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This paper addresses the estimation problem of an unknown drift parameter matrix for a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process in a multi-dimensional setting. To tackle this problem, we propose a novel approach based on rough path theory that…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-08-28 Zhongmin Qian , Xingcheng Xu

A novel generative machine learning approach for the simulation of sequences of financial price data with drawdowns quantifiably close to empirical data is introduced. Applications such as pricing drawdown insurance options or developing…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-12 Emiel Lemahieu , Kris Boudt , Maarten Wyns

This paper reviews and extends some recent results on the multivariate fractional Brownian motion (mfBm) and its increment process. A characterization of the mfBm through its covariance function is obtained. Similarly, the correlation and…

We construct the least-square estimator for the unknown drift parameter in the multifractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck model and establish its strong consistency in the non-ergodic case. The proofs are based on the asymptotic bounds with…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Marco Dozzi , Yuriy Kozachenko , Yuliya Mishura , Kostiantyn Ralchenko

A step reinforced random walk is a discrete time process with memory such that at each time step, with fixed probability $p \in (0,1)$, it repeats a previously performed step chosen uniformly at random while with complementary probability…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-04 Alejandro Rosales-Ortiz

Path integrals developed by Richard Feynman have been an important tool in Physics in studying quantum field theory. In mathematics, it has also been widely used in providing formal proofs in the study of Index theorem and asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-02-23 Zhehua Li

An efficient conditioning technique, the so-called Brownian Bridge simulation, has previously been applied to eliminate pricing bias that arises in applications of the standard discrete-time Monte Carlo method to evaluate options written on…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-04-08 P. V. Shevchenko

This article addresses the problem of approximating the price of options on discrete and continuous arithmetic average of the underlying, i.e. discretely and continuously monitored Asian options, in local volatility models. A…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-13 Louis-Pierre Arguin , Nien-Lin Liu , Tai-Ho Wang

Consider N Brownian bridges B_i:[-N,N] -> R, B_i(-N) = B_i(N) = 0, 1 <= i <= N, conditioned not to intersect. The edge-scaling limit of this system is obtained by taking a limit as N -> infinity of these curves scaled around (0,2^{1/2} N)…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-19 Ivan Corwin , Alan Hammond

We present an algorithm to efficiently sample first-passage times for fractional Brownian motion. To increase the resolution, an initial coarse lattice is successively refined close to the target, by adding exactly sampled midpoints, where…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-05-06 Benjamin Walter , Kay Joerg Wiese

We construct a family of processes, from a single Poisson process, that converges in law to a complex Brownian motion. Moreover, we find realizations of these processes that converge almost surely to the complex Brownian motion, uniformly…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-09-25 Xavier Bardina , Giulia Binotto , Carles Rovira

Large deviations for additive path functionals of stochastic processes have attracted significant research interest, in particular in the context of stochastic particle systems and statistical physics. Efficient numerical `cloning'…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-21 Letizia Angeli , Stefan Grosskinsky , Adam M. Johansen

The balance held by Brownian motion between temporal regularity and randomness is embodied in a remarkable way by Levy's forgery of continuous functions. Here we describe how this property can be extended to forge arbitrary dependences…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-06-11 Vincent Wens

Walk on Spheres algorithms leverage properties of Brownian Motion to create Monte Carlo estimates of solutions to a class of elliptic partial differential equations. We propose a new caching strategy which leverages the continuity of paths…

Computational Physics · Physics 2025-04-10 Michael Czekanski , Benjamin Faber , Margaret Fairborn , Adelle Wright , David Bindel

Our first result concerns a characterisation by means of a functional equation of Poisson point processes conditioned by the value of their first moment. It leads to a generalised version of Mecke's formula. En passant, it also allows to…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-25 Giovanni Conforti , Tetiana Kosenkova , Sylvie Roelly

In this paper we study the mean of the first exit time from a bounded interval of various L\'evy processes. We establish sharp two-sided estimates of the mean for L\'evy processes under certain condition on their characteristic exponents.…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-11-13 Tomasz Grzywny

We consider a one dimensional L\'evy bridge x_B of length n and index 0 < \alpha < 2, i.e. a L\'evy random walk constrained to start and end at the origin after n time steps, x_B(0) = x_B(n)=0. We compute the distribution P_B(A,n) of the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-09-06 Gregory Schehr , Satya N. Majumdar

We study the random acceleration model, which is perhaps one of the simplest, yet nontrivial, non-Markov stochastic processes, and is key to many applications. For this non-Markov process, we present exact analytical results for the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2019-09-04 Satya N. Majumdar , Alberto Rosso , Andrea Zoia

We prove a universal approximation theorem that allows to approximate continuous functionals of c\`adl\`ag (rough) paths uniformly in time and on compact sets of paths via linear functionals of their time-extended signature. Our main…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-08-30 Christa Cuchiero , Francesca Primavera , Sara Svaluto-Ferro

This article presents a novel approach, named MCMP (Monte Carlo Motion Planning), to the problem of motion planning under uncertainty, i.e., to the problem of computing a low-cost path that fulfills probabilistic collision avoidance…

Robotics · Computer Science 2015-06-01 Lucas Janson , Edward Schmerling , Marco Pavone