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We develop a mathematical framework to optimize leveraged staking ("loopy") strategies in Decentralized Finance (DeFi), in which a staked asset is supplied as collateral, the underlying is borrowed and re-staked, and the loop can be…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-21 Bastien Baude , Vincent Danos , Hamza El Khalloufi

Previous research has shown that for stock indices, the most likely time until a return of a particular size has been observed is longer for gains than for losses. We establish that this so-called gain/loss asymmetry is present also for…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-25 Johannes Vitalis Siven , Jeffrey Todd Lins

In stochastic portfolio theory, a relative arbitrage is an equity portfolio which is guaranteed to outperform a benchmark portfolio over a finite horizon. When the market is diverse and sufficiently volatile, and the benchmark is the market…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-11-26 Ting-Kam Leonard Wong

Equity premium, the surplus returns of stocks over bonds, has been an enduring puzzle. While numerous prior works approach the problem assuming the utility of money is invariant across contexts, our approach implies that in efficient…

General Economics · Economics 2024-01-18 B. N. Kausik

This paper aims to more effectively manage and mitigate stock market risks by accurately characterizing financial market returns and volatility. We enhance the Stochastic Volatility (SV) model by incorporating fat-tailed distributions and…

Applications · Statistics 2024-12-31 Minheng Xiao

Research in quantitative finance has demonstrated that reinforcement learning (RL) methods have delivered promising outcomes in the context of hedging financial portfolios. For example, hedging a portfolio of European options using RL…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-07-16 Anil Sharma , Freeman Chen , Jaesun Noh , Julio DeJesus , Mario Schlener

We model leverage as stochastic but independent of return shocks and of volatility and perform likelihood-based inference via the recently developed iterated filtering algorithm using S&P500 data, contributing new evidence to the still slim…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-01-16 Carles Bretó

The coupled nonlinear volatility and option pricing model presented recently by Ivancevic is investigated, which generates a leverage effect, i.e., stock volatility is (negatively) correlated to stock returns, and can be regarded as a…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-05-27 Zhenya Yan

We review the dynamics of the returns of Leveraged Exchange Traded Funds (LETFs) and propose a new measure of realized volatility: Shortfall from Maximum Convexity. We show that SMC has a more intuitive interpretation and provides more…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-06 Matthew Ginley

A macroeconomic model based on the economic variables (i) assets, (ii) leverage (defined as debt over asset) and (iii) trust (defined as the maximum sustainable leverage) is proposed to investigate the role of credit in the dynamics of…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2016-08-24 Jeroen Rozendaal , Yannick Malevergne , Didier Sornette

This paper presents hedging strategies for European and exotic options in a Levy market. By applying Taylor's Theorem, dynamic hedging portfolios are con- structed under different market assumptions, such as the existence of power jump…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Wing Yan Yip , Sofia Olhede , David Stephens

Large language models (LLMs) have demonstrated promising performance in various financial applications, though their potential in complex investment strategies remains underexplored. To address this gap, we investigate how LLMs can predict…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-12-02 Yoshia Abe , Shuhei Matsuo , Ryoma Kondo , Ryohei Hisano

We study in details the skew of stock option smiles, which is induced by the so-called leverage effect on the underlying -- i.e. the correlation between past returns and future square returns. This naturally explains the anomalous…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-02 Stefano Ciliberti , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , Marc Potters

We consider a portfolio with call option and the corresponding underlying asset under the standard assumption that stock-market price represents a random variable with lognormal distribution. Minimizing the variance (hedging risk) of the…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-04-27 Vladimir Nikulin

How should financial institutions hedge their balance sheets against interest rate risk when managing long-term assets and liabilities? We address this question by proposing a bond portfolio solution based on ambiguity-averse preferences,…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-01-01 Tjeerd de Vries , Alexis Akira Toda

In the stochastic volatility models for multivariate daily stock returns, it has been found that the estimates of parameters become unstable as the dimension of returns increases. To solve this problem, we focus on the factor structure of…

Econometrics · Economics 2021-09-16 Yuta Yamauchi , Yasuhiro Omori

We propose a novel approach to infer investors' risk preferences from their portfolio choices, and then use the implied risk preferences to measure the efficiency of investment portfolios. We analyze a dataset spanning a period of six…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-10-28 Agostino Capponi , Zhaoyu Zhang

Stochastic portfolio theory aims at finding relative arbitrages, i.e. trading strategies which outperform the market with probability one. Functionally generated portfolios, which are deterministic functions of the market weights, are an…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-01-19 Patrick Mijatovic

Recently, the application of advanced machine learning methods for asset management has become one of the most intriguing topics. Unfortunately, the application of these methods, such as deep neural networks, is difficult due to the data…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-07-05 Jinho Lee , Sungwoo Park , Jungyu Ahn , Jonghun Kwak

In this article, we consider the small-time asymptotics of options on a \emph{Leveraged Exchange-Traded Fund} (LETF) when the underlying Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) exhibits both local volatility and jumps of either finite or infinite…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-22 José E. Figueroa-López , Ruoting Gong , Matthew Lorig