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In high-stake scenarios like medical treatment and auto-piloting, it's risky or even infeasible to collect online experimental data to train the agent. Simulation-based training can alleviate this issue, but may suffer from its inherent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-03-16 Jialian Li , Tongzheng Ren , Dong Yan , Hang Su , Jun Zhu

For additive actuator and sensor faults, we propose a systematic method to design a state-space fault estimation filter directly from Markov parameters identified from fault-free data. We address this problem by parameterizing a…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-08-31 Yiming Wan , Tamas Keviczky , Michel Verhaegen

An open research question in deep reinforcement learning is how to focus the policy learning of key decisions within a sparse domain. This paper emphasizes combining the advantages of inputoutput hidden Markov models and reinforcement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-12 Ammar N. Abbas , Georgios Chasparis , John D. Kelleher

Energy infrastructure planning under uncertainty has become increasingly complex as electrification, interdependence between energy carriers, decarbonization, and extreme weather events reshape long-term investment decisions. This paper…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-14 Rahman Khorramfar , Aron Brenner , Lara Booth , Ana Rivera , Ruaridh Macdonald , Priya Donti , Saurabh Amin

We propose a data-driven approach for propagating uncertainty in stochastic power grid simulations and apply it to the estimation of transmission line failure probabilities. A reduced-order equation governing the evolution of the observed…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-01-08 Hongli Zhao , Tyler E. Maltba , D. Adrian Maldonado , Emil Constantinescu , Mihai Anitescu

This paper studies a Markov network model for unbalanced data, aiming to solve the problems of classification bias and insufficient minority class recognition ability of traditional machine learning models in environments with uneven class…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-06 Junliang Du , Shiyu Dou , Bohuan Yang , Jiacheng Hu , Tai An

Design under uncertainty is a challenging problem, as a systems performance can be highly sensitive to variations in input parameters and model uncertainty. A conventional approach to addressing such problems is robust optimization, which…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-09-18 Maryam Ghasemzadeh , H M Dilshad Alam Digonta , Anand Balu Nellippallil , Anton van Beek

Robust planning in interactive scenarios requires predicting the uncertain future to make risk-aware decisions. Unfortunately, due to long-tail safety-critical events, the risk is often under-estimated by finite-sampling approximations of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-13 Haruki Nishimura , Jean Mercat , Blake Wulfe , Rowan McAllister , Adrien Gaidon

In this paper, we develop a two-stage data-driven approach to address the adjustable robust optimization problem, where the uncertainty set is adjustable to manage infeasibility caused by significant or poorly quantified uncertainties. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Xiaoxing Ren , Alessio Moreschini , Zhongda Chu , Yulong Gao , Thomas Parisini

Many real-world decision-making problems face the off-dynamics challenge: the agent learns a policy in a source domain and deploys it in a target domain with different state transitions. The distributionally robust Markov decision process…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-26 Zhishuai Liu , Pan Xu

We present a case study applying learning-based distributionally robust model predictive control to highway motion planning under stochastic uncertainty of the lane change behavior of surrounding road users. The dynamics of road users are…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-11-08 Mathijs Schuurmans , Alexander Katriniok , Christopher Meissen , H. Eric Tseng , Panagiotis Patrinos

We consider an energy storage problem involving a wind farm with a forecasted power output, a stochastic load, an energy storage device, and a connection to the larger power grid with stochastic prices. Electricity prices and wind power…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Joseph L. Durante , Juliana Nascimento , Warren B. Powell

Most research designing novel predictive models, or employing existing ones, assumes that training and testing data are independent and identically distributed. In practice, the data encountered at serving time often deviate from the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-30 Hanyu Duan , Yi Yang , Ahmed Abbasi , Kar Yan Tam

This work studies the planning problem for robotic systems under both quantifiable and unquantifiable uncertainty. The objective is to enable the robotic systems to optimally fulfill high-level tasks specified by Linear Temporal Logic (LTL)…

Robotics · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Pian Yu , Yong Li , David Parker , Marta Kwiatkowska

Tanker water systems play critical role in providing adequate service to meet potable water demands in the face of acute water crisis in many cities globally. Managing tanker movements among the supply and demand sides requires an efficient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-08-02 Abhilasha Maheshwari , Shamik Misra , Ravindra Gudi , Senthilmurugan Subbiah , Chrysi Laspidou

This paper is concerned with a simulation study for a stochastic production network model, where the capacities of machines may change randomly. We introduce performance measures motivated by risk measures from finance leading to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-05-14 Simone Göttlich , Stephan Knapp

This paper deals with a problem of production planning, which is a version of the capacitated single-item lot sizing problem with backordering under demand uncertainty, modeled by uncertain cumulative demands. The well-known interval…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2020-09-15 Romain Guillaume , Adam Kasperski , Pawel Zielinski

Autonomous Mobility-on-Demand (AMoD) services offer an opportunity for improving passenger service while reducing pollution and energy consumption through effective vehicle coordination. A primary challenge in the autonomous fleets…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Xinling Li , Xiaotong Guo , Qingyi Wang , Gioele Zardini , Jinhua Zhao

This paper studies a data-driven predictive control for a class of control-affine systems which is subject to uncertainty. With the accessibility to finite sample measurements of the uncertain variables, we aim to find controls which are…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-05-03 Dan Li , Dariush Fooladivanda , Sonia Martinez

We report a globally-optimal approach to robotic path planning under uncertainty, based on the theory of quantitative measures of formal languages. A significant generalization to the language-measure-theoretic path planning algorithm…

Robotics · Computer Science 2010-08-24 Ishanu Chattopadhyay , Anthony Cascone , Asok Ray