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The development of data-informed predictive models for dynamical systems is of widespread interest in many disciplines. We present a unifying framework for blending mechanistic and machine-learning approaches to identify dynamical systems…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-08-18 Matthew E. Levine , Andrew M. Stuart

The paper presents a data-driven predictive control framework based on an implicit input-output mapping derived directly from the signal matrix of collected data. This signal matrix model is derived by maximum likelihood estimation with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-11-10 Mingzhou Yin , Andrea Iannelli , Roy S. Smith

In this article, it is described how to use statistical data analysis to obtain models directly from data. The focus is put on finding nonlinearities within a generalized additive model. These models are found by the means of backfitting…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2007-05-23 M. Abel

The target of many astronomical studies is the recovery of tiny astrophysical signals living in a sea of uninteresting (but usually dominant) noise. In many contexts (i.e., stellar time-series, or high-contrast imaging, or stellar…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2017-11-01 Rodrigo Luger , Daniel Foreman-Mackey , David W. Hogg

Statistic modeling and data-driven learning are the two vital fields that attract many attentions. Statistic models intend to capture and interpret the relationships among variables, while data-based learning attempt to extract information…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-12-22 Jingwei Li

The ability to detect when a system undergoes an incipient fault is of paramount importance in preventing a critical failure. Classic methods for fault detection (including model-based and data-driven approaches) rely on thresholding error…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-02-13 Camilo Ramírez , Jorge F. Silva , Ferhat Tamssaouet , Tomás Rojas , Marcos E. Orchard

Pattern-forming systems can exhibit a diverse array of complex behaviors as external parameters are varied, enabling a variety of useful functions in biological and engineered systems. First-principles derivations of the underlying…

Pattern Formation and Solitons · Physics 2023-11-20 Zachary G. Nicolaou , Guanyu Huo , Yihui Chen , Steven L. Brunton , J. Nathan Kutz

In view of the current availability and variety of measured data, there is an increasing demand for powerful signal processing tools that can cope successfully with the associated problems that often arise when data are being analysed. In…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2014-12-16 Tomislav Stankovski , Andrea Duggento , Peter V. E. McClintock , Aneta Stefanovska

In this paper, we introduce a data-driven modeling approach for dynamics problems with latent variables. The state-space of the proposed model includes artificial latent variables, in addition to observed variables that can be fitted to a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-19 Yushuang Luo , Xiantao Li , Wenrui Hao

In networked dynamical systems, inferring governing parameters is crucial for predicting nodal dynamics, such as gene expression levels, species abundance, or population density. While many parameter estimation techniques rely on…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2025-03-25 Yanna Ding , Malik Magdon-Ismail , Jianxi Gao

We introduce a nonlinear stochastic model reduction technique for high-dimensional stochastic dynamical systems that have a low-dimensional invariant effective manifold with slow dynamics, and high-dimensional, large fast modes. Given only…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-25 Felix X. -F. Ye , Sichen Yang , Mauro Maggioni

This paper addresses the challenge of a particular class of noisy state observations in Markov Decision Processes (MDPs), a common issue in various real-world applications. We focus on modeling this uncertainty through a confusion matrix…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Amirhossein Afsharrad , Sanjay Lall

We consider a nonlinear state-space model with the state transition and observation functions expressed as basis function expansions. The coefficients in the basis function expansions are learned from data. Using a connection to Gaussian…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-29 Andreas Svensson , Thomas B. Schön

Many phenomena in nature are described by excitable systems driven by colored noise. The temporal correlations in the fluctuations hinder an analytical treatment. We here present a general method of reduction to a white-noise system,…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-11-25 Jannis Schuecker , Markus Diesmann , Moritz Helias

Wide-area synchrophasor ambient measurements provide a valuable data source for real-time oscillation mode monitoring and analysis. This paper introduces a novel method for identifying inter-area oscillation modes using wide-area ambient…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-03-03 Shutang You

The data-driven recovery of the unknown governing equations of dynamical systems has recently received an increasing interest. However, the identification of governing equations remains challenging when dealing with noisy and partial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-02-17 Duong Nguyen , Said Ouala , Lucas Drumetz , Ronan Fablet

We extend the Physics-Informed Echo State Network (PI-ESN) framework to reconstruct the evolution of an unmeasured state (hidden state) in a chaotic system. The PI-ESN is trained by using (i) data, which contains no information on the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-08 Nguyen Anh Khoa Doan , Wolfgang Polifke , Luca Magri

We study the problem of modeling a non-linear dynamical system when given a time series by deriving equations directly from the data. Despite the fact that time series data are given as input, models for dynamics and estimation algorithms…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Ren Fujiwara , Yasuko Matsubara , Yasushi Sakurai

In applied sciences, we often deal with deterministic simulation models that are too slow for simulation-intensive tasks such as calibration or real-time control. In this paper, an emulator for a generic dynamic model, given by a system of…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-07-06 Carlo Albert

This work proposes a Stochastic Variational Deep Kernel Learning method for the data-driven discovery of low-dimensional dynamical models from high-dimensional noisy data. The framework is composed of an encoder that compresses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Nicolò Botteghi , Mengwu Guo , Christoph Brune
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