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Extreme weather events are becoming more common, with severe storms, floods, and prolonged precipitation affecting communities worldwide. These shifts in climate patterns pose a direct threat to the insurance industry, which faces growing…

Applications · Statistics 2026-01-21 Asim K. Dey

In this paper we discuss and address the challenges of predicting extreme atmospheric events like intense rainfall, hail, and strong winds. These events can cause significant damage and have become more frequent due to climate change.…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-10-06 Mikhail Mozikov , Ilya Makarov , Alexandr Bulkin , Daria Taniushkina , Roland Grinis , Yury Maximov

Flooding is one of the most disastrous natural hazards, responsible for substantial economic losses. A predictive model for flood-induced financial damages is useful for many applications such as climate change adaptation planning and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-12-20 Joaquin Salas , Anamitra Saha , Sai Ravela

Floods rank among the costliest natural hazards, causing over USD 100 billion in insured losses between 2013 and 2023. In France, persistent deficits in the natural catastrophe scheme highlight the need for accurate, building-scale flood…

Applications · Statistics 2026-03-04 Mulah Moriah , Franck Vermet , Pierre Ailliot , Philippe Naveau , Juliette Legrand

The insurance industry, with its large datasets, is a natural place to use big data solutions. However it must be stressed, that significant number of applications for machine learning in insurance industry, like fraud detection or claim…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-04-14 Sebastian Baran , Przemysław Rola

As climate change poses new and more unpredictable challenges to society, insurance is an essential avenue to protect against loss caused by extreme events. Traditional insurance risk models employ statistical analyses that are inaccurate…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2022-09-26 Subeen Pang , Chanyeol Choi

Climate change is widely expected to increase weather related damage and the insurance claims that result from it. This will increase insurance premiums, in a way that is independent of a customer's contribution to the causes of climate…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-04-26 Anthony J. Webster , Richard H. Clarke

Weather parametric insurance relies on weather indices rather than actual loss assessments, enhancing claims efficiency, reducing moral hazard, and improving fairness. In the context of increasing climate change risks, despite growing…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2024-09-26 Hang Gao , Shuohua Yang , Xinli Liu

Floods are one of nature's most catastrophic calamities which cause irreversible and immense damage to human life, agriculture, infrastructure and socio-economic system. Several studies on flood catastrophe management and flood forecasting…

Extreme weather events increasingly threaten the insurance and real estate industries, creating conflicts between profitability and homeowner burdens. To address this, we propose the SSC-Insurance Model, which integrates SMOTE, SVM, and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2025-06-18 Lang Qin , Yuejin Xie , Daili Hua , Xuhui Meng

Precipitation prediction has undergone a profound transformation. A notable limitation of traditional NWP is the need for extensive statistical post-processing. To address this challenge, neural network-based approaches were developed.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-03 Yugong Zeng , Jiayuan Wang , Jonathan Wu

Climate models robustly imply that some significant change in precipitation patterns will occur. Models consistently project that the intensity of individual precipitation events increases by approximately 6-7%/K, following the increase in…

Applications · Statistics 2016-12-21 Won Chang , Michael L. Stein , Jiali Wang , V. Rao Kotamarthi , Elisabeth J. Moyer

Flooding is a destructive and dangerous hazard and climate change appears to be increasing the frequency of catastrophic flooding events around the world. Physics-based flood models are costly to calibrate and are rarely generalizable…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-16 Chelsea Sidrane , Dylan J Fitzpatrick , Andrew Annex , Diane O'Donoghue , Yarin Gal , Piotr Biliński

Rainfall prediction is one of the challenging and uncertain tasks which has a significant impact on human society. Timely and accurate predictions can help to proactively reduce human and financial loss. This study presents a set of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Nikhil Oswal

Extreme precipitation causes severe societal and economic damage, and weather control has long been discussed as a potential mitigation strategy. However, to the best of our knowledge, perturbation-based interventions for weather control…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-15 Ayumu Ueyama , Kazuhiko Kawamoto , Hiroshi Kera

Extreme precipitation wreaks havoc throughout the world, causing billions of dollars in damage and uprooting communities, ecosystems, and economies. Accurate extreme precipitation prediction allows more time for preparation and disaster…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-01 Weichen Huang

Currently, legal requirements demand that insurance companies increase their emphasis on monitoring the risks linked to the underwriting and asset management activities. Regarding underwriting risks, the main uncertainties that insurers…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-08-19 Eduardo Ramos-Pérez , Pablo J. Alonso-González , José Javier Núñez-Velázquez

The economic consequences of drought episodes are increasingly important, although they are often difficult to apprehend in part because of the complexity of the underlying mechanisms. In this article, we will study one of the consequences…

Applications · Statistics 2022-08-17 Arthur Charpentier , Molly James , Hani Ali

Generation and load balance is required in the economic scheduling of generating units in the smart grid. Variable energy generations, particularly from wind and solar energy resources, are witnessing a rapid boost, and, it is anticipated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-04-07 Mohamed Abuella , Badrul Chowdhury

Despite the importance of quantifying how the spatial patterns of extreme precipitation will change with warming, we lack tools to objectively analyze the storm-scale outputs of modern climate models. To address this gap, we develop an…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2023-12-04 Griffin Mooers , Tom Beucler , Mike Pritchard , Stephan Mandt
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