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We construct the maximally predictable portfolio (MPP) of stocks using machine learning. Solving for the optimal constrained weights in the multi-asset MPP gives portfolios with a high monthly coefficient of determination, given the sample…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-06 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

A cardinality-constrained portfolio caps the number of stocks to be traded across and within groups or sectors. These limitations arise from real-world scenarios faced by fund managers, who are constrained by transaction costs and client…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-26 Jize Zhang , Tim Leung , Aleksandr Aravkin

This paper investigates the optimal selection of portfolios for power utility maximizing investors in a financial market where stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Information on the drift is obtained from…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-01 Abdelali Gabih , Ralf Wunderlich

Feature-based offline algorithm selection has shown its effectiveness in a wide range of optimization problems, including the black-box optimization problem. An algorithm selection system selects the most promising optimizer from an…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-21 Takushi Yoshikawa , Ryoji Tanabe

We address the problem of portfolio optimization under the simplest coherent risk measure, i.e. the expected shortfall. As it is well known, one can map this problem into a linear programming setting. For some values of the external…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Stefano Ciliberti , Imre Kondor , Marc Mezard

Optimizing portfolio performance is a fundamental challenge in financial modeling, requiring the integration of advanced clustering techniques and data-driven optimization strategies. This paper introduces a comparative backtesting approach…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-23 Keon Vin Park

One of the crucial problems in mathematical finance is to mitigate the risk of a financial position by setting up hedging positions of eligible financial securities. This leads to focusing on set-valued maps associating to any financial…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-11-02 Michel Baes , Cosimo Munari

In this paper we study an optimal portfolio selection problem under instantaneous price impact. Based on some empirical analysis in the literature, we model such impact as a concave function of the trading size when the trading size is…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-12-20 Jin Ma , Qingshuo Song , Jing Xu , Jianfeng Zhang

In a reinforcement learning (RL) framework, we study the exploratory version of the continuous time expected utility (EU) maximization problem with a portfolio constraint that includes widely-used financial regulations such as short-selling…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-17 Huy Chau , Duy Nguyen , Thai Nguyen

Majorization-minimization algorithms consist of iteratively minimizing a majorizing surrogate of an objective function. Because of its simplicity and its wide applicability, this principle has been very popular in statistics and in signal…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-09-11 Julien Mairal

The question of optimal portfolio is addressed. The conventional Markowitz portfolio optimisation is discussed and the shortcomings due to non-Gaussian security returns are outlined. A method is proposed to minimise the likelihood of…

Physics and Society · Physics 2008-12-02 Robert Kitt , Jaan Kalda

This paper presents an algorithmic framework for solving unconstrained stochastic optimization problems using only stochastic function evaluations. We employ central finite-difference based gradient estimation methods to approximate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-14 Raghu Bollapragada , Cem Karamanli

This work initiates research into the problem of determining an optimal investment strategy for investors with different attitudes towards the trade-offs of risk and profit. The probability distribution of the return values of the stocks…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2007-05-23 Ming-Yang Kao , Andreas Nolte , Stephen R. Tate

Performance analysis, from the external point of view of a client who would only have access to returns and holdings of a fund, evolved towards exact attribution made in the context of portfolio optimisation, which is the internal point of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-08-08 Bruno Durin

We study the feasibility and noise sensitivity of portfolio optimization under some downside risk measures (Value-at-Risk, Expected Shortfall, and semivariance) when they are estimated by fitting a parametric distribution on a finite sample…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Istvan Varga-Haszonits , Imre Kondor

Approximations of functions with finite data often do not respect certain "structural" properties of the functions. For example, if a given function is non-negative, a polynomial approximation of the function is not necessarily also…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-20 Vidhi Zala , Robert M. Kirby , Akil Narayan

Portfolio management problems are often divided into two types: active and passive, where the objective is to outperform and track a preselected benchmark, respectively. Here, we formulate and solve a dynamic asset allocation problem that…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-07-31 Ali Al-Aradi , Sebastian Jaimungal

Stochastic approximation methods play a central role in maximum likelihood estimation problems involving intractable likelihood functions, such as marginal likelihoods arising in problems with missing or incomplete data, and in parametric…

Computation · Statistics 2020-06-02 Valentin De Bortoli , Alain Durmus , Marcelo Pereyra , Ana F. Vidal

In this paper, we consider the problem of stochastic optimization, where the objective function is in terms of the expectation of a (possibly non-convex) cost function that is parametrized by a random variable. While the convergence speed…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-23 Naeimeh Omidvar , An Liu , Vincent Lau , Danny H. K. Tsang , Mohammad Reza Pakravan

This paper aims to develop new mathematical and computational tools for modeling the distribution of portfolio returns across portfolios. We establish relevant mathematical formulas and propose efficient algorithms, drawing upon powerful…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-05-17 Ludovic Calès , Apostolos Chalkis , Ioannis Z. Emiris
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