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Motion planning for autonomous driving must account for multi-modal uncertainty in both the intentions and trajectories of surrounding vehicles. Handling uncertainty in a worst-case manner guarantees robustness but often leads to excessive…

Robotics · Computer Science 2026-05-22 Zekun Xing , Ramkrishna Chaudhari , Marion Leibold , Dirk Wollherr , Martin Buss

This paper formulates a stochastic optimal control problem for linear networked control systems featuring stochastic packet disordering with a unique stabilizing solution certified. The problem is solved by proposing reinforcement learning…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-12-13 Wenqian Xue , Yi Jiang , Frank L. Lewis , Bosen Lian

The supply of electrical energy is being increasingly sourced from renewable generation resources. The variability and uncertainty of renewable generation, compared to a dispatch-able plant, is a significant dissimilarity of concern to the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-11-16 Farhad Samadi Gazijahani , Javad Salehi

We propose a stochastic MPC scheme using an optimization over the initial state for the predicted trajectory. Considering linear discrete-time systems under unbounded additive stochastic disturbances subject to chance constraints, we use…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-07-19 Henning Schlüter , Frank Allgöwer

The optimal control problem of stochastic systems is commonly solved via robust or scenario-based optimization methods, which are both challenging to scale to long optimization horizons. We cast the optimal control problem of a stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-17 Etienne Buehrle , Christoph Stiller

The goal of this paper is to solve a class of stochastic optimal control problems numerically, in which the state process is governed by an It\^o type stochastic differential equation with control process entering both in the drift and the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-06-05 Richard Archibald , Feng Bao , Jiongmin Yong , Tao Zhou

The most common approaches for solving multistage stochastic programming problems in the research literature have been to either use value functions ("dynamic programming") or scenario trees ("stochastic programming") to approximate the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Warren B Powell , Saeed Ghadimi

While Robust Model Predictive Control considers the worst-case system uncertainty, Stochastic Model Predictive Control, using chance constraints, provides less conservative solutions by allowing a certain constraint violation probability…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-06-17 Tim Brüdigam , Victor Gaßmann , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

The considered optimal control problem of a stochastic power system, is to select the set of power supply vectors which infimizes the probability that the phase-angle differences of any power flow of the network, endangers the transient…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-01-31 Zhen Wang , Kaihua Xi , Aijie Cheng , Hai Xiang Lin , Jan H. van Schuppen

As a main step in the numerical solution of control problems in continuous time, the controlled process is approximated by sequences of controlled Markov chains, thus discretising time and space. A new feature in this context is to allow…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Markus Fischer , Markus Reiss

One of the major limitations of optimization-based strategies for allocating the power flow in hybrid powertrains is that they rely on predictions of future power demand. These predictions are inherently uncertain as they are dependent on…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-14 Sebastian East , Mark Cannon

In this work, an adaptive predictive control scheme for linear systems with unknown parameters and bounded additive disturbances is proposed. In contrast to related adaptive control approaches that robustly consider the parametric…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-03 Johannes Teutsch , Christopher Narr , Sebastian Kerz , Dirk Wollherr , Marion Leibold

We consider the problem of optimally controlling stochastic, Markovian systems subject to joint chance constraints over a finite-time horizon. For such problems, standard Dynamic Programming is inapplicable due to the time correlation of…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-11-22 Niklas Schmid , Marta Fochesato , Sarah H. Q. Li , Tobias Sutter , John Lygeros

We consider stochastic model predictive control of a multi-agent systems with constraints on the probabilities of inter-agent collisions. We first study a sample-based approximation of the collision probabilities and use this approximation…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2011-08-17 Daniel Lyons , Jan-P. Calliess , Uwe D. Hanebeck

Consider the following multi-phase project management problem. Each project is divided into several phases. All projects enter the next phase at the same point chosen by the decision maker based on observations up to that point. Within each…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Hock Peng Chan , Cheng-Der Fuh , Inchi Hu

This paper proposes a stochastic model predictive control method for linear systems affected by additive Gaussian disturbances that optimizes over disturbance feedback matrices online. Closed-loop satisfaction of probabilistic constraints…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-02-03 Marcell Bartos , Alexandre Didier , Jerome Sieber , Johannes Köhler , Melanie N. Zeilinger

Stochastic forecasting is critical for efficient decision-making in uncertain systems, such as energy markets and finance, where estimating the full distribution of future scenarios is essential. We propose Diffusion Scenario Tree (DST), a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-16 Stelios Zarifis , Ioannis Kordonis , Petros Maragos

Optimal control under uncertainty is a prevailing challenge for many reasons. One of the critical difficulties lies in producing tractable solutions for the underlying stochastic optimization problem. We show how advanced approximate…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-28 Joe Watson , Hany Abdulsamad , Rolf Findeisen , Jan Peters

This paper proposes a model predictive controller for discrete-time linear systems with additive, possibly unbounded, stochastic disturbances and subject to chance constraints. By computing a polytopic probabilistic positively invariant set…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-09-23 Kai Wang , Kiet Tuan Hoang , Sébastien Gros

This paper presents a new approach to Model Predictive Control for environments where essential, discrete variables are partially observed. Under this assumption, the belief state is a probability distribution over a finite number of…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-02 Camille Phiquepal , Marc Toussaint