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Electric grid faults can cause catastrophic wildfires, particularly in regions with high winds and low humidity. In real-time operations, electric utilities are often left with few options for wildfire risk mitigation, leading to use of…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-17 Noah Rhodes , Lewis Ntaimo , Line Roald

A cellular automaton (CA)-based modeling approach to simulate wildfire spread, emphasizing its strengths in capturing complex fire dynamics and its integration with geographic information systems (GIS). The model introduces an enhanced…

Cellular Automata and Lattice Gases · Physics 2024-03-15 Rohit Ghosh , Jishnu Adhikary , Rezki Chemlal

We use Hartnell's model for virus spread on a graph, also known as firefighting. For rooted trees, we propose an Unburning Algorithm, a type of greedy algorithm starting from the leaves and working back towards the root. We show that the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2024-09-24 Andrea Barnett , Robert Bond , Anthony Macias , Thomas W. Mattman , Bill Parnell , Ely Schoenfield

In this paper, a branching process approximation for the spread of a Reed-Frost epidemic on a network with tunable clustering is derived. The approximation gives rise to expressions for the epidemic threshold and the probability of a large…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-08-30 Tom Britton , Maria Deijfen , Andreas Nordvall Lagerås , Mathias Lindholm

Averting the impending harms of climate change requires to replace fossil fuels with renewables as a primary source of energy. Non-electric renewable potential being limited, this implies extending the use of electricity generated from wind…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-12-21 Leonard Göke

Building fires pose a persistent threat to life, property, and infrastructure, emphasizing the need for advanced risk mitigation strategies. This study presents a data-driven framework analyzing U.S. fire risks by integrating over one…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-01 Chenzhi Ma , Hongru Du , Shengzhi Luan , Ensheng Dong , Lauren M. Gardner , Thomas Gernay

In this article, we propose a systematic approach for fire station location planning. We develop machine learning models, based on Random Forest and Extreme Gradient Boosting, for demand prediction and utilize the models further to define a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-22 Arnab Dey , Andrew Heger , Darin England

In single channel wireless networks, concurrent transmission at different links may interfere with each other. To improve system throughput, a scheduling algorithm is necessary to choose a subset of links at each time slot for data…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2012-10-30 Ali Ghiasian , Behnaz Omoomi , Hossein Saidi

The increasing incidence and severity of wildfires underscores the necessity of accurately predicting their behavior. While high-fidelity models derived from first principles offer physical accuracy, they are too computationally expensive…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-01 John Burge , Matthew R. Bonanni , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme

Electric power infrastructure has ignited several of the most destructive wildfires in recent history. Preemptive power shutoffs are an effective tool to mitigate the risk of ignitions from power lines, but at the same time can cause…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-01-06 Noah Rhodes , Line Roald

This paper presents a comprehensive risk assessment model for power distribution networks with a focus on the influence of climate conditions and vegetation management on outage risks. Using a dataset comprising outage records,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-13 Di Zhao , Umar Salman , Zongjie Wang

The ability to forecast grass fire spread could be of a great importance for agencies making decisions about prescribed burns. However, the usefulness of the models used for fire-spread predictions is limited by the time required for…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2011-12-23 Adam K. Kochanski , S. K. Krueger , M. A. Jenkins , J. Mandel , J. D. Beezley

Given a graph $G=(V,E)$, the problem of \gb{} is to find a sequence of nodes from $V$, called burning sequence, in order to burn the whole graph. This is a discrete-step process, in each step an unburned vertex is selected as an agent to…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2022-09-16 Rahul Kumar Gautam , Anjeneya Swami Kare , Durga Bhavani S

Computational simulations of wildfire spread typically employ empirical rate-of-spread calculations under various conditions (such as terrain, fuel type, weather). Small perturbations in conditions can often lead to significant changes in…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-14 Andrew Bolt , Carolyn Huston , Petra Kuhnert , Joel Janek Dabrowski , James Hilton , Conrad Sanderson

The interaction between power systems and wildfires can be dangerous and costly. Damaged structures, load shedding, and high operational costs are potential consequences when the grid is unprepared. In fact, the operation of distribution…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-05-10 Felipe Piancó , Alexandre Moreira , Bruno Fanzeres , Ruiwei Jiang , Chaoyue Zhao , Miguel Heleno

The graph burning problem is an NP-hard combinatorial optimization problem that helps quantify the vulnerability of a graph to contagion. This paper introduces a simple farthest-first traversal-based approximation algorithm for this problem…

Graph burning is a deterministic, discrete-time process that models how influence or contagion spreads in a graph. Associated to each graph is its burning number, which is a parameter that quantifies how quickly the influence spreads. We…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2020-09-23 Anthony Bonato

The increasing frequency and intensity of wildfires poses severe threats to the secure and stable operation of power grids, particularly one that is interspersed with renewable generation. Unlike conventional contingencies, wildfires affect…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 Satyaprajna Sahoo , Anamitra Pal

Graph burning is a simple model for the spread of social influence in networks. The objective is to measure how quickly a fire (e.g., a piece of fake news) can be spread in a network. The burning process takes place in discrete rounds. In…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2019-09-05 Shahin Kamali , Avery Miller , Kenny Zhang

Prescribed burns are currently the most effective method of reducing the risk of widespread wildfires, but a largely missing component in forest management is knowing which fuels one can safely burn to minimize exposure to toxic smoke. Here…

Applications · Statistics 2020-12-09 Lorenzo Tomaselli , Coty Jen , Ann B. Lee
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