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Estimation of extreme conditional quantiles is often required for risk assessment of natural hazards in climate and geo-environmental sciences and for quantitative risk management in statistical finance, econometrics, and actuarial…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-04-16 Jordan Richards , Raphaël Huser

Risk-sensitive reinforcement learning (RL) has garnered significant attention in recent years due to the growing interest in deploying RL agents in real-world scenarios. A critical aspect of risk awareness involves modeling highly rare risk…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-08-30 Karthik Somayaji NS , Yu Wang , Malachi Schram , Jan Drgona , Mahantesh Halappanavar , Frank Liu , Peng Li

In multivariate extreme value theory (MEVT), the focus is on analysis outside of the observable sampling zone, which implies that the region of interest is associated to high risk levels. This work provides tools to include directional…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-05 Raúl Torres , Elena Di Bernardino , Henry Laniado , Rosa E. Lillo

We propose a novel strategy for multivariate extreme value index estimation. In applications such as finance, volatility and risk present in the components of a multivariate time series are often driven by the same underlying factors, such…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-24 Joni Virta , Niko Lietzén , Lauri Viitasaari , Pauliina Ilmonen

Extreme values modeling has attracting the attention of researchers in diverse areas such as the environment, engineering, or finance. Multivariate extreme value distributions are particularly suitable to model the tails of multidimensional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-01-16 Helena Ferreira , Marta Ferreira

From environmental sciences to finance, there is a growing demand for methods that can assess the risks of extreme events beyond those observed in available data. Extrapolating extreme events beyond the range of the data is not obvious.…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-07 Boris Beranger , Simone A. Padoan

Extreme value theory (EVT) is a statistical tool for analysis of extreme events. It has a strong theoretical background, however, we need to choose hyper-parameters to apply EVT. In recent studies of machine learning, techniques of choosing…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-14 Chikara Nakamura

We give an overview of several aspects arising in the statistical analysis of extreme risks with actuarial applications in view. In particular it is demonstrated that empirical process theory is a very powerful tool, both for the asymptotic…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-03-19 Holger Drees

Detecting cyber-anomalies and attacks are becoming a rising concern these days in the domain of cybersecurity. The knowledge of artificial intelligence, particularly, the machine learning techniques can be used to tackle these issues.…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-04-19 Iqbal H. Sarker

We focus on model risk and risk sensitivity when addressing the insurability of cyber risk. The standard statistical approaches to assessment of insurability and potential mispricing are enhanced in several aspects involving consideration…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-03-30 Gareth W. Peters , Matteo Malavasi , Georgy Sofronov , Pavel V. Shevchenko , Stefan Trück , Jiwook Jang

It is important to understand to what extent, and in what perspectives, cyber attacks can be predicted. Despite its evident importance, this problem was not investigated until very recently, when we proposed using the innovative methodology…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2016-03-25 Zhenxin Zhan , Maochao Xu , Shouhuai Xu

The incremental diffusion of machine learning algorithms in supporting cybersecurity is creating novel defensive opportunities but also new types of risks. Multiple researches have shown that machine learning methods are vulnerable to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2021-06-18 Giovanni Apruzzese , Mauro Andreolini , Luca Ferretti , Mirco Marchetti , Michele Colajanni

Many domains now leverage the benefits of Machine Learning (ML), which promises solutions that can autonomously learn to solve complex tasks by training over some data. Unfortunately, in cyberthreat detection, high-quality data is hard to…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2023-12-12 Tobias Braun , Irdin Pekaric , Giovanni Apruzzese

Insider threats, as one type of the most challenging threats in cyberspace, usually cause significant loss to organizations. While the problem of insider threat detection has been studied for a long time in both security and data mining…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2020-05-27 Shuhan Yuan , Xintao Wu

Cyber risk refers to the risk of defacing reputation, monetary losses, or disruption of an organization or individuals, and this situation usually occurs by the unconscious use of cyber systems. The cyber risk is unhurriedly increasing day…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2024-04-02 Fatama Tuz Johora , Md Shahedul Islam Khan , Esrath Kanon , Mohammad Abu Tareq Rony , Md Zubair , Iqbal H. Sarker

The cybersecurity threat landscape has lately become overly complex. Threat actors leverage weaknesses in the network and endpoint security in a very coordinated manner to perpetuate sophisticated attacks that could bring down the entire…

Cryptography and Security · Computer Science 2022-06-07 Mohit Sewak , Sanjay K. Sahay , Hemant Rathore

The lack of high-quality public cyber incident data limits empirical research and predictive modeling for cyber risk assessment. This challenge persists due to the reluctance of companies to disclose incidents that could damage their…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-20 Jiayi Guo , Zhiyu Quan , Linfeng Zhang

The state-of-the-art performance on entity resolution (ER) has been achieved by deep learning. However, deep models are usually trained on large quantities of accurately labeled training data, and can not be easily tuned towards a target…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-04-12 Zhaoqiang Chen , Qun Chen , Youcef Nafa , Tianyi Duan , Wei Pan , Lijun Zhang , Zhanhuai Li

The masses of data now available have opened up the prospect of discovering weak signals using machine-learning algorithms, with a view to predictive or interpretation tasks. As this survey of recent results attempts to show, bringing…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-06 Stephan Clémençon , Anne Sabourin

As the complexity and dynamism of financial markets continue to grow, traditional financial risk prediction methods increasingly struggle to handle large datasets and intricate behavior patterns. This paper explores the feasibility and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-24 Haowei Yang , Zhan Cheng , Zhaoyang Zhang , Yuanshuai Luo , Shuaishuai Huang , Ao Xiang
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