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Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a unifying conceptual framework for statistical arbitrage and a novel data driven solution. First, we construct arbitrage portfolios of similar…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-11 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez , Markus Pelger , Greg Zanotti

Statistical arbitrage exploits temporal price differences between similar assets. We develop a framework to jointly identify similar assets through factors, identify mispricing and form a trading policy that maximizes risk-adjusted…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-14 Elliot L. Epstein , Rose Wang , Jaewon Choi , Markus Pelger

Statistical arbitrage is a prevalent trading strategy which takes advantage of mean reverse property of spread of paired stocks. Studies on this strategy often rely heavily on model assumption. In this study, we introduce an innovative…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-03-20 Boming Ning , Kiseop Lee

Statistical arbitrage methods identify mispricings in securities with the goal of building portfolios which are weakly correlated with the market. In pairs trading, an arbitrage opportunity is identified by observing relative price…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-10-13 Fredi Šarić , Stjepan Begušić , Andro Merćep , Zvonko Kostanjčar

We introduce a simple and tractable methodology for estimating semiparametric conditional latent factor models. Our approach disentangles the roles of characteristics in capturing factor betas of asset returns from ``alpha.'' We construct…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-29 Qihui Chen , Nikolai Roussanov , Xiaoliang Wang

The present paper provides a study of high-dimensional statistical arbitrage that combines factor models with the tools from stochastic control, obtaining closed-form optimal strategies which are both interpretable and computationally…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-06-25 Jorge Guijarro-Ordonez

This paper examines the implementation of a statistical arbitrage trading strategy based on co-integration relationships where we discover candidate portfolios using multiple factors rather than just price data. The portfolio selection…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-05-13 Wenbin Zhang , Zhen Dai , Bindu Pan , Milan Djabirov

We consider a conditional factor model for a multivariate portfolio of United States equities in the context of analysing a statistical arbitrage trading strategy. A state space framework underlies the factor model whereby asset returns are…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-06 Trent Spears , Stefan Zohren , Stephen Roberts

In this article, we analyse optimal statistical arbitrage strategies from stochastic control and optimisation problems for multiple co-integrated stocks with eigenportfolios being factors. Optimal portfolio weights are found by solving a…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-09 T. N. Li , A. Papanicolaou

We use multi-class machine learning classifiers to identify the stocks that outperform or underperform other stocks. The resulting long-short portfolios achieve annual Sharpe ratios of 1.67 (value-weighted) and 3.35 (equal-weighted), with…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-24 Yang Bai , Kuntara Pukthuanthong

In this paper, the optimal mean-reverting portfolio (MRP) design problem is considered, which plays an important role for the statistical arbitrage (a.k.a. pairs trading) strategy in financial markets. The target of the optimal MRP design…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-03-09 Ziping Zhao , Rui Zhou , Zhongju Wang , Daniel P. Palomar

In this paper we introduce a novel approach to risk estimation based on nonlinear factor models - the "StressVaR" (SVaR). Developed to evaluate the risk of hedge funds, the SVaR appears to be applicable to a wide range of investments. Its…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-23 Cyril Coste , Raphael Douady , Ilija I. Zovko

Recent developments in deep learning techniques have motivated intensive research in machine learning-aided stock trading strategies. However, since the financial market has a highly non-stationary nature hindering the application of…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-12-15 Kentaro Imajo , Kentaro Minami , Katsuya Ito , Kei Nakagawa

We propose a new pseudo-Siamese Network for Asset Pricing (SNAP) model, based on deep learning approaches, for conditional asset pricing. Our model allows for the deep alpha, deep beta and deep factor risk premia conditional on high…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-09-08 Hongyi Liu

Changes in market conditions present challenges for investors as they cause performance to deviate from the ranges predicted by long-term averages of means and covariances. The aim of conditional asset allocation strategies is to overcome…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-03 Reza Bradrania , Davood Pirayesh Neghab

Statistical arbitrage is a class of financial trading strategies using mean reversion models. The corresponding techniques rely on a number of assumptions which may not hold for general non-stationary stochastic processes. This paper…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-02 Christopher Mohri

We study and formulate arbitrage in display advertising. Real-Time Bidding (RTB) mimics stock spot exchanges and utilises computers to algorithmically buy display ads per impression via a real-time auction. Despite the new automation, the…

Computer Science and Game Theory · Computer Science 2015-06-15 Weinan Zhang , Jun Wang

Opportunities for stochastic arbitrage in an options market arise when it is possible to construct a portfolio of options which provides a positive option premium and which, when combined with a direct investment in the underlying asset,…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-23 Brendan K. Beare , Juwon Seo , Zhongxi Zheng

Stock trend forecasting, a challenging problem in the financial domain, involves ex-tensive data and related indicators. Relying solely on empirical analysis often yields unsustainable and ineffective results. Machine learning researchers…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2024-10-10 Saber Talazadeh , Dragan Perakovic

This paper investigates estimation and inference of a Spatial Arbitrage Pricing Theory (SAPT) model that integrates spatial interactions with multi-factor analysis, accommodating both observable and latent factors. Building on the classical…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-11-04 Zhaoxing Gao , Sihan Tu , Ruey S. Tsay
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