English
Related papers

Related papers: Asymptotic absorption-time distributions in extinc…

200 papers

In this paper, we study the extinction time of logistic branching processes which are perturbed by an independent random environment driven by a Brownian motion. Our arguments use a Lamperti-type representation which is interesting on its…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Hélène Leman , Juan Carlos Pardo

The presence of a unique absorbing state in the finite state space of an epidemic process always poses a challenge in the definition of its epidemiological threshold. Without the elimination of the absorbing state of the SIS process we show…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-10-14 Norbert Barankai , József Stéger

We develop asymptotic approximations that can be applied to sequential estimation and inference problems, adaptive randomized controlled trials, and related settings. In batched adaptive settings where the decision at one stage can affect…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-02-25 Keisuke Hirano , Jack R. Porter

Certain Markov processes, or deterministic evolution equations, have the property that they are dual to a stochastic process that exhibits extinction versus unbounded growth, i.e., the total mass in such a process either becomes zero, or…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Jan M. Swart

We derive some key extremal features for $k$th order Markov chains that can be used to understand how the process moves between an extreme state and the body of the process. The chains are studied given that there is an exceedance of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-01-27 Ioannis Papastathopoulos , Adrian Casey , Jonathan A. Tawn

We study the asymptotic distribution, as the volume parameter goes to 1, of the peak (largest part) of finite- or slowly-growing-width cylindric plane partitions weighted by their trace, seam, and volume. There are two natural asymptotic…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-01 Dan Betea , Alessandra Occelli

A variational formula for the asymptotic variance of general Markov processes is obtained. As application, we get a upper bound of the mean exit time of reversible Markov processes, and some comparison theorems between the reversible and…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Lu-Jing Huang , Yong-Hua Mao , Tao Wang

We are interested in the asymptotic behavior of Markov chains on the set of positive integers for which, loosely speaking, large jumps are rare and occur at a rate that behaves like a negative power of the current state, and such that small…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-02-19 Jean Bertoin , Igor Kortchemski

We use point processes theory to describe the asymptotic distribution of all upper order statistics for observations collected at renewal times. As a corollary, we obtain limiting theorems for corresponding extremal processes.

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-08 Bojan Basrak , Drago Špoljarić

In a first part, we prove a Lyapunov-type criterion for the $\xi\_1$-positive recurrence of absorbed birth and death processes and provide new results on the domain of attraction of the minimal quasi-stationary distribution. In a second…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-01-29 Denis Villemonais

A discrete-time two-dimensional quasi-birth-and-death process (2d-QBD process), $\{{\boldsymbol{Y}}_n\}=\{(X_{1,n},X_{2,n},J_n)\}$, is a two-dimensional skip-free random walk $\{(X_{1,n},X_{2,n})\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2$ with a supplemental…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-07-23 Toshihisa Ozawa , Masahiro Kobayashi

After reviewing the behavioral studies of working memory and of the cellular substrate of the latter, we argue that metastable states constitute candidates for the type of transient information storage required by working memory. We then…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-03-18 Christophe Pouzat , Morgan André

We consider a discrete-time two-dimensional process $\{(L_{1,n},L_{2,n})\}$ on $\mathbb{Z}_+^2$ with a supplemental process $\{J_n\}$ on a finite set, where individual processes $\{L_{1,n}\}$ and $\{L_{2,n}\}$ are both skip free. We assume…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-19 Toshihisa Ozawa , Masahiro Kobayashi

A discrete-time stochastic process derived from a model of basketball is used to generalize any discrete distribution. The generalized distributions can have one or two more parameters than the parent distribution. Those derived from…

Applications · Statistics 2020-06-25 Rose Baker

Let $\{X(t):t\in[0,\infty)\}$ be a centered Gaussian process with stationary increments and variance function $\sigma^2_X(t)$. We study the exact asymptotics of ${\mathbb{P}}(\sup_{t\in[0,T]}X(t)>u)$ as $u\to\infty$, where $T$ is an…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-16 Marek Arendarczyk , Krzysztof Dȩbicki

We consider critical branching Brownian motion with absorption, in which there is initially a single particle at $x > 0$, particles move according to independent one-dimensional Brownian motions with the critical drift of $-\sqrt{2}$, and…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-01 Julien Berestycki , Nathanael Berestycki , Jason Schweinsberg

In the framework of chaotic scattering we analyze passive tracer transport in finite systems. In particular, we study models with open streamlines and a finite number of recirculation zones. In the non trivial case with a small number of…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 P. Castiglione , M. Cencini , A. Vulpiani , E. Zambianchi

The main contribution of this paper is to present a new sufficient condition for the subexponential asymptotics of the stationary distribution of a GI/GI/1-type Markov chain without jumps from level "infinity" to level zero. For simplicity,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-06-30 Hiroyuki Masuyama

We study a class of Markov processes with finite state space and continuous time that have product form stationary distributions. We obtain a number of examples that can generate conjectures for diffusions with inert drift.

Probability · Mathematics 2008-10-19 Krzysztof Burdzy , David White

A branching process in varying environment with generation-dependent immigration is a modification of the standard branching process in which immigration is allowed and the reproduction and immigration laws may vary over the generations.…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Miguel González , Goetz Kersting , Carmen Minuesa , Inés del Puerto