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This paper presents the application of a new semi-analytical method of linear regression for Poisson count data to COVID-19 events. The regression is based on the Bonamente and Spence (2022) maximum-likelihood solution for the best-fit…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 M. Bonamente

We propose two stochastic models for the Coronavirus pandemic. The statistical properties of the models, in particular the correlation functions and the probability density function, have duly been computed. Our models, which generalises a…

Medical Physics · Physics 2020-12-04 Giorgio Sonnino , Fernando Mora , Pasquale Nardone

We propose a new method for estimating the extreme quantiles for a function of several dependent random variables. In contrast to the conventional approach based on extreme value theory, we do not impose the condition that the tail of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-25 Jinguo Gong , Yadong Li , Liang Peng , Qiwei Yao

The COVID-19 pandemic has created an urgent need for robust, scalable monitoring tools supporting stratification of high-risk patients. This research aims to develop and validate prediction models, using the UK Biobank, to estimate COVID-19…

Length-biased distributions arise naturally in environmental, reliability, and economic studies where the sampling mechanism favors larger observational units. In this paper, we propose a quantile regression model based on the length-biased…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-27 Helton Saulo , Tailine Nonato , Roberto Vila

Count data frequently arises in biomedical applications, such as the length of hospital stay. However, their discrete nature poses significant challenges for appropriately modeling conditional quantiles, which are crucial for understanding…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-07-28 Yuta Yamauchi , Genya Kobayashi , Shonosuke Sugasawa

In this article, we propose a penalized high dimensional semiparametric model average quantile prediction approach that is robust for forecasting the conditional quantile of the response. We consider a two-step estimation procedure. In the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-06 Jingwen Tu , Hu Yang , Chaohui Guo

The Cox regression, a semi-parametric method of survival analysis, is extremely popular in biomedical applications. The proportional hazards assumption is a key requirement in the Cox model. To accommodate non-proportional hazards, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-13 Alexander Begun , Elena Kulinskaya

We develop a maximum likelihood estimating approach for time-to-event Weibull regression models with outcome-dependent sampling, where sampling of subjects is dependent on the residual fraction of the time left to developing the event of…

Applications · Statistics 2014-08-01 Brian D. M. Tom , Vernon T. Farewell , Sheila M. Bird

We present a unified parametric framework for modal regression applicable to continuous positive distributions, with explicit support for right-censored observations. The key contribution is a systematic analytical reparameterization of…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-10 Christian E. Galarza , Víctor H. Lachos

Censored quantile regression has emerged as a prominent alternative to classical Cox's proportional hazards model or accelerated failure time model in both theoretical and applied statistics. While quantile regression has been extensively…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-27 Taehwa Choi , Seohyeon Park , Hunyong Cho , Sangbum Choi

We investigate optimal subsampling for quantile regression. We derive the asymptotic distribution of a general subsampling estimator and then derive two versions of optimal subsampling probabilities. One version minimizes the trace of the…

Computation · Statistics 2020-01-29 HaiYing Wang , Yanyuan Ma

Understanding variable dependence, particularly eliciting their statistical properties given a set of covariates, provides the mathematical foundation in practical operations management such as risk analysis and decision-making given…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-06 Yunyun Wang , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

In this paper, we consider Bayesian methods for non-parametric quantile regressions with multiple continuous predictors ranging values in the unit interval. In the first method, the quantile function is assumed to be smooth over the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-11-08 Priyam Das , Subhashis Ghosal

Doubly protected estimators are widely used for estimating the population mean of an outcome Y from a sample where the response is missing in some individuals. To compensate for the missing responses, a vector X of covariates is observed at…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-07 Julieta Molina , Mariela Sued , Marina Valdora , Víctor Yohai

Forecasting the effect of COVID-19 is essential to design policies that may prepare us to handle the pandemic. Many methods have already been proposed, particularly, to forecast reported cases and deaths at country-level and state-level.…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2020-07-14 Ajitesh Srivastava , Tianjian Xu , Viktor K. Prasanna

COVID-19 has been a public health emergency of international concern since early 2020. Reliable forecasting is critical to diminish the impact of this disease. To date, a large number of different forecasting models have been proposed,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-10-04 Yun Zhao , Yuqing Wang , Junfeng Liu , Haotian Xia , Zhenni Xu , Qinghang Hong , Zhiyang Zhou , Linda Petzold

As a competitive alternative to least squares regression, quantile regression is popular in analyzing heterogenous data. For quantile regression model specified for one single quantile level $\tau$, major difficulties of semiparametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-29 Kani Chen , Yuanyuan Lin , Zhanfeng Wang , Zhiliang Ying

Excess mortality, i.e. the difference between expected and observed mortality, is used to quantify the death toll of mortality shocks, such as infectious disease-related epidemics and pandemics. However, predictions of expected mortality…

Applications · Statistics 2025-02-18 Ainhoa-Elena Leger , Silvia Rizzi , Ugofilippo Basellini

This study extends the Bayesian nonparametric instrumental variable regression model to determine the structural effects of covariates on the conditional quantile of the response variable. The error distribution is nonparametrically…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-08-30 Genya Kobayashi , Kota Ogasawara