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Rolling forecasts have been almost overlooked in the renewable energy storage literature. In this paper, we provide a new approach for handling uncertainty not just in the accuracy of a forecast, but in the evolution of forecasts over time.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Saeed Ghadimi , Warren B. Powell

This paper proposes a control strategy for a Reverse Fuel Cell used to manage a Renewable Energy Community. A two-stage scenario-based Model Predictive Control algorithm is designed to define the best economic strategy to be followed during…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-31 Francesco Conte , Gabriele Mosaico , Gianluca Natrella , Matteo Saviozzi , Fiammetta Rita Bianchi

Reference information plays an essential role for making decisions under uncertainty, yet may vary across multiple data sources. In this paper, we study resource allocation in stochastic dynamic environments, where we perform information…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-05 Yanru Guo , Bo Zhou , Ruiwei Jiang , Xi , Yang , Siqian Shen

The maritime industry must prepare for the energy transition from fossil fuels to sustainable alternatives. Making ships future-proof is necessary given their long lifetime, but it is also complex because the future fuel type is uncertain.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-07-01 Berend Markhorst , Joost Berkhout , Alessandro Zocca , Jeroen Pruyn , Rob van der Mei

This paper studies the computation of robust deterministic policies for Markov Decision Processes (MDPs) in the Lightning Does Not Strike Twice (LDST) model of Mannor, Mebel and Xu (ICML '12). In this model, designed to provide robustness…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Fei Wu , Erik Demeulemeester , Jannik Matuschke

Reinforcement learning (RL) has shown promise in solving various combinatorial optimization problems. However, conventional RL faces challenges when dealing with complex, real-world constraints, especially when action space feasibility is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-12 Jaike van Twiller , Yossiri Adulyasak , Erick Delage , Djordje Grbic , Rune Møller Jensen

We investigate a data-driven approach to constructing uncertainty sets for robust optimization problems, where the uncertain problem parameters are modeled as random variables whose joint probability distribution is not known. Relying only…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Polina Alexeenko , Eilyan Bitar

This paper investigates the joint optimization of condition-based maintenance and spare provisioning, incorporating insights obtained from sensor data. Prognostic models estimate components' remaining lifetime distributions (RLDs), which…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-14 Heraldo Rozas , Weijun Xie , Nagi Gebraeel , Stephen Robinson

This paper addresses the transmission network expansion planning problem under uncertain demand and generation capacity. A two-stage adaptive robust optimization framework is adopted whereby the worst-case operating cost is accounted for…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2019-04-04 Cristina Roldán , Roberto Mínguez , Raquel García-Bertrand , José Manuel Arroyo

A decision-maker faces uncertainty governed by a data-generating process (DGP), which is only known to belong to a set of sequences of independent but possibly non-identical distributions. A robust decision maximizes the expected payoff…

Theoretical Economics · Economics 2026-02-12 Xiaoyu Cheng

Traditional approaches to outage-constrained beamforming optimization rely on statistical assumptions about channel distributions and estimation errors. However, the resulting outage probability guarantees are only valid when these…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-27 Xin Su , Qiushuo Hou , Ruisi He , Osvaldo Simeone

When optimizing problems with uncertain parameter values in a linear objective, decision-focused learning enables end-to-end learning of these values. We are interested in a stochastic scheduling problem, in which processing times are…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-08-16 Kim van den Houten , David M. J. Tax , Esteban Freydell , Mathijs de Weerdt

Robust optimization is a popular paradigm for modeling and solving two- and multi-stage decision-making problems affected by uncertainty. In many real-world applications, the time of information discovery is decision-dependent and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-08-24 Phebe Vayanos , Angelos Georghiou , Han Yu

Increasing the adoption of alternative technologies is vital to ensure a successful transition to net-zero emissions in the manufacturing sector. Yet there is no model to analyse technology adoption and the impact of policy interventions in…

General Economics · Economics 2023-04-21 Tom Savage , Antonio del Rio Chanona , Gbemi Oluleye

Semiconductor materials manufacturing presents unique challenges for machine learning deployment due to evolving process conditions, equipment degradation, and raw material variability that can cause model performance deterioration over…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-11 Min Gao , Julia Maria Perathoner , Anton Ludwig Bonin , Steven Eulig , Gianni Klesse

We develop a novel data-driven robust model predictive control (DDRMPC) approach for automatic control of irrigation systems. The fundamental idea is to integrate both mechanistic models, which describe dynamics in soil moisture variations,…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Chao Shang , Wei-Han Chen , Abraham Duncan Stroock , Fengqi You

Despite great successes, model predictive control (MPC) relies on an accurate dynamical model and requires high onboard computational power, impeding its wider adoption in engineering systems, especially for nonlinear real-time systems with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-07-03 Amin Vahidi-Moghaddam , Kaian Chen , Kaixiang Zhang , Zhaojian Li , Yan Wang , Kai Wu

Markov automata combine non-determinism, probabilistic branching, and exponentially distributed delays. This compositional variant of continuous-time Markov decision processes is used in reliability engineering, performance evaluation and…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2017-05-11 Tim Quatmann , Sebastian Junges , Joost-Pieter Katoen

Safe motion planning for robotic systems in dynamic environments is nontrivial in the presence of uncertain obstacles, where estimation of obstacle uncertainties is crucial in predicting future motions of dynamic obstacles. The worst-case…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-01-22 Jian Zhou , Yulong Gao , Ola Johansson , Björn Olofsson , Erik Frisk

Fueled by advances in both robust optimization theory and reinforcement learning (RL), robust Markov Decision Processes (RMDPs) have garnered increasing attention due to their powerful capability for sequential decision-making under…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Wenfan Ou , Sheng Bi
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