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Growth rate of real GDP per capita is represented as a sum of two components -- a monotonically decreasing economic trend and fluctuations related to a specific age population change. The economic trend is modeled by an inverse function of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov

The growth rate of real GDP per capita in the biggest OECD countries is represented as a sum of two components - a steadily decreasing trend and fluctuations related to the change in some specific age population. The long term trend in the…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-05-28 Ivan Kitov , Oleg Kitov

Real GDP growth rate in developed countries is found to be a sum of two terms. The first term is the reciprocal value of the duration of the period of mean income growth with work experience, Tcr. The current value of Tcr in the USA is 40…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov

Growth rate of the world Growth Domestic Product (GDP) is analysed to determine possible pathways of the future economic growth. The analysis is based on using the latest data of the World Bank and it reveals that the growth rate between…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-03 Ron W Nielsen

Economic growth is measured as the rate of relative change in gross domestic product (GDP) per capita. Yet, when incomes follow random multiplicative growth, the ensemble-average (GDP per capita) growth rate is higher than the time-average…

General Economics · Economics 2020-09-23 Alexander Adamou , Yonatan Berman , Ole Peters

We present a quantitative characterisation of the fluctuations of the annualized growth rate of the real US GDP per capita growth at many scales, using a wavelet transform analysis of two data sets, quarterly data from 1947 to 2015 and…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-07-15 Sandro Lera , Didier Sornette

Gross Domestic Product(GDP) is a widely used measurement of economic growth representing the market value of all final goods and services produced by a country within a given time. In this paper we question the assumption that GDP measures…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-06 Jacky Mallett , Charles Keen

Politicians world-wide frequently promise a better life for their citizens. We find that the probability that a country will increase its {\it per capita} GDP ({\it gdp}) rank within a decade follows an exponential distribution with decay…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-09-14 Boris Podobnik , Davor Horvatic , Dror Y. Kenett , H. Eugene Stanley

In many European countries the growth of the real GDP per capita has been linear since 1950. An explanation for this linearity is still missing. We propose that in artificial intelligence we may find models for a linear growth of…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-08-19 Jörg D. Becker

We follow up on the study of correlations between GDP's of rich countries. We analyze web-downloaded data on GDP that we use as individual wealth signatures of the country economical state. We calculate the yearly fluctuations of the GDP.…

Physics and Society · Physics 2012-09-25 M. Ausloos , R. Lambiotte

A two-component model for the evolution of real GDP per capita in the USA is presented and tested. The first component of the GDP growth rate represents an economic trend and is inversely proportional to the attained level of real GDP per…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov , Oleg I. Kitov , Svetlana A. Dolinskaya

There is an extensive historical dataset on real GDP per capita prepared by Angus Maddison. This dataset covers the period since 1870 with continuous annual estimates in developed countries. All time series for individual economies have a…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-06-05 Ivan Kitov

The transition of several East and Central European countries and the countries of the Former Soviet Union from the socialist economic system to the capitalist one is studied. A recently developed microeconomic model for the personal income…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Ivan O. Kitov

Ten years ago we presented a modified version of Okun law for the biggest developed economies and reported its excellent predictive power. In this study, we revisit the original models using the estimates of real GDP per capita and…

General Economics · Economics 2021-04-13 Ivan Kitov

Is a causal description of human wealth history conceivable? To investigate the matter we introduce a simple causal albeit strongly aggregated model, assuming that the observed wealth growth is mainly driven by human collaborative efforts…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2021-07-23 Paolo Sibani , Steen Rasmussen

In order to investigate whether government regulations against corruption can affect the economic growth of a country, we analyze the dependence between Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita growth rates and changes in the Corruption…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Boris Podobnik , Jia Shao , Djuro Njavro , Plamen Ch. Ivanov , H. Eugene Stanley

The twentieth century was a period of outstanding economic growth together with an unequal income distribution. This paper analyses the international distribution of growth rates and its dynamics during the twentieth century. We show that…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-08-24 Mercedes Campi , Marco Dueñas

Can we use data on the biographies of historical figures to estimate the GDP per capita of countries and regions? Here we introduce a machine learning method to estimate the GDP per capita of dozens of countries and hundreds of regions in…

General Economics · Economics 2025-05-15 Philipp Koch , Viktor Stojkoski , César A. Hidalgo

We use the logistic equation to model the dynamics of the GDP and the trade of the six countries with the highest GDP in the world, namely, USA, China, Japan, Germany, UK and India. From the modelling of the economic data, which are made…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-09-27 Abhin Kakkad , Arnab K. Ray

We analyze the fluctuations in the gross domestic product (GDP) of 152 countries for the period 1950--1992. We find that (i) the distribution of annual growth rates for countries of a given GDP decays with ``fatter'' tails than for a…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Youngki Lee , Luis A. N. Amaral , David Canning , Martin Meyer , H. Eugene Stanley
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