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We find economically and statistically significant gains when using machine learning for portfolio allocation between the market index and risk-free asset. Optimal portfolio rules for time-varying expected returns and volatility are…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-05 Michael Pinelis , David Ruppert

Model predictive control (MPC) is an optimal control method that predicts the future states of the system being controlled and estimates the optimal control inputs that drive the predicted states to the required reference. The computations…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-05 Eslam Mostafa , Hussein A. Aly , Ahmed Elliethy

This paper is concerned with portfolio optimization models for creating high-quality lists of recommended items to balance the accuracy and diversity of recommendations. However, the statistics (i.e., expectation and covariance of ratings)…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2024-10-01 Tomoya Yanagi , Shunnosuke Ikeda , Yuichi Takano

This paper proposes an Adaptive Stochastic Model Predictive Control (MPC) strategy for stable linear time-invariant systems in the presence of bounded disturbances. We consider multi-input, multi-output systems that can be expressed by a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-12-11 Monimoy Bujarbaruah , Charlott Vallon

In this paper we present an evolutionary optimization approach to solve the risk parity portfolio selection problem. While there exist convex optimization approaches to solve this problem when long-only portfolios are considered, the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-04-14 Ronald Hochreiter

We consider the issue of intensification/diversification balance in the context of a memetic algorithm for the multiobjective optimization of investment portfolios with cardinality constraints. We approach this issue in this work by…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-12-06 Feijoo Colomine Durán , Carlos Cotta , Antonio J. Fernández-Leiva

We address the problem of executing large client orders in continuous double-auction markets under time and liquidity constraints. We propose a model predictive control (MPC) framework that balances three competing objectives: order…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-04-01 Thomas P. McAuliffe , Samuel Liew , Yuchao Li , Andrey Ushenin , Chihang Wang , Alexandros Tasos , Jack Pearce , Dimitris Tasoulis , Dimitri P. Bertsekas , Theodoros Tsagaris

This work extends a previous work in regime detection, which allowed trading positions to be profitably adjusted when a new regime was detected, to ex ante prediction of regimes, leading to substantial performance improvements over the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-10 Piotr Pomorski , Denise Gorse

This paper considers the mean variance portfolio management problem. We examine portfolios which contain both primary and derivative securities. The challenge in this context is due to portfolio's nonlinearities. The delta-gamma…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2011-11-08 Yang Li , Traian A Pirvu

Time distributed optimization is an implementation strategy that can significantly reduce the computational burden of model predictive control by exploiting its robustness to incomplete optimization. When using this strategy, optimization…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-04-14 Dominic Liao-McPherson , Marco Nicotra , Ilya Kolmanovsky

In this paper we develop a concrete and fully implementable approach to the optimization of functionally generated portfolios in stochastic portfolio theory. The main idea is to optimize over a family of rank-based portfolios parameterized…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-10-12 Steven Campbell , Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

This paper tests whether graph neural networks improve realized volatility forecasts and whether those forecasts improve portfolio performance. Using weekly realized volatility for 465 S&P 500 equities from 2015-2025, Heterogeneous…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-21 Rylan Wade

Traditional risk-adjusted returns, such as the Treynor, Sharpe, Sortino, and Information ratios, have been pivotal in portfolio asset allocation, focusing on minimizing risk while maximizing profit. Nevertheless, these metrics often fail to…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-07-09 Ju-Hong Lee , Bayartsetseg Kalina , KwangTek Na

In this paper, we consider the optimal portfolio liquidation problem under the dynamic mean-variance criterion and derive time-consistent solutions in three important models. We give adapted optimal strategies under a reconsidered…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2015-11-02 Jia-Wen Gu , Mogens Steffensen

We extend Relative Robust Portfolio Optimisation models to allow portfolios to optimise their distance to a set of benchmarks. Portfolio managers are also given the option of computing regret in a way which is more in line with market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-01-12 Gonçalo Simões , Mark McDonald , Stacy Williams , Daniel Fenn , Raphael Hauser

We propose model predictive funnel control, a novel model predictive control (MPC) scheme building upon recent results in funnel control. The latter is a high-gain feedback methodology that achieves evolution of the measured output within…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-27 Jens Göbel , Dario Dennstädt , Lukas Lanza , Karl Worthmann , Thomas Berger , Tobias Damm

We study the relationship between model complexity and out-of-sample performance in the context of mean-variance portfolio optimization. Representing model complexity by the number of assets, we find that the performance of low-dimensional…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-12-02 Yonghe Lu , Yanrong Yang , Terry Zhang

We present a multi-objective portfolio decision model that involves selecting both a portfolio of projects and a set of elements to allocate to each project. Our model includes a defined set of objectives to optimize, with projects…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-03-05 Maria Barbati , Salvatore Greco , José Rui Figueira

We study the problem of optimal long term portfolio selection with a view to beat a benchmark. Two kinds of objectives are considered. One concerns the probability of outperforming the benchmark and seeks either to minimise the decay rate…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-04 Anatolii A. Puhalskii

We discuss - in what is intended to be a pedagogical fashion - generalized "mean-to-risk" ratios for portfolio optimization. The Sharpe ratio is only one example of such generalized "mean-to-risk" ratios. Another example is what we term the…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-12 Zura Kakushadze , Willie Yu