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Decision making under uncertainty is critical to real-world, autonomous systems. Model Predictive Control (MPC) methods have demonstrated favorable performance in practice, but remain limited when dealing with complex probability…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-04-13 Alexander Lambert , Adam Fishman , Dieter Fox , Byron Boots , Fabio Ramos

We propose a Stein variational distributionally robust controller for nonlinear dynamical systems with latent parametric uncertainty. The method is an alternative to conservative worst-case ambiguity-set optimization with a deterministic…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-04-16 Hrishikesh Sathyanarayan , Ian Abraham

Reliable robotic manipulation requires control policies that can accurately represent and adapt to uncertainty arising from contact-rich interactions. Modern data-driven methods mitigate uncertainty through large-scale training and…

We propose a Model Predictive Control (MPC) method for collision-free navigation that uses amortized variational inference to approximate the distribution of optimal control sequences by training a normalizing flow conditioned on the start,…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-05-11 Thomas Power , Dmitry Berenson

Model Predictive Control (MPC) enables reliable trajectory optimization under dynamics constraints, but often depends on accurate dynamics models and carefully hand-designed cost functions. Recent learning-based MPC methods aim to reduce…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-03-05 Shizhe Cai , Zeya Yin , Jayadeep Jacob , Fabio Ramos

Model predictive control (MPC) is an effective approach to control multivariable dynamic systems with constraints. Most real dynamic models are however affected by plant-model mismatch and process uncertainties, which can lead to…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-29 Zhengang Zhong , Ehecatl Antonio del Rio-Chanona , Panagiotis Petsagkourakis

This paper proposes an adaptive stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for stable linear time invariant systems in the presence of bounded disturbances. We consider multi-input multi-output systems that can be expressed by a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-12-03 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Xiaojing Zhang , Francesco Borrelli

Model predictive control (MPC) has proven useful in enabling safe and optimal motion planning for autonomous vehicles. In this paper, we investigate how to achieve MPC-based motion planning when a neural state-space model represents the…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Iman Askari , Ali Vaziri , Xuemin Tu , Shen Zeng , Huazhen Fang

This paper presents a distributionally robust stochastic model predictive control (SMPC) approach for linear discrete-time systems subject to unbounded and correlated additive disturbances. We consider hard input constraints and state…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-09-21 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

Model Predictive Control is an extremely effective control method for systems with input and state constraints. Model Predictive Control performance heavily depends on the accuracy of the open-loop prediction. For systems with uncertainty…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-07-27 Francesco Micheli , John Lygeros

Many Imitation and Reinforcement Learning approaches rely on the availability of expert-generated demonstrations for learning policies or value functions from data. Obtaining a reliable distribution of trajectories from motion planners is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Alexander Lambert , Byron Boots

To accurately reproduce measurements from the real world, simulators need to have an adequate model of the physical system and require the parameters of the model be identified. We address the latter problem of estimating parameters through…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-03-01 Eric Heiden , Christopher E. Denniston , David Millard , Fabio Ramos , Gaurav S. Sukhatme

Bayesian inference problems require sampling or approximating high-dimensional probability distributions. The focus of this paper is on the recently introduced Stein variational gradient descent methodology, a class of algorithms that rely…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-14 A. Duncan , N. Nuesken , L. Szpruch

Many core problems in robotics can be framed as constrained optimization problems. Often on these problems, the robotic system has uncertainty, or it would be advantageous to identify multiple high quality feasible solutions. To enable…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-06-03 Griffin Tabor , Tucker Hermans

A crucial task in predictive maintenance is estimating the remaining useful life of physical systems. In the last decade, deep learning has improved considerably upon traditional model-based and statistical approaches in terms of predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-05 Luca Della Libera , Jacopo Andreoli , Davide Dalle Pezze , Mirco Ravanelli , Gian Antonio Susto

This study addresses the stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) problem for linear time-invariant systems subjected to unknown disturbance distributions. By leveraging the most recent disturbance data, we construct a set of distributions…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-15 Xu Chen , Lorenz Dörschel

Rare event simulation and rare event probability estimation are important tasks within the analysis of systems subject to uncertainty and randomness. Simultaneously, accurately estimating rare event probabilities is an inherently difficult…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-18 Max Ehre , Iason Papaioannou , Daniel Straub

We present a model predictive control (MPC) framework for nonlinear stochastic systems that ensures safety guarantee with high probability. Unlike most existing stochastic MPC schemes, our method adopts a set-erosion that converts the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-16 Zishun Liu , Liqian Ma , Yongxin Chen

We propose model predictive funnel control, a novel model predictive control (MPC) scheme building upon recent results in funnel control. The latter is a high-gain feedback methodology that achieves evolution of the measured output within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Jens Göbel , Dario Dennstädt , Lukas Lanza , Karl Worthmann , Thomas Berger , Tobias Damm

Particle based optimization algorithms have recently been developed as sampling methods that iteratively update a set of particles to approximate a target distribution. In particular Stein variational gradient descent has gained attention…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-19 Francesco D'Angelo , Vincent Fortuin
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