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Related papers: Polarization, Abstention, and the Median Voter The…

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The voter model is a toy model of consensus formation based on nearest-neighbor interactions. A voter sits at each vertex in a hypercubic lattice (of dimension $d$) and is in one of two possible opinion states. The opinion state of each…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2023-11-08 Pascal Grange

This study examines the relationship between ambiguity and the ideological positioning of political parties across the political spectrum. We identify a strong non-monotonic (inverted U-shaped) relationship between party ideology and…

General Economics · Economics 2024-03-21 Hector Galindo-Silva

Polarization is a well-documented phenomenon across a wide range of social issues. However, prevailing theories often compartmentalize the examination of herding behavior and opinion convergence within different contexts. In this study, we…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2024-05-03 Ugo Bolletta , Paolo Pin

We consider distributed elections, where there is a center and $k$ sites. In such distributed elections, each voter has preferences over some set of candidates, and each voter is assigned to exactly one site such that each site is aware…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-07-24 Arnold Filtser , Nimrod Talmon

Predicting the winner of an election is a favorite problem both for news media pundits and computational social choice theorists. Since it is often infeasible to elicit the preferences of all the voters in a typical prediction scenario, a…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2016-04-21 Arnab Bhattacharyya , Palash Dey

We study a stochastic model for the diffusion of competing opinions in a population composed of three types of agents: trend-followers, opposers, and indifferent individuals. The decision dynamics are driven by reinforcement mechanisms,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-06-24 Manuel González-Navarrete

In an election, we are given a set of voters, each having a preference list over a set of candidates, that are distributed on a social network. We consider a scenario where voters may change their preference lists as a consequence of the…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-06-01 Mohammad Abouei Mehrizi , Gianlorenzo D'Angelo

Perceptions of political bias in the media are formed directly, through the independent consumption of the published outputs of a media organization, and indirectly, through observing the collective responses of political allies and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-06-28 Nicholas Kah Yean Low , Andrew Melatos

Accurate modeling of opinion dynamics has the potential to help us understand polarization and what makes effective political discourse possible or impossible. Here, we use physics-based methods to model the evolution of political opinions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-10-07 David Sabin-Miller , Daniel M. Abrams

We propose a computational framework for modeling opinion dynamics in electoral competitions that combines two realistic features: voter memory and exogenous shocks. The population is represented by a fully-connected network of agents, each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-05 Jaime L. C. da C. Filho , Nuno Crokidakis

Polls posted on social media have emerged in recent years as an important tool for estimating public opinion, e.g., to gauge public support for business decisions and political candidates in national elections. Here, we examine nearly two…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2024-06-06 Stephen Scarano , Vijayalakshmi Vasudevan , Chhandak Bagchi , Mattia Samory , JungHwan Yang , Przemyslaw A. Grabowicz

Polarization is a problem in modern society. Understanding how opinions evolve through social interactions is crucial for addressing conditions that lead to polarization, consensus, or opinion diversity. Classical opinion dynamics models…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-03-06 Brian Mintz , Daniel Simonson , Dominik Wodarz , Feng Fu , Natalia L. Komarova

We consider a social choice problem where only a small number of people out of a large population are sufficiently available or motivated to vote. A common solution to increase participation is to allow voters use a proxy, that is, transfer…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2016-11-28 Gal Cohensius , Shie Manor , Reshef Meir , Eli Meirom , Ariel Orda

The widespread emergence of opinion polarization is often attributed to the rise of social media and the internet, which can promote selective exposure and the formation of echo chambers. However, experimental evidence shows that exposure…

We address the fundamental problem of selection under uncertainty by modeling it from the perspective of Bayesian persuasion. In our model, a decision maker with imperfect information always selects the option with the highest expected…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2024-10-16 Siddhartha Banerjee , Kamesh Munagala , Yiheng Shen , Kangning Wang

We generalize a binary majority-vote model on adaptive networks to its plurality-vote counterpart and analyze the time scale to consensus when voters are given more than two options. When opinions are uniformly distributed in the population…

Physics and Society · Physics 2018-05-01 Degang Wu , K. Y. Szeto

We study single-candidate voting embedded in a metric space, where both voters and candidates are points in the space, and the distances between voters and candidates specify the voters' preferences over candidates. In the voting, each…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2019-11-28 Xujin Chen , Minming Li , Chenhao Wang

By incorporating a multilayer network and time-decaying memory into the original voter model, the coupled effects of spatial and temporal cumulation of peer pressure on consensus are investigated. Heterogeneity in peer pressure and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2016-05-25 Li-Xin Zhong , Wen-Juan Xu , Rong-Da Chen , Chen-Yang Zhong , Tian Qiu , Yong-Dong Shi , Li-Liang Wang

In social choice theory with ordinal preferences, a voting method satisfies the axiom of positive involvement if adding to a preference profile a voter who ranks an alternative uniquely first cannot cause that alternative to go from winning…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2025-04-01 Wesley H. Holliday

We study a model of electoral accountability and selection whereby heterogeneous voters aggregate incumbent politician's performance data into personalized signals through paying limited attention. Extreme voters' signals exhibit an…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2023-04-05 Anqi Li , Lin Hu