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Many industrial and engineering processes monitored as times series have smooth trends that indicate normal behavior and occasionally anomalous patterns that can indicate a problem. This kind of behavior can be modeled by a smooth trend,…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-07 Matthew Hofkes , Douglas Nychka , Tzahi Cath , Amanda Hering , Craig McGonagill

Modeling and simulation approaches for infectious disease dynamics have proven to be essential tools for effective control of the spread of epidemics in the population. Among these approaches, it is obvious that compartmental mathematical…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-11-08 Selain K. Kasereka

Type 1 diabetes (T1D) is a highly metabolically heterogeneous disease that cannot be adequately characterized by conventional biomarkers such as glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c). This study proposes an explainable deep learning framework that…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Pir Bakhsh Khokhar , Carmine Gravino , Fabio Palomba , Sule Yildrim Yayilgan , Sarang Shaikh

Longitudinal data are characterized by the dependence between observations coming from the same individual. In a regression perspective, such a dependence can be usefully ascribed to unobserved features (covariates) specific to each…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-07 Maria Francesca Marino , Marco Alfó

Industrial processes generate a massive amount of monitoring data that can be exploited to uncover hidden time losses in the system. This can be used to enhance the accuracy of maintenance policies and increase the effectiveness of the…

Applications · Statistics 2025-08-27 Fernando Miguelez , Josu Doncel , Maria Dolores Ugarte

The objective is to model longitudinal and survival data jointly taking into account the dependence between the two responses in a real HIV/AIDS dataset using a shared parameter approach inside a Bayesian framework. We propose a linear…

Applications · Statistics 2016-05-02 Rui Martins

Hidden Markov models (HMMs) are flexible time series models in which the distributions of the observations depend on unobserved serially correlated states. The state-dependent distributions in HMMs are usually taken from some class of…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-06-19 Roland Langrock , Thomas Kneib , Alexander Sohn , Stacy DeRuiter

Longitudinal patient data has the potential to improve clinical risk stratification models for disease. However, chronic diseases that progress slowly over time are often heterogeneous in their clinical presentation. Patients may progress…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-03-05 Dev Goyal , Zeeshan Syed , Jenna Wiens

In biomedical studies it is common to collect data on multiple biomarkers during study follow-up for dynamic prediction of a time-to-event clinical outcome. The biomarkers are typically intermittently measured, missing at some event times,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-07-05 Ning Li , Yi Liu , Shanpeng Li , Robert M. Elashoff , Gang Li

The global prevalence of diabetes, particularly type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM), is rapidly increasing, posing significant health and economic challenges. T2DM not only disrupts blood glucose regulation but also damages vital organs such as…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-09 Praveen Kumar , Vincent T. Metzger , Scott A. Malec

The co-occurrence of multiple long-term conditions (MLTC), or multimorbidity, in an individual can reduce their lifespan and severely impact their quality of life. Exploring the longitudinal patterns, e.g. clusters, of disease accrual can…

Mobile health (mHealth) leverages digital technologies, such as mobile phones, to capture objective, frequent, and real-world digital phenotypes from individuals, enabling the delivery of tailored interventions to accommodate substantial…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-24 Xingche Guo , Zexi Cai , Yuanjia Wang , Donglin Zeng

Data collected from wearable devices and smartphones can shed light on an individual's pattern of behavioral and circadian routine. Phone use can be modeled as alternating event process, between the state of active use and the state of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-13 Benny Ren , Ian Barnett

Multiple Sclerosis is a degenerative condition of the central nervous system that affects nearly 2.5 million of individuals in terms of their physical, cognitive, psychological and social capabilities. Researchers are currently…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-12-05 Samuele Fiorini , Andrea Tacchino , Giampaolo Brichetto , Alessandro Verri , Annalisa Barla

From a public health perspective, previous research on comorbidity tends to have focused on identifying the most prevalent groupings of illnesses that demonstrate comorbidity, particularly among the elderly population, already in receipt of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-11-12 Karyn Morrissey , Ferran Espuny , Paul Williamson

The Hidden Markov Model (HMM) can predict the future value of a time series based on its current and previous values, making it a powerful algorithm for handling various types of time series. Numerous studies have explored the improvement…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-28 YeXin Huang

One trend in the recent healthcare transformations is people are encouraged to monitor and manage their health based on their daily diets and physical activity habits. However, much attention of the use of operational research and…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2019-12-13 Ji Ni , Bowei Chen , Nigel M. Allinson , Xujiong Ye

The purpose of this study is to leverage modern technology (such as mobile or web apps in Beckman et al. (2014)) to enrich epidemiology data and infer the transmission of disease. Homogeneity related research on population level has been…

Applications · Statistics 2015-09-02 Kai Fan , Allison E. Aiello , Katherine A. Heller

Many real-world problems encountered in several disciplines deal with the modeling of time-series containing different underlying dynamical regimes, for which probabilistic approaches are very often employed. In this paper we describe…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-19 Silvia Chiappa

Computational models of neurodegeneration aim to emulate the evolving pattern of pathology in the brain during neurodegenerative disease, such as Alzheimer's disease. Previous studies have made specific choices on the mechanisms of…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-08-11 Tiantian He , Elinor Thompson , Anna Schroder , Neil P. Oxtoby , Ahmed Abdulaal , Frederik Barkhof , Daniel C. Alexander