Related papers: On a first hit distribution of the running maximum…
Consider the Slepian process $S$ defined by $ S(t)=B(t+1)-B(t),t\in [0,1]$ with $B(t),t\in \R$ a standard Brownian motion.In this contribution we analyze the joint distribution between the maximum $m_{s}=\max_{0\leq u\leq s}S(u)$ certain…
We study the maximum of a Brownian motion with a parabolic drift; this is a random variable that often occurs as a limit of the maximum of discrete processes whose expectations have a maximum at an interior point. We give series expansions…
We calculate analytically the probability density $P(t_m)$ of the time $t_m$ at which a continuous-time Brownian motion (with and without drift) attains its maximum before passing through the origin for the first time. We also compute the…
The joint distribution of maximum increase and decrease for Brownian motion up to an independent exponential time is computed. This is achieved by decomposing the Brownian path at the hitting times of the infimum and the supremum before the…
We study the correlations between the maxima $m$ and $M$ of a Brownian motion (BM) on the time intervals $[0,t_1]$ and $[0,t_2]$, with $t_2>t_1$. We determine exact forms of the distribution functions $P(m,M)$ and $P(G = M - m)$, and…
Let (B^{(1)}_t ;B^{(2)}_t ;B^{(3)}_t + \mu t) be a three-dimensional Brownian motion with drift \mu, starting at the origin. Then X_t = ||(B^{(1)}_t ;B^{(2)}_t ;B^{(3)}_t +\mu t)||, its distance from the starting point, is a diffusion with…
We derive a simple integral representation for the distribution of the maximum of Brownian motion minus a parabola, which can be used for computing the density and moments of the distribution, both for one-sided and two-sided Brownian…
We derive P(M,t_m), the joint probability density of the maximum M and the time t_m at which this maximum is achieved for a class of constrained Brownian motions. In particular, we provide explicit results for excursions, meanders and…
In this paper we consider the iterated Brownian motion $ ^{\mu_1}_{\mu_2}\!I(t) = B_1^{\mu_1} ( | B_{2}^{\mu_2} (t)|) $ where $B_j^{\mu_j} , j=1,2$ are two independent Brownian motions with drift $\mu_j$. Here we study the last zero…
In this paper we study the drifted Brownian meander, that is a Brownian motion starting from $ u $ and subject to the condition that $ \min_{ 0\leq z \leq t} B(z)> v $ with $ u > v $. The limiting process for $ u \downarrow v $ is analyzed…
For drifted Brownian motion $X(t)= x - \mu t + B_t \ (\mu >0)$ starting from $x>0,$ we study the joint distribution of the first-passage time below zero, $\tau(x),$ and the first-passage area, $A(x),$ swept out by $X$ till the time…
We consider a one-dimensional Brownian motion of fixed duration $T$. Using a path-integral technique, we compute exactly the probability distribution of the difference $\tau=t_{\min}-t_{\max}$ between the time $t_{\min}$ of the global…
Fractional Brownian motion is a non-Markovian Gaussian process $X_t$, indexed by the Hurst exponent $H$. It generalises standard Brownian motion (corresponding to $H=1/2$). We study the probability distribution of the maximum $m$ of the…
Let $B=\{ B_{t}\} _{t\ge 0}$ be a one-dimensional standard Brownian motion. As an application of a recent result of ours on exponential functionals of Brownian motion, we show in this paper that, for every fixed $t>0$, the process given by…
For the one-dimensional Brownian motion $B=(B_t)_{t\ge 0}$, started at $x>0$, and the first hitting time $\tau=\inf\{t\ge 0:B_t=0\}$, we find the probability density of $B_{u\tau}$ for a $u\in(0,1)$, i.e. of the Brownian motion on its way…
We show that the distribution of the maximum of the fractional Brownian motion $B^H$ with Hurst parameter $H\to 0$ over an $n$-point set $\tau \subset [0,1]$ can be approximated by the normal law with mean $\sqrt{\ln n}$ and variance $1/2$…
Let $(B_t)_{0\leq t\leq T}$ be either a Bernoulli random walk or a Brownian motion with drift, and let $M_t:=\max\{B_s: 0\leq s\leq t\}$, $0\leq t\leq T$. This paper solves the general optimal prediction problem \sup_{0\leq\tau\leq…
We provide upper and lower bounds for the mean ${\mathscr M}(H)$ of $\sup_{t\geqslant 0} \{B_H(t) - t\}$, with $B_H(\cdot)$ a zero-mean, variance-normalized version of fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter $H\in(0,1)$. We find…
Let $\tau$ be the first hitting time of the point 1 by the geometric Brownian motion $X(t)= x \exp(B(t)-2\mu t)$ with drift $\mu \geq 0$ starting from $x>1$. Here $B(t)$ is the Brownian motion starting from 0 with $E^0 B^2(t) = 2t$. We…
We consider the problem of efficient estimation for the drift of fractional Brownian motion $B^H:=(B^H_t)_{t\in[0,T]}$ with hurst parameter $H$ less than 1/2. We also construct superefficient James-Stein type estimators which dominate,…