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We shall show in this paper that there are experiments which are Bernoulli trials with success probability p > 0.5, and which have the curious feature that it is possible to correctly predict the outcome with probability > p.

Other Statistics · Statistics 2018-01-09 James D. Stein

In recent years, relatively sharp quantitative results in the spirit of the Besicovitch projection theorem have been obtained for self-similar sets by studying the $L^p$ norms of the "projection multiplicity" functions, $f_\theta$, where…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2009-12-31 Matt Bond , Alexander Volberg

Consider a sequence of independent random isometries of Euclidean space with a previously fixed probability law. Apply these isometries successively to the origin and consider the sequence of random points that we obtain this way. We prove…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-08-17 Péter Pál Varjú

In the present report the author presents a simple and systematically defined formula for the fine structure constant based only on the number $\pi$. The difference between the suggested value and the currently known experimental one is…

General Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Anastass Anastasov

We prove a sharp bound for the remainder term of the number of lattice points inside a ball, when averaging over a compact set of (not necessarily unimodular) lattices, in dimensions two and three. We also prove that such a bound cannot…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-13 Samuel Holmin

A full solution to the recently proposed problem of determining the probability that no $k$-gon can be built from $n$ independently and uniformly chosen sticks in $[0,1]$ is proposed. This extends the known results for triangles and…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2025-08-12 Julian Kern

Bell tests are of profound statistical nature. Besides physical considerations, the proper understanding of their implications should involve detailed statistical analyses. In this regard, recent works have shown that their consequences and…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-06-10 Alfredo Luis

It is shown that an equiprobability hypothesis leads to a scenario in which it is possible to predict the outcome of a single toss of a fair coin with a success probability greater than 50%. We discuss whether this hypothesis might be…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2017-10-04 James Stein , Leonard M. Wapner

In applied research, Lee (2009) bounds are widely applied to bound the average treatment effect in the presence of selection bias. This paper extends the methodology of Lee bounds to accommodate outcomes in a general metric space, such as…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-15 Daisuke Kurisu , Yuta Okamoto , Taisuke Otsu

Complex scientific models where the likelihood cannot be evaluated present a challenge for statistical inference. Over the past two decades, a wide range of algorithms have been proposed for learning parameters in computationally feasible…

Computation · Statistics 2021-12-16 Aden Forrow , Ruth E. Baker

Many questions in experimental mathematics are fundamentally inductive in nature. Here we demonstrate how Bayesian inference --the logic of partial beliefs-- can be used to quantify the evidence that finite data provide in favor of a…

Applications · Statistics 2017-06-20 Quentin F. Gronau , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Recently Raayoni et al. announced various conjectures on continued fractions of fundamental constants automatically generated with machine learning techniques. In this paper we prove some of their stated conjectures for Euler number $e$ and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-10 Shirali Kadyrov , Farukh Mashurov

This article investigates, by probabilistic methods, various geometric questions on B_p^n, the unit ball of \ell_p^n. We propose realizations in terms of independent random variables of several distributions on B_p^n, including the…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Franck Barthe , Olivier Guedon , Shahar Mendelson , Assaf Naor

We propose a generalized version of the bisection method where the cutting point between the two subintervals is chosen at random following an arbitrary distribution. We compute expected convergence rates with respect to any arbitrary a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-03-24 Ludovick Bouthat , Philippe-André Luneau , Philippe Petitclerc

In the article by Edward et al. \cite{Sudbury2025}, it was shown that the probability that no three sticks randomly chosen from the unit interval can form a triangle equals the reciprocal of the product of the first $n$ Fibonacci numbers.…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-21 Tian Caolin

In this paper we get a power estimate from above of the probability that Buffon's needle will land within distance 3^{-n} of Sierpinski's gasket of Hausdorff dimension 1. In comparison with the case of 1/4 corner Cantor set considered in…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2009-12-16 Matthew Bond , Alexander Volberg

Site swap is a mathematical notation used by jugglers to communicate, create and study complex juggling patterns. Determining the number of possible site swap juggling patterns with respect to certain limiting parameters such as number of…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2008-04-15 Carl Bracken

We present a variation of the broken stick problem in which $n$ stick lengths are sampled uniformly at random. We prove that the probability that no three sticks can form a triangle is the reciprocal of the product of the first $n$…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Aidan Sudbury , Arthur Sun , David Treeby , Edward Wang

We present a conclusive answer to Bertrand's paradox, a long standing open issue in the basic physical interpretation of probability. The paradox deals with the existence of mutually inconsistent results when looking for the probability…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-08-12 P. Di Porto , B. Crosignani , A. Ciattoni , H. C. Liu

In Galperin billiards, two balls colliding with a hard wall form an analog calculator for the digits of the number $\pi$. This classical, one-dimensional three-body system (counting the hard wall) calculates the digits of $\pi$ in a base…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-04-07 X. M. Aretxabaleta , M. Gonchenko , N. L. Harshman , S. G. Jackson , M. Olshanii , G. E. Astrakharchik