scaling or…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-13 Minh Tang , Avanti Athreya , Daniel L. Sussman , Vince Lyzinski , Carey E. Priebe

Generative diffusion models showed high success in many fields with a powerful theoretical background. They convert the data distribution to noise and remove the noise back to obtain a similar distribution. Many existing reviews focused on…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-19 Melike Nur Yeğin , Mehmet Fatih Amasyalı

A number of problems in statistical physics and computer science can be expressed as the computation of marginal probabilities over a Markov random field. Belief propagation, an iterative message-passing algorithm, computes exactly such…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2012-10-23 Victorin Martin , Jean-Marc Lasgouttes , Cyril Furtlehner

Multiple testing problems arising in modern scientific applications can involve simultaneously testing thousands or even millions of hypotheses, with relatively few true signals. In this paper, we consider the multiple testing problem where…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-28 Ang Li , Rina Foygel Barber

Current tests for contagion in social network studies are vulnerable to the confounding effects of latent homophily (i.e., ties form preferentially between individuals with similar hidden traits). We demonstrate a general method to lower…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-16 Greg Ver Steeg , Aram Galstyan

We present a general framework for adaptive allocation of viral tests in social contact networks. We pose and solve several complementary problems. First, we consider the design of a social sensing system whose objective is the early…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-11-05 Pau Batlle , Joan Bruna , Carlos Fernandez-Granda , Victor M. Preciado

Microarray data are often used to determine which genes are differentially expressed between groups, for example, between treatment and control groups. There are methods of determining which genes have a high probability of differential…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2007-05-23 David R. Bickel

We revisit the distributed hypothesis testing (or hypothesis testing with communication constraints) problem from the viewpoint of privacy. Instead of observing the raw data directly, the transmitter observes a sanitized or randomized…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Atefeh Gilani , Selma Belhadj Amor , Sadaf Salehkalaibar , Vincent Y. F. Tan

In a collection of particles performing independent random walks on $\mathbb Z^d$ we study the spread of an infection with SIR dynamics. Susceptible particles become infected when they meet an infected particle. Infected particles heal and…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Duncan Dauvergne , Allan Sly

In a prior study, a novel deterministic compartmental model known as the SEIHRK model was introduced, shedding light on the pivotal role of test kits as an intervention strategy for mitigating epidemics. Particularly in heterogeneous…

Diagnostic testing is germane to a variety of scenarios in medicine, pandemic tracking, threat detection, and signal processing. This is an expository paper with some original results. Here we first set up a mathematical architecture for…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-01 Nozer D. Singpurwalla , Boya Lai

In the setting of entangled single-sample distributions, the goal is to estimate some common parameter shared by a family of distributions, given one \emph{single} sample from each distribution. We study mean estimation and linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-07-08 Hui Yuan , Yingyu Liang
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