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We develop an all-at-once modeling framework for learning systems of ordinary differential equations (ODE) from scarce, partial, and noisy observations of the states. The proposed methodology amounts to a combination of sparse recovery…

This paper introduces an Ordinary Differential Equation (ODE) notion for survival analysis. The ODE notion not only provides a unified modeling framework, but more importantly, also enables the development of a widely applicable, scalable,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-12-07 Weijing Tang , Kevin He , Gongjun Xu , Ji Zhu

Accuracy and generalization capabilities are key objectives when learning dynamical system models. To obtain such models from limited data, current works exploit prior knowledge and assumptions about the system. However, the fusion of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-08-22 Björn Volkmann , Jan-Hendrik Ewering , Michael Meindl , Simon F. G. Ehlers , Thomas Seel

We present a novel framework combining Deep Operator Networks (DeepONets) with Physics-Informed Neural Networks (PINNs) to solve partial differential equations (PDEs) and estimate their unknown parameters. By integrating data-driven…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-05 Amogh Raj , Carol Eunice Gudumotou , Sakol Bun , Keerthana Srinivasa , Arash Sarshar

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Neural ordinary differential equations (Neural ODEs) are an effective framework for learning dynamical systems from irregularly sampled time series data. These models provide a continuous-time latent representation of the underlying…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-06 Edward De Brouwer , Rahul G. Krishnan

State-space models (SSMs) are a highly expressive model class for learning patterns in time series data and for system identification. Deterministic versions of SSMs (e.g. LSTMs) proved extremely successful in modeling complex time series…

An approach is introduced for comparing the estimated states of stochastic compartmental models for an epidemic or biological process with analytically obtained solutions from the corresponding system of ordinary differential equations…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2023-06-30 Alison C Hale , Christopher P Jewell

The optimization of the latents and parameters of diffusion models with respect to some differentiable metric defined on the output of the model is a challenging and complex problem. The sampling for diffusion models is done by solving…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-02-13 Zander W. Blasingame , Chen Liu

We consider time series data modeled by ordinary differential equations (ODEs), widespread models in physics, chemistry, biology and science in general. The sensitivity analysis of such dynamical systems usually requires calculation of…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-09-20 Valdemar Melicher , Tom Haber , Wim Vanroose

Conditional density estimation (CDE) models can be useful for many statistical applications, especially because the full conditional density is estimated instead of traditional regression point estimates, revealing more information about…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-12 Alex Akira Okuno , Felipe Maia Polo

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a natural framework for modelling intrinsic stochasticity inherent in many continuous-time physical processes. When such processes are observed in multiple individuals or experimental units,…

Computation · Statistics 2016-05-19 Gavin A. Whitaker , Andrew Golightly , Richard J. Boys , Chris Sherlock

The machine learning community has recently put effort into quantized or low-precision arithmetics to scale large models. This paper proposes performing probabilistic inference in the quantized, discrete parameter space created by these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-20 Aleksanteri Sladek , Martin Trapp , Arno Solin

Recent work on Path-Dependent Partial Differential Equations (PPDEs) has shown that PPDE solutions can be approximated by a probabilistic representation, implemented in the literature by the estimation of conditional expectations using…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-05 Jiang Yu Nguwi , Nicolas Privault

To derive the hidden dynamics from observed data is one of the fundamental but also challenging problems in many different fields. In this study, we propose a new type of interpretable network called the ordinary differential equation…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-19 Pipi Hu , Wuyue Yang , Yi Zhu , Liu Hong

State estimation or filtering serves as a fundamental task to enable intelligent decision-making in applications such as autonomous vehicles, robotics, healthcare monitoring, smart grids, intelligent transportation, and predictive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-16 Aamir Hussain Chughtai

We propose a reduced-order model for the instantaneous hydrodynamic force on a cylinder. The model consists of a system of two ordinary differential equations (ODEs), which can be integrated in time to yield very accurate histories of the…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2024-10-21 Osama A. Marzouk

Mathematical models that couple partial differential equations (PDEs) and spatially distributed ordinary differential equations (ODEs) arise in biology, medicine, chemistry and many other fields. In this paper we discuss an extension to the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2017-08-28 Patrick E. Farrell , Johan E. Hake , Simon W. Funke , Marie E. Rognes

Data in many applications follows systems of Ordinary Differential Equations (ODEs). This paper presents a novel algorithmic and symbolic construction for covariance functions of Gaussian Processes (GPs) with realizations strictly following…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-08-29 Andreas Besginow , Markus Lange-Hegermann

Neural Ordinary Differential Equations (N-ODEs) are a powerful building block for learning systems, which extend residual networks to a continuous-time dynamical system. We propose a Bayesian version of N-ODEs that enables well-calibrated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-19 Andreas Look , Melih Kandemir