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A random forest is a popular tool for estimating probabilities in machine learning classification tasks. However, the means by which this is accomplished is unprincipled: one simply counts the fraction of trees in a forest that vote for a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-12-17 Matthew A. Olson , Abraham J. Wyner

Sequential Monte Carlo methods which involve sequential importance sampling and resampling are shown to provide a versatile approach to computing probabilities of rare events. By making use of martingale representations of the sequential…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-02-22 Hock Peng Chan , Tze Leung Lai

A marginal problem asks whether a given family of marginal distributions for some set of random variables arises from some joint distribution of these variables. Here we point out that the existence of such a joint distribution imposes…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-01-25 Tobias Fritz , Rafael Chaves

Dense subgraphs of sparse graphs (communities), which appear in most real-world complex networks, play an important role in many contexts. Computing them however is generally expensive. We propose here a measure of similarities between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2007-05-23 Pascal Pons , Matthieu Latapy

The random matrix ensembles (RME) of quantum statistical Hamiltonians, e.g. Gaussian random matrix ensembles (GRME) and Ginibre random matrix ensembles (Ginibre RME), are applied in literature to following quantum statistical systems:…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Maciej M. Duras

We develop entropy and variance results for the product of independent identically distributed random variables on Lie groups. Our results apply to the study of stationary measures in various contexts.

Probability · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Samuel Kittle , Constantin Kogler

Any collection can be ranked. Sports and games are common examples of ranked systems: players and teams are constantly ranked using different methods. The statistical properties of rankings have been studied for almost a century in a…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2026-02-04 José Antonio Morales , Jorge Flores , Carlos Gershenson , Carlos Pineda

Token-level reweighting is a simple yet effective mechanism for controlling supervised fine-tuning, but common indicators are largely one-dimensional: the ground-truth probability reflects downstream alignment, while token entropy reflects…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-28 Wenhao Yu , Shaohang Wei , Jiahong Liu , Yifan Li , Minda Hu , Aiwei Liu , Hao Zhang , Irwin King

Rooted trees with probabilities are used to analyze properties of a variable length code. A bound is derived on the difference between the entropy rates of the code and a memoryless source. The bound is in terms of normalized informational…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2013-10-11 Georg Böcherer , Rana Ali Amjad

Partial differential equation is a powerful tool to characterize various physics systems. In practice, measurement errors are often present and probability models are employed to account for such uncertainties. In this paper, we present a…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-05-23 Xiaoou Li , Jingchen Liu

In-depth studies of sociotechnical systems are largely limited to single instances. Network surveys are expensive, and platforms vary in important ways, from interface design, to social norms, to historical contingencies. With single…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Abigail Z. Jacobs

In estimating the complexity of objects, in particular of graphs, it is common practice to rely on graph- and information-theoretic measures. Here, using integer sequences with properties such as Borel normality, we explain how these…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-07-12 Hector Zenil , Narsis Kiani , Jesper Tegnér

Random walks are powerful tools to analyze spatial-temporal patterns produced by living organisms ranging from cells to humans. At the same time, it is evident that these patterns are not completely random but are results of a convolution…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-12-08 M. I. Krivonosov , S. N. Tikhomirov , S. Denisov

SimRank is a similarity measure between vertices in a graph, which has become a fundamental technique in graph analytics. Recently, many algorithms have been proposed for efficient evaluation of SimRank similarities. However, the existing…

Databases · Computer Science 2015-12-10 Rong Zhu , Zhaonian Zou , Jianzhong Li

Random matrix theory is finding an increasing number of applications in the context of information theory and communication systems, especially in studying the properties of complex networks. Such properties include short-term and long-term…

Mathematical Physics · Physics 2015-01-13 Sherif M. Abuelenin , Adel Y. Abul-Magd

With the help of transfer entropy, we analyze information flows between communities of complex networks. We show that the transfer entropy provides a coherent description of interactions between communities, including non-linear…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-18 Jan Korbel , Xiongfei Jiang , Bo Zheng

This paper proposes a linear categorical random coefficient model, in which the random coefficients follow parametric categorical distributions. The distributional parameters are identified based on a linear recurrence structure of moments…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-01 Zhan Gao , M. Hashem Pesaran

Markov chain Monte Carlo is an inherently serial algorithm. Although likelihood calculations for individual steps can sometimes be parallelized, the serial evolution of the process is widely viewed as incompatible with parallelization,…

Computation · Statistics 2013-12-31 Douglas N. VanDerwerken , Scott C. Schmidler

Aleatoric uncertainty quantification seeks for distributional knowledge of random responses, which is important for reliability analysis and robustness improvement in machine learning applications. Previous research on aleatoric uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-10 Ziyi Huang , Henry Lam , Haofeng Zhang

In many real-world engineering systems, the performance or reliability of the system is characterised by a scalar parameter. The distribution of this performance parameter is important in many uncertainty quantification problems, ranging…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-03 Robert Millar , Jinglai Li , Hui Li
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