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Multivariate time-series (MTS) forecasting is a paramount and fundamental problem in many real-world applications. The core issue in MTS forecasting is how to effectively model complex spatial-temporal patterns. In this paper, we develop a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-16 Jinliang Deng , Xiusi Chen , Renhe Jiang , Du Yin , Yi Yang , Xuan Song , Ivor W. Tsang

Learning controllable and generalizable representation of multivariate data with desired structural properties remains a fundamental problem in machine learning. In this paper, we present a novel framework for learning generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Ruixiang Zhang , Masanori Koyama , Katsuhiko Ishiguro

Using a model of the environment and a value function, an agent can construct many estimates of a state's value, by unrolling the model for different lengths and bootstrapping with its value function. Our key insight is that one can treat…

Learning meaningful causal representations from observations has emerged as a crucial task for facilitating machine learning applications and driving scientific discoveries in fields such as climate science, biology, and physics. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-06 Jiaxu Ren , Yixin Wang , Biwei Huang

This position paper argues for the use of \emph{structured generative models} (SGMs) for the understanding of static scenes. This requires the reconstruction of a 3D scene from an input image (or a set of multi-view images), whereby the…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-12-16 Christopher K. I. Williams

We develop a linear response framework for interpretability that treats a neural network as a Bayesian statistical mechanical system. A small perturbation of the data distribution, for example shifting the Pile toward GitHub or legal text,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-10 Garrett Baker , George Wang , Jesse Hoogland , Daniel Murfet

One of the main challenges in identifying structural changes in stochastic processes is to carry out analysis for time series with dependency structure in a computationally tractable way. Another challenge is that the number of true change…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-02 Jie Ding , Yu Xiang , Lu Shen , Vahid Tarokh

A key claim in recent work on Selective State Space Models is that selectivity, the ability to focus on relevant information while filtering irrelevant inputs, requires breaking the Linear Time-Invariant (LTI) property through time-varying…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-03-13 Umberto Casti , Giacomo Baggio , Sandro Zampieri , Fabio Pasqualetti

Structural identifiability is a property of an ODE model with parameters that allows for the parameters to be determined from continuous noise-free data. This is a natural prerequisite for practical identifiability. Conducting multiple…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2021-08-18 Alexey Ovchinnikov , Anand Pillay , Gleb Pogudin , Thomas Scanlon

Inferring spatial-temporal properties from data is important for many complex systems, such as additive manufacturing systems, swarm robotic systems and biological networks. Such systems can often be modeled as a labeled graph where labels…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2019-03-26 Zhe Xu , Alexander J Nettekoven , A. Agung Julius , Ufuk Topcu

Morphological development into evolutionary patterns under structural instability is ubiquitous in living systems and often of vital importance for engineering structures. Here we propose a data-driven approach to understand and predict…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2024-07-23 Yingjie Zhao , Zhiping Xu

To monitor risk in temporal financial networks, we need to understand how individual behaviours affect the global evolution of networks. Here we define a structural importance metric - which we denote as $l_e$ - for the edges of a network.…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-12-24 Isobel Seabrook , Paolo Barucca , Fabio Caccioli

The building of mathematical and computer models of cities has a long history. The core elements are models of flows (spatial interaction) and the dynamics of structural evolution. In this article, we develop a stochastic model of urban…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-05-10 L. Ellam , M. Girolami , G. A. Pavliotis , A. Wilson

Linear structural causal models (SCMs) are used to express and analyse the relationships between random variables. Direct causal effects are represented as directed edges and confounding factors as bidirected edges. Identifying the causal…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2024-03-06 Aaryan Gupta , Markus Bläser

In model-based learning, an agent's model is commonly defined over transitions between consecutive states of an environment even though planning often requires reasoning over multi-step timescales, with intermediate states either…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-06 Alexey Zakharov , Matthew Crosby , Zafeirios Fountas

We study identification in structural vector autoregressions (SVARs) in which the endogenous variables enter nonlinearly on the left-hand side of the model, a feature we term endogenous nonlinearity, to distinguish it from the more familiar…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-04-10 James A. Duffy , Sophocles Mavroeidis

Although the notion of diagnostic problem has been extensively investigated in the context of static systems, in most practical applications the behavior of the modeled system is significantly variable during time. The goal of the paper is…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Luigi Portinale

Modeling time-evolving preferences of users with their sequential item interactions, has attracted increasing attention in many online applications. Hence, sequential recommender systems have been developed to learn the dynamic user…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Lianghao Xia , Chao Huang , Yong Xu , Jian Pei

In contemporary educational systems, academic performance indicators play a central role in institutional evaluation and in the interpretation of student trajectories. However, under conditions of rapid technological change, the inferential…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2026-01-09 H. R. Paz

This paper considers the problem of efficient exploration of unseen environments, a key challenge in AI. We propose a `learning to explore' framework where we learn a policy from a distribution of environments. At test time, presented with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-30 Hanjun Dai , Yujia Li , Chenglong Wang , Rishabh Singh , Po-Sen Huang , Pushmeet Kohli
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