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This paper proposes a nonparametric Bayesian method for exploratory data analysis and feature construction in continuous time series. Our method focuses on understanding shared features in a set of time series that exhibit significant…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2010-08-13 Suchi Saria , Daphne Koller , Anna Penn

Probabilistic regression models the entire predictive distribution of a response variable, offering richer insights than classical point estimates and directly allowing for uncertainty quantification. While diffusion-based generative models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-07 Carlo Kneissl , Christopher Bülte , Philipp Scholl , Gitta Kutyniok

Recently-developed genotype imputation methods are a powerful tool for detecting untyped genetic variants that affect disease susceptibility in genetic association studies. However, existing imputation methods require individual-level…

Applications · Statistics 2010-11-15 Xiaoquan Wen , Matthew Stephens

Ancestral inference for branching processes in random environments involves determining the ancestor distribution parameters using the population sizes of descendant generations. In this paper, we introduce a new methodology for ancestral…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-29 Xiaoran Jiang , Anand N. Vidyashankar

In historical linguistics, the affiliation of languages to a common language family is traditionally carried out using a complex workflow that relies on manually comparing individual languages. Large-scale standardized collections of…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2025-12-09 Frederic Blum , Steffen Herbold , Johann-Mattis List

The Random Language Model, proposed as a simple model of human languages, is defined by the averaged model of a probabilistic context-free grammar. This grammar expresses the process of sentence generation as a tree graph with nodes having…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-07-07 Kai Nakaishi , Koji Hukushima

One of the fundamental questions of cultural evolutionary research is how individual-level processes scale up to generate population-level patterns. Previous studies in music have revealed that frequency-based bias (e.g. conformity and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-07-01 Mason Youngblood

We study a variable length Markov chain model associated with a group of stationary processes that share the same context tree but each process has potentially different conditional probabilities. We propose a new model selection and…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-01-01 Alexandre Belloni , Roberto I. Oliveira

We investigate three different methods for systematically approximating the diffusion coefficient of a deterministic random walk on the line which contains dynamical correlations that change irregularly under parameter variation. Capturing…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-05-28 Georgie Knight , Rainer Klages

Statistical studies of languages have focused on the rank-frequency distribution of words. Instead, we introduce here a measure of how word ranks change in time and call this distribution \emph{rank diversity}. We calculate this diversity…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2015-05-15 Germinal Cocho , Jorge Flores , Carlos Gershenson , Carlos Pineda , Sergio Sánchez

Typologically diverse benchmarks are increasingly created to track the progress achieved in multilingual NLP. Linguistic diversity of these data sets is typically measured as the number of languages or language families included in the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2024-04-17 Tanja Samardzic , Ximena Gutierrez , Christian Bentz , Steven Moran , Olga Pelloni

We study the existence of densities for distributions of piecewise deterministic Markov processes. We also obtain relationships between invariant densities of the continuous time process and that of the process observed at jump times. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-03 Piotr Gwiżdż , Marta Tyran-Kamińska

We consider a general branching population where the lifetimes of individuals are i.i.d.\ with arbitrary distribution and where each individual gives birth to new individuals at Poisson times independently from each other. In addition, we…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-01-26 Benoit Henry

Semantics, morphology and syntax are strongly interdependent. However, the majority of computational methods for semantic change detection use distributional word representations which encode mostly semantics. We investigate an alternative…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2021-09-23 Mario Giulianelli , Andrey Kutuzov , Lidia Pivovarova

This paper presents a pre-processing and a distance which improve the performance of machine learning algorithms working on independent and identically distributed stochastic processes. We introduce a novel non-parametric approach to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-09-04 Gautier Marti , Philippe Very , Philippe Donnat

The Chapter starts with introductory information about quantitative linguistics notions, like rank--frequency dependence, Zipf's law, frequency spectra, etc. Similarities in distributions of words in texts with level occupation in quantum…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-01-04 Andrij Rovenchak

We consider a multi-type Moran model (in continuous time) with selection and type-dependent mutation. This paper is concerned with the evolution of genealogical information forward in time. For this purpose we define and analytically…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-11-19 Peter Seidel

We reconsider the deterministic haploid mutation-selection equation with two types. This is an ordinary differential equation that describes the type distribution (forward in time) in a population of infinite size. This paper establishes…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-09-25 Ellen Baake , Fernando Cordero , Sebastian Hummel

The paper deals with a certain class of random evolutions. We develop a construction that yields an invariant measure for a continuous-time Markov process with random transitions. The approach is based on a particular way of constructing…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-20 Y. Belopolskaya , Y. Suhov

Many problems in the geophysical sciences demand the ability to calibrate the parameters and predict the time evolution of complex dynamical models using sequentially-collected data. Here we introduce a general methodology for the joint…

Computation · Statistics 2018-12-12 Sara Pérez-Vieites , Inés P. Mariño , Joaquín Míguez