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In clinical trials, there is potential to improve precision and reduce the required sample size by appropriately adjusting for baseline variables in the statistical analysis. This is called covariate adjustment. Despite recommendations by…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-20 Kelly Van Lancker , Joshua Betz , Michael Rosenblum

In this paper, we consider an experimental setting where units enter the experiment sequentially. Our goal is to form stopping rules which lead to estimators of treatment effects with a given precision. We propose a fixed-width confidence…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-07 Mattias Nordin , Mårten Schultzberg

Test procedures for multiple hypotheses in a group sequential clinical trial that control the family-wise error rate are considered. Several graphical group sequential tests suggested in the literature, which are special cases of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-13 Liane Kluge , Werner Brannath

Multi-arm multi-stage (MAMS) trials have gained popularity to enhance the efficiency of clinical trials, potentially reducing both duration and costs. This paper focuses on designing MAMS trials where no control treatment exists. This can…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-12 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Pavel Mozgunov

In a group sequential clinical trial, accumulated data are analysed at numerous time-points in order to allow early decisions about a hypothesis of interest. These designs have historically been recommended for their ethical, administrative…

Computation · Statistics 2017-11-29 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

Biomarker subpopulations have become increasingly important for drug development in targeted therapies. The use of biomarkers has the potential to facilitate more effective outcomes by guiding patient selection appropriately, thus enhancing…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-08-07 Ting-Yu Chen , Jing Zhao , Linda Sun , Keaven Anderson

Numerous publications have now addressed the principles of designing, analyzing, and reporting the results of, stepped-wedge cluster randomized trials. In contrast, there is little research available pertaining to the design and analysis of…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-06-29 Michael Grayling , Adrian Mander , James Wason

Gaussian Process (GP) models are widely utilized as surrogate models in scientific and engineering fields. However, standard GP models are limited to continuous variables due to the difficulties in establishing correlation structures for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-05 Mingyu Pu , Songhao Wang , Haowei Wang , Szu Hui Ng

Genome-wide association analysis has generated much discussion about how to preserve power to detect signals despite the detrimental effect of multiple testing on power. We develop a weighted multiple testing procedure that facilitates the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Kathryn Roeder , Bernie Devlin , Larry Wasserman

Primarily motivated by the drug development process, several publications have now presented methodology for the design of multi-arm multi-stage experiments with normally distributed outcome variables of known variance. Here, we extend…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-12-04 Michael Grayling , James Wason , Adrian Mander

Stochastic gradient descent (SGD) is a popular stochastic optimization method in machine learning. Traditional parallel SGD algorithms, e.g., SimuParallel SGD, often require all nodes to have the same performance or to consume equal…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-08-17 Cheng Daning , Li Shigang , Zhang Yunquan

Multivariate outcomes are common in pragmatic cluster randomized trials. While sample size calculation procedures for multivariate outcomes exist under parallel assignment, none have been developed for a stepped wedge design. In this…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-05 Kendra Davis-Plourde , Monica Taljaard , Fan Li

Sequential algorithms are popular for experimental design, enabling emulation, optimisation and inference to be efficiently performed. For most of these applications bespoke software has been developed, but the approach is general and many…

Computation · Statistics 2021-10-18 Matthew A. Fisher , Onur Teymur , Chris. J. Oates

Randomized experiments are considered the gold standard for estimating causal effects. However, out of the set of possible randomized assignments, some may be likely to produce poor effect estimates and misleading conclusions. Restricted…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-28 Maggie Wang , René F. Kizilcec , Michael Baiocchi

Recently, methodology was presented to facilitate the incorporation of interim analyses in stepped-wedge (SW) cluster randomised trials (CRTs). Here, we extend this previous discussion. We detail how the stopping boundaries, allocation…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-03-28 Michael Grayling , David Robertson , James Wason , Adrian Mander

The graph based approach to multiple testing is an intuitive method that enables a study team to represent clearly, through a directed graph, its priorities for hierarchical testing of multiple hypotheses, and for propagating the available…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-07 Cyrus Mehta , Ajoy Mukhopadhyay , Martin Posch

In oncological clinical trials, overall survival (OS) is the gold-standard endpoint, but long follow-up and treatment switching can delay or dilute detectable effects. Progression-free survival (PFS) often provides earlier evidence and is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-10 Moritz Fabian Danzer , Kaspar Rufibach , Jan Beyersmann , René Schmidt

There is a growing interest in the implementation of platform trials, which provide the flexibility to incorporate new treatment arms during the trial and the ability to halt treatments early based on lack of benefit or observed…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-25 Peter Greenstreet , Thomas Jaki , Alun Bedding , Pavel Mozgunov

Group sequential designs (GSDs) are well established and the most commonly used adaptive design in confirmatory clinical trials with interim analyses. However, they remain underutilised, and their implementation involves unique theoretical…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-09 Zhangyi He , Suzie Cro , Laurent Billot

This paper presents a novel paradigm in simulation-based engineering sciences by introducing a new framework called Generative Parametric Design (GPD). The GPD framework enables the generation of new designs along with their corresponding…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-12-15 Mohammed El Fallaki Idrissi , Jad Mounayer , Sebastian Rodriguez , Fodil Meraghni , Francisco Chinesta