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Related papers: Deep Learning-based Extreme Heatwave Forecast

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Wildfire forecasting is of paramount importance for disaster risk reduction and environmental sustainability. We approach daily fire danger prediction as a machine learning task, using historical Earth observation data from the last decade…

We explore the potential of feed-forward deep neural networks (DNNs) for emulating cloud superparameterization in realistic geography, using offline fits to data from the Super Parameterized Community Atmospheric Model. To identify the…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2021-06-09 Griffin Mooers , Mike Pritchard , Tom Beucler , Jordan Ott , Galen Yacalis , Pierre Baldi , Pierre Gentine

Estimation of extreme conditional quantiles is often required for risk assessment of natural hazards in climate and geo-environmental sciences and for quantitative risk management in statistical finance, econometrics, and actuarial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

Boiling heat transfer occurs in many situations and can be used for thermal management in various engineered systems with high energy density, from power electronics to heat exchangers in power plants and nuclear reactors. Essentially,…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2018-09-26 Yang Liu , Nam Dinh , Yohei Sato , Bojan Niceno

This paper introduces a new methodology for extreme spatial dependence structure selection. It is based on deep learning techniques, specifically Convolutional Neural Networks -CNNs. Two schemes are considered: in the first scheme, the…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2024-09-23 Manaf Ahmed , Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Pierre Ribereau

Despite tremendous progress in developing deep-learning-based weather forecasting systems, their design space, including the impact of different design choices, is yet to be well understood. This paper aims to fill this knowledge gap by…

It is crucial today that economies harness renewable energies and integrate them into the existing grid. Conventionally, energy has been generated based on forecasts of peak and low demands. Renewable energy can neither be produced on…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-02 Alexey Györi , Mathis Niederau , Violett Zeller , Volker Stich

Accurate short-range prediction of extreme air temperature events remains a fundamental challenge in operational climate-risk management. We present Multi-Modal Weather State Transition Model with Anomaly-Driven Recurrent Attention Network…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-18 Shaheen Mohammed Saleh Ahmed , Hakan Hakan Guneyli

We present a deep transformation model for probabilistic regression. Deep learning is known for outstandingly accurate predictions on complex data but in regression tasks, it is predominantly used to just predict a single number. This…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-04-02 Beate Sick , Torsten Hothorn , Oliver Dürr

Climate change poses complex challenges, with extreme weather events becoming increasingly frequent and difficult to model. Examples include the dynamics of Combined Sewer Systems (CSS). Overburdened CSS during heavy rainfall will overflow…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-14 Vipin Singh , Tianheng Ling , Teodor Chiaburu , Felix Biessmann

Deep Learning has recently emerged as a perfect prognosis downscaling technique to compute high-resolution fields from large-scale coarse atmospheric data. Despite their promising results to reproduce the observed local variability, they…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-05-03 Jose González-Abad , Jorge Baño-Medina , Ignacio Heredia Cachá

Modeling the risk of extreme weather events in a changing climate is essential for developing effective adaptation and mitigation strategies. Although the available low-resolution climate models capture different scenarios, accurate risk…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2022-12-06 Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

As the energy landscape changes quickly, grid operators face several challenges, especially when integrating renewable energy sources with the grid. The most important challenge is to balance supply and demand because the solar and wind…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-24 Kamal Sarkar

Identifying regions that have high likelihood for wildfires is a key component of land and forestry management and disaster preparedness. We create a data set by aggregating nearly a decade of remote-sensing data and historical fire records…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Fantine Huot , R. Lily Hu , Matthias Ihme , Qing Wang , John Burge , Tianjian Lu , Jason Hickey , Yi-Fan Chen , John Anderson

Very short-term convective storm forecasting, termed nowcasting, has long been an important issue and has attracted substantial interest. Existing nowcasting methods rely principally on radar images and are limited in terms of nowcasting…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-11-11 Wei Zhang , Wei Li , Lei Han

Deep learning applied to weather forecasting has started gaining popularity because of the progress achieved by data-driven models. The present paper compares two different deep learning architectures to perform weather prediction on daily…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-11 Ismail Alaoui Abdellaoui , Siamak Mehrkanoon

Climate change and sea-level rise (SLR) pose escalating threats to coastal cities, intensifying the need for efficient and accurate methods to predict potential flood hazards. Traditional physics-based hydrodynamic simulators, although…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2025-10-31 Bilal Hassan , Areg Karapetyan , Aaron Chung Hin Chow , Samer Madanat

The study of plasma physics under conditions of extreme temperatures, densities and electromagnetic field strengths is significant for our understanding of astrophysics, nuclear fusion and fundamental physics. These extreme physical systems…

Wildfires pose a significant threat to ecosystems, wildlife, and human communities, leading to habitat destruction, pollutant emissions, and biodiversity loss. Accurate wildfire risk prediction is crucial for mitigating these impacts and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-17 Zhengsen Xu , Jonathan Li , Sibo Cheng , Xue Rui , Yu Zhao , Hongjie He , Haiyan Guan , Aryan Sharma , Matthew Erxleben , Ryan Chang , Linlin Xu

One of the goals of climate science is to characterize the statistics of extreme and potentially dangerous events in the present and future climate. Extreme events like heat waves, droughts, or floods due to persisting rains are…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2020-01-08 Francesco Ragone , Freddy Bouchet