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We introduce a simulation-based, amortised Bayesian inference scheme to infer the parameters of random walks. Our approach learns the posterior distribution of the walks' parameters with a likelihood-free method. In the first step a graph…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-07 Hippolyte Verdier , François Laurent , Alhassan Cassé , Christian Vestergaard , Jean-Baptiste Masson

This work is devoted to the investigation of the most probable transition path for stochastic dynamical systems driven by either symmetric $\alpha$-stable L\'{e}vy motion ($0<\alpha<1$) or Brownian motion. For stochastic dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2019-04-09 Yuanfei Huang , Ying Chao , Shenglan Yuan , Jinqiao Duan

Pure-jump L\'evy processes are popular classes of stochastic processes which have found many applications in finance, statistics or machine learning. In this paper, we propose a novel family of self-decomposable L\'evy processes where one…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-06 Fadhel Ayed , Juho Lee , François Caron

We adapt ideas and concepts developed in optimal transport (and its martingale variant) to give a geometric description of optimal stopping times of Brownian motion subject to the constraint that the distribution of the stopping time is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-14 Mathias Beiglboeck , Manu Eder , Christiane Elgert , Uwe Schmock

Circular Dyson Brownian motion describes the Brownian dynamics of particles on a circle (periodic boundary conditions), interacting through a logarithmic, long-range two-body potential. Within the log-gas picture of random matrix theory, it…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-06-11 Wouter Buijsman

We provide an explicit formula giving the optimal number of paths needed to simulate two correlated Brownian motions.

Probability · Mathematics 2017-08-18 Antoine Jacquier , Louis Jeannerod

We statistically examine long time sequences of Brownian motion for a nonequilibrium version of the Rayleigh piston model and confirm that the third cumulant of a long-time displacement for the nonequilibrium Brownian motion linearly…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2020-01-29 Atsumasa Seya , Tatsuya Aoyagi , Masato Itami , Yohei Nakayama , Naoko Nakagawa

We address the problem of optimizing a Brownian motion. We consider a (random) realization $W$ of a Brownian motion with input space in $[0,1]$. Given $W$, our goal is to return an $\epsilon$-approximation of its maximum using the smallest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-01-16 Jean-Bastien Grill , Michal Valko , Rémi Munos

Consider a Brownian motion on the circumference of the unit circle, which jumps to the opposite point of the circumference at incident times of an independent Poisson process of rate $\lambda$. We examine the problem of coupling two copies…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-05-10 Stephen B. Connor , Roberta Merli

Consider all the possible ways of coupling together two Brownian motions with the same starting position but with different drifts onto the same probability space. It is known that there exist couplings which make these processes agree for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-03 Sebastian Hummel , Adam Quinn Jaffe

We revisit the classical singular control problem of minimizing running and controlling costs. The problem arises in inventory control, as well as in healthcare management and mathematical finance. Existing studies have shown the optimality…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-07-18 Kei Noba , Kazutoshi Yamazaki

We derive explicit formulas for probabilities of Brownian motion with jumps crossing linear or piecewise linear boundaries in any finite interval. We then use these formulas to approximate the boundary crossing probabilities for general…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-16 Jinghai Shao , Liqun Wang

Using the Wiener-Hopf factorization, it is shown that it is possible to bound the path of an arbitrary Levy process above and below by the paths of two random walks. These walks have the same step distribution, but different random starting…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 R. A. Doney

We present an exact solution for one-dimensional overdamped dynamics near a hard wall, allowing us to connect steady-state distributions under confinement with the extreme value statistics of unconfined stochastic processes. This mapping…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-11-05 Thibaut Arnoulx de Pirey

In this paper, we present a Longstaff-Schwartz-type algorithm for optimal stopping time problems based on the Brownian motion filtration. The algorithm is based on Le\~ao, Ohashi and Russo and, in contrast to previous works, our methodology…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-12-05 Sérgio C. Bezerra , Alberto Ohashi , Francesco Russo , Francys de Souza

There is a lack of simple and scalable algorithms for uncertainty quantification. Bayesian methods quantify uncertainty through posterior and predictive distributions, but it is difficult to rapidly estimate summaries of these…

Computation · Statistics 2016-12-28 Cheng Li , Sanvesh Srivastava , David B. Dunson

The main purpose of this paper is to investigate the strong approximation of the integrated empirical process. More precisely, we obtain the exact rate of the approximations by a sequence of weighted Brownian bridges and a weighted Kiefer…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-21 Sergio Alvarez-Andrade , Salim Bouzebda , Aimé Lachal

Variational Bayesian (VB) methods produce posterior inference in a time frame considerably smaller than traditional Markov Chain Monte Carlo approaches. Although the VB posterior is an approximation, it has been shown to produce good…

Computation · Statistics 2019-08-02 Nathaniel Tomasetti , Catherine S. Forbes , Anastasios Panagiotelis

As an example for the fast calculation of distributional parameters of Gaussian processes, we propose a new Monte Carlo algorithm for the computation of quantiles of the supremum norm of weighted Brownian bridges. As it is known, the…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-05 Jürgen Franke , Mario Hefter , André Herzwurm , Klaus Ritter , Stefanie Schwaar

We develop generic and efficient importance sampling estimators for Monte Carlo evaluation of prices of single- and multi-asset European and path-dependent options in asset price models driven by L\'evy processes, extending earlier works…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-17 Adrien Genin , Peter Tankov
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