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The paper proposes a class of financial market models which are based on inhomogeneous telegraph processes and jump diffusions with alternating volatilities. It is assumed that the jumps occur when the tendencies and volatilities are…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-04 Nikita Ratanov

The paper develops a new class of financial market models. These models are based on generalized telegraph processes: Markov random flows with alternating velocities and jumps occurring when the velocities are switching. While such markets…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-29 Nikita Ratanov , Alexander Melnikov

Piecewise-deterministic Markov processes form a general class of non-diffusion stochastic models that involve both deterministic trajectories and random jumps at random times. In this paper, we state a new characterization of the jump rate…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-03 Romain Azaïs , Alexandre Genadot

We take a new look at the problem of disentangling the volatility and jumps processes of daily stock returns. We first provide a computational framework for the univariate stochastic volatility model with Poisson-driven jumps that offers a…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2021-04-30 Angelos Alexopoulos , Petros Dellaportas , Omiros Papaspiliopoulos

The telegraph process models a random motion with finite velocity and it is usually proposed as an alternative to diffusion models. The process describes the position of a particle moving on the real line, alternatively with constant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-12-02 Alessandro De Gregorio , Stefano M. Iacus

The problem of European-style option pricing in time-changed L\'{e}vy models in the presence of compound Poisson jumps is considered. These jumps relate to sudden large drops in stock prices induced by political or economical hits. As the…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-01-10 Roman V. Ivanov , Katsunori Ano

We analyse an additive-increase and multiplicative-decrease (aka growth-collapse) process that grows linearly in time and that experiences downward jumps at Poisson epochs that are (deterministically) proportional to its present position.…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-02-02 Remco van der Hofstad , Stella Kapodistria , Zbigniew Palmowski , Seva Shneer

We propose a new generalisation of jump-telegraph process with variable velocities and jumps. Amplitude of the jumps and velocity values are random, and they depend on the time spent by the process in the previous state of the underlying…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-11-22 Nikita Ratanov

Several two-boundary problems are solved for a special L\'{e}vy process: the Poisson process with an exponential component. The jumps of this process are controlled by a homogeneous Poisson process, the positive jump size distribution is…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-14 Tetyana Kadankova , Noël Veraverbeke

We consider a stochastic volatility model with jumps where the underlying asset price is driven by the process sum of a 2-dimensional Brownian motion and a 2-dimensional compensated Poisson process. The market is incomplete, resulting in…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-10-31 Youssef El-Khatib

In this paper, we consider a piecewise deterministic Markov process (PDMP), with known flow and deterministic transition measure, and unknown jump rate $\lambda$. To estimate nonparametrically the jump rate, we first construct an adaptive…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-12-09 Nathalie Krell , Emeline Schmisser

The result provided in this paper helps complete a unified picture of the scaling behavior in heavy-tailed stochastic models for transmission of packet traffic on high-speed communication links. Popular models include infinite source…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-17 Clément Dombry , Ingemar Kaj

In electricity markets, it is sensible to use a two-factor model with mean reversion for spot prices. One of the factors is an Ornstein-Uhlenbeck (OU) process driven by a Brownian motion and accounts for the small variations. The other…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2013-08-16 Fred Espen Benth , Salvador Ortiz-Latorre

Financial markets are a typical example of complex systems where interactions between constituents lead to many remarkable features. Here, we show that a pairwise maximum entropy model (or auto-logistic model) is able to describe switches…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-01-28 Thomas Bury

We compute and discuss the Esscher martingale transform for exponential processes, the Esscher martingale transform for linear processes, the minimal martingale measure, the class of structure preserving martingale measures, and the minimum…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2008-12-10 Friedrich Hubalek , Carlo Sgarra

A well-known stochastic model for intermittent fluctuations in physical systems is investigated. The model is given by a super-position of uncorrelated exponential pulses, and the degree of pulse overlap is interpreted as an intermittency…

Plasma Physics · Physics 2018-01-17 Audun Theodorsen , Odd Erik Garcia

We consider a backward stochastic differential equation with jumps (BSDEJ) which is driven by a Brownian motion and a Poisson random measure. We present two candidate-approximations to this BSDEJ and we prove that the solution of each…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-12-19 Giulia Di Nunno , Asma Khedher , Michele Vanmaele

We analyze waiting times for price changes in a foreign currency exchange rate. Recent empirical studies of high frequency financial data support that trades in financial markets do not follow a Poisson process and the waiting times between…

Physics and Society · Physics 2009-11-11 Naoya Sazuka

The scope of this research is the identification of unknown piecewise constant parameters of linear regression equation under the finite excitation condition. Compared to the known methods, to make the computational burden lower, only one…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-08-05 Anton Glushchenko , Konstantin Lastochkin

The formation of price in a financial market is modelled as a chain of Ising spin with three fundamental figures of trading. We investigate the time behaviour of the model, and we compare the results with the real EURO/USD change rate. By…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2008-12-02 Antonella Greco , Luca Sorriso-Valvo , Vincenzo Carbone
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