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Time-series is ubiquitous across applications, such as transportation, finance and healthcare. Time-series is often influenced by external factors, especially in the form of asynchronous events, making forecasting difficult. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-02 Longyuan Li , Jihai Zhang , Junchi Yan , Yaohui Jin , Yunhao Zhang , Yanjie Duan , Guangjian Tian

Multivariate time series prediction has applications in a wide variety of domains and is considered to be a very challenging task, especially when the variables have correlations and exhibit complex temporal patterns, such as seasonality…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-07 Yuya Jeremy Ong , Mu Qiao , Divyesh Jadav

Modeling and predicting temporal point processes (TPPs) is critical in domains such as neuroscience, epidemiology, finance, and social sciences. We introduce the Spiking Dynamic Graph Network (SDGN), a novel framework that leverages the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-03 Biswadeep Chakraborty , Hemant Kumawat , Beomseok Kang , Saibal Mukhopadhyay

Exogenous variables offer valuable supplementary information for predicting future endogenous variables. Forecasting with exogenous variables needs to consider both past-to-future dependencies (i.e., temporal correlations) and the influence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-04 Zhengyu Li , Xiangfei Qiu , Yuhan Zhu , Xingjian Wu , Jilin Hu , Chenjuan Guo , Bin Yang

Spatio-temporal forecasting in various domains, like traffic prediction and weather forecasting, is a challenging endeavor, primarily due to the difficulties in modeling propagation dynamics and capturing high-dimensional interactions among…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-29 Xiaobei Zou , Luolin Xiong , Yang Tang , Jürgen Kurths

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have recently become increasingly popular due to their ability to learn complex systems of relations or interactions arising in a broad spectrum of problems ranging from biology and particle physics to social…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Emanuele Rossi , Ben Chamberlain , Fabrizio Frasca , Davide Eynard , Federico Monti , Michael Bronstein

Spatiotemporal prediction plays a critical role in numerous real-world applications such as urban planning, transportation optimization, disaster response, and pandemic control. In recent years, researchers have made significant progress by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Dahai Yu , Dingyi Zhuang , Lin Jiang , Rongchao Xu , Xinyue Ye , Yuheng Bu , Shenhao Wang , Guang Wang

Spiking neural networks (SNNs), inspired by the spiking behavior of biological neurons, offer a distinctive approach for capturing the complexities of temporal data. However, their potential for spatial modeling in multivariate time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-19 Bang Hu , Changze Lv , Mingjie Li , Yunpeng Liu , Xiaoqing Zheng , Fengzhe Zhang , Wei cao , Fan Zhang

This work evaluates the effectiveness of spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) for multi-store retail sales forecasting and compares their performance against ARIMA, LSTM, and XGBoost baselines. Using weekly sales data from 45 Walmart…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-25 Manish Singh , Arpita Dayama

Multivariate time series (MTS) forecasting has a wide range of applications in both industry and academia. Recently, spatial-temporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have gained popularity as MTS forecasting methods. However, current STGNNs…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Huiliang Zhang , Ping Nie , Lijun Sun , Benoit Boulet

Traffic forecasting has emerged as a core component of intelligent transportation systems. However, timely accurate traffic forecasting, especially long-term forecasting, still remains an open challenge due to the highly nonlinear and…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-30 Mingxing Xu , Wenrui Dai , Chunmiao Liu , Xing Gao , Weiyao Lin , Guo-Jun Qi , Hongkai Xiong

Spatio-temporal graph neural networks (STGNN) have become the most popular solution to traffic forecasting. While successful, they rely on the message passing scheme of GNNs to establish spatial dependencies between nodes, and thus…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-31 Xu Liu , Yuxuan Liang , Chao Huang , Hengchang Hu , Yushi Cao , Bryan Hooi , Roger Zimmermann

Spatiotemporal graph neural networks (STGNNs) have shown promising results in many domains, from forecasting to epidemiology. However, understanding the dynamics learned by these models and explaining their behaviour is significantly more…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-04-08 Michele Guerra , Simone Scardapane , Filippo Maria Bianchi

Space-time graph neural networks (ST-GNNs) are recently developed architectures that learn efficient graph representations of time-varying data. ST-GNNs are particularly useful in multi-agent systems, due to their stability properties and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-31 Samar Hadou , Charilaos Kanatsoulis , Alejandro Ribeiro

Accurate epidemic forecasting is crucial for effective disease control and prevention. Traditional compartmental models often struggle to estimate temporally and spatially varying epidemiological parameters, while deep learning models…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-08 Shuai Han , Lukas Stelz , Thomas R. Sokolowski , Kai Zhou , Horst Stöcker

Accurate forecasting of citywide traffic flow has been playing critical role in a variety of spatial-temporal mining applications, such as intelligent traffic control and public risk assessment. While previous work has made significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-11 Xiyue Zhang , Chao Huang , Yong Xu , Lianghao Xia , Peng Dai , Liefeng Bo , Junbo Zhang , Yu Zheng

Inductive spatial temporal prediction can generalize historical data to predict unseen data, crucial for highly dynamic scenarios (e.g., traffic systems, stock markets). However, external events (e.g., urban structural growth, market crash)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-23 Jialun Zheng , Divya Saxena , Jiannong Cao , Hanchen Yang , Penghui Ruan

Time series, spatial data, and images are natural applications of Neural Processes. However, when such data exhibit strong periodicity and quasi-periodicity, existing methods often suffer from underfitting and generalise poorly beyond the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-05-12 Xianhe Chen , Hao Chen , Yingzhen Li

Time series forecasting is an extensively studied subject in statistics, economics, and computer science. Exploration of the correlation and causation among the variables in a multivariate time series shows promise in enhancing the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-22 Chao Shang , Jie Chen , Jinbo Bi

In this work, we tackle two widespread challenges in real applications for time-series forecasting that have been largely understudied: distribution shifts and missing data. We propose SpectraNet, a novel multivariate time-series…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-10-26 Cristian Challu , Peihong Jiang , Ying Nian Wu , Laurent Callot