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Regression problems with time-series predictors are common in banking and many other areas of application. In this paper, we use multi-head attention networks to develop interpretable features and use them to achieve good predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-05-26 Tianjie Wang , Jie Chen , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

Given high-dimensional time series data (e.g., sensor data), how can we detect anomalous events, such as system faults and attacks? More challengingly, how can we do this in a way that captures complex inter-sensor relationships, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-06-15 Ailin Deng , Bryan Hooi

Time series are the primary data type used to record dynamic system measurements and generated in great volume by both physical sensors and online processes (virtual sensors). Time series analytics is therefore crucial to unlocking the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Ming Jin , Huan Yee Koh , Qingsong Wen , Daniele Zambon , Cesare Alippi , Geoffrey I. Webb , Irwin King , Shirui Pan

We introduce a neural network conformal prediction method for time series that enhances adaptivity in non-stationary environments. Our approach acts as a neural controller designed to achieve desired target coverage, leveraging auxiliary…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-25 Ruipu Li , Alexander Rodríguez

Traffic flow forecasting on graphs has real-world applications in many fields, such as transportation system and computer networks. Traffic forecasting can be highly challenging due to complex spatial-temporal correlations and non-linear…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Aosong Feng , Leandros Tassiulas

Deep neural networks have recently demonstrated the traffic prediction capability with the time series data obtained by sensors mounted on road segments. However, capturing spatio-temporal features of the traffic data often requires a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-19 Youngjoo Kim , Peng Wang , Lyudmila Mihaylova

Time Series forecasting (univariate and multivariate) is a problem of high complexity due the different patterns that have to be detected in the input, ranging from high to low frequencies ones. In this paper we propose a new model for…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-07 Matteo Maggiolo , Gerasimos Spanakis

Anomaly detection on multivariate time-series is of great importance in both data mining research and industrial applications. Recent approaches have achieved significant progress in this topic, but there is remaining limitations. One major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-09-07 Hang Zhao , Yujing Wang , Juanyong Duan , Congrui Huang , Defu Cao , Yunhai Tong , Bixiong Xu , Jing Bai , Jie Tong , Qi Zhang

Ensemble forecasts from numerical weather prediction models show systematic errors that require correction via post-processing. While there has been substantial progress in flexible neural network-based post-processing methods over the past…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-17 Moritz Feik , Sebastian Lerch , Jan Stühmer

Accurate demand forecasting is critical for enhancing the efficiency and responsiveness of food delivery platforms, where spatial heterogeneity and temporal fluctuations in order volumes directly influence operational decisions. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-22 Rabia Latief Bhat , Iqra Altaf Gillani

Recurrent neural networks are a powerful means to cope with time series. We show how autoregressive linear, i.e., linearly activated recurrent neural networks (LRNNs) can approximate any time-dependent function f(t). The approximation can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Frieder Stolzenburg , Sandra Litz , Olivia Michael , Oliver Obst

Short-term demand forecasting models commonly combine convolutional and recurrent layers to extract complex spatiotemporal patterns in data. Long-term histories are also used to consider periodicity and seasonality patterns as time series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-15 Doyup Lee , Suehun Jung , Yeongjae Cheon , Dongil Kim , Seungil You

Temporal graphs offer more accurate modeling of many real-world scenarios than static graphs. However, neighbor aggregation, a critical building block of graph networks, for temporal graphs, is currently straightforwardly extended from that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-09-27 Yizhou Chen , Anxiang Zeng , Guangda Huzhang , Qingtao Yu , Kerui Zhang , Cao Yuanpeng , Kangle Wu , Han Yu , Zhiming Zhou

Traffic forecasting is important for the success of intelligent transportation systems. Deep learning models, including convolution neural networks and recurrent neural networks, have been extensively applied in traffic forecasting problems…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-07-08 Weiwei Jiang , Jiayun Luo

Spatial-temporal network traffic forecasting is a challenging task due to the complex spatial relationships and dynamic temporal patterns present in each node. Traditional regression methods are not directly applicable to such graph data.…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Jinming Xing , Guoheng Sun , Hui Sun , Linchao Pan , Shakir Mahmood , Xuanhao Luo , Muhammad Shahzad

Managing microservice architectures in distributed systems is complex and resource intensive due to the high frequency and dynamic nature of inter service interactions. Accurate prediction of these future interactions can enhance adaptive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-28 Ghazal Khodabandeh , Alireza Ezaz , Majid Babaei , Naser Ezzati-Jivan

A variety of real-world processes (over networks) produce sequences of data whose complex temporal dynamics need to be studied. More especially, the event timestamps can carry important information about the underlying network dynamics,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-03-27 Shuai Xiao , Junchi Yan , Mehrdad Farajtabar , Le Song , Xiaokang Yang , Hongyuan Zha

Traffic forecasting influences various intelligent transportation system (ITS) services and is of great significance for user experience as well as urban traffic control. It is challenging due to the fact that the road network contains…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-24 Yiwen Sun , Yulu Wang , Kun Fu , Zheng Wang , Changshui Zhang , Jieping Ye

The challenge of effectively learning inter-series correlations for multivariate time series forecasting remains a substantial and unresolved problem. Traditional deep learning models, which are largely dependent on the Transformer paradigm…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Wanlin Cai , Kun Wang , Hao Wu , Xiaoxu Chen , Yuankai Wu

Traffic forecasting is a problem of intelligent transportation systems (ITS) and crucial for individuals and public agencies. Therefore, researches pay great attention to deal with the complex spatio-temporal dependencies of traffic system…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-07 Yanjun Qin , Yuchen Fang , Haiyong Luo , Fang Zhao , Chenxing Wang