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A solution to control for nonresponse bias consists of multiplying the design weights of respondents by the inverse of estimated response probabilities to compensate for the nonrespondents. Maximum likelihood and calibration are two…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-10-27 Caren Hasler

This study presents a method for constructing a sequence of approximate solutions of increasing accuracy to general equilibrium models on nonlocal domains. The method is based on a technique originated from dynamical systems theory. The…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-16 Viktors Ajevskis

Let $\rho$ be a general law--invariant convex risk measure, for instance the average value at risk, and let $X$ be a financial loss, that is, a real random variable. In practice, either the true distribution $\mu$ of $X$ is unknown, or the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-11-02 Daniel Bartl , Ludovic Tangpi

The correct use and interpretation of models depends on several steps, two of which being the calibration by parameter estimation and the analysis of uncertainty. In the biological literature, these steps are seldom discussed together, but…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2015-08-17 André Chalom , Paulo Inácio de Knegt López de Prado

The change-plane Cox model is a popular tool for the subgroup analysis of survival data. Despite the rich literature on this model, there has been limited investigation into the asymptotic properties of the estimators of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-14 Shota Takeishi

A new family of penalty functions, adaptive to likelihood, is introduced for model selection in general regression models. It arises naturally through assuming certain types of prior distribution on the regression parameters. To study…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-26 Yang Feng , Tengfei Li , Zhiliang Ying

Computer models are used to model complex processes in various disciplines. Often, a key source of uncertainty in the behavior of complex computer models is uncertainty due to unknown model input parameters. Statistical computer model…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-08-02 Won Chang , Murali Haran , Roman Olson , Klaus Keller

Given sufficiently many components, it is often cited that finite mixture models can approximate any other probability density function (pdf) to an arbitrary degree of accuracy. Unfortunately, the nature of this approximation result is…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-08-24 T Tin Nguyen , Hien D Nguyen , Faicel Chamroukhi , Geoffrey J McLachlan

Composite likelihood provides approximate inference when the full likelihood is intractable and sub-likelihood functions of marginal events can be evaluated relatively easily. It has been successfully applied for many complex models.…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-05 Wentao Li , Rosabeth White , Dennis Prangle

Balancing safety and efficiency when planning in crowded scenarios with uncertain dynamics is challenging where it is imperative to accomplish the robot's mission without incurring any safety violations. Typically, chance constraints are…

Robotics · Computer Science 2023-02-22 Khaled A. Mustafa , Oscar de Groot , Xinwei Wang , Jens Kober , Javier Alonso-Mora

The Box-Cox symmetric distributions constitute a broad class of probability models for positive continuous data, offering flexibility in modeling skewness and tail behavior. Their parameterization allows a straightforward quantile-based…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-16 Rodrigo M. R. de Medeiros , Francisco F. Queiroz

We outline how modern likelihood theory, which provides essentially exact inferences in a variety of parametric statistical problems, may routinely be applied in practice. Although the likelihood procedures are based on analytical…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-06-23 Alessandra R. Brazzale , Anthony C. Davison

We propose a generalized extreme shock model with a possibly increasing failure threshold. While standard models assume that the crucial threshold for the system may only decrease over time, because of weakening shocks and obsolescence, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-10-21 Pasquale Cirillo , Jürg Hüsler

We prove existence of (at most denumerable many) absolutely continuous invariant probability measures for random one-dimensional dynamical systems with asymptotic expansion. If the rate of expansion (Lyapunov exponents) is bounded away from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2014-11-18 Vitor Araujo , Javier Solano

We use Lyapunov-like functions and convex optimization to propagate uncertainty in the initial condition of nonlinear systems governed by ordinary differential equations. We consider the full nonlinear dynamics without approximation,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-04 Francesca Covella , Giovanni Fantuzzi

The Equation-Free approach to efficient multiscale numerical computation marries trusted micro-scale simulations to a framework for numerical macro-scale reduction -- the patch dynamics scheme. A recent novel patch scheme empowered the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-08-27 John Maclean , J. E. Bunder , I. G. Kevrekidis , A. J. Roberts

Optimal values and solutions of empirical approximations of stochastic optimization problems can be viewed as statistical estimators of their true values. From this perspective, it is important to understand the asymptotic behavior of these…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Johannes Milz , Thomas M. Surowiec

The majority of existing probabilistic model checking case studies are based on well understood theoretical models and distributions. However, real-life probabilistic systems usually involve distribution parameters whose values are obtained…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2013-08-29 Guoxin Su , David S. Rosenblum

We study the dynamics of countable groups on their respective spaces of quasimorphisms. For cohomologically non-trivial quasimorphisms we show that there are no invariant measures and classify stationary measures. Within the equivalence…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-22 Michael Björklund , Tobias Hartnick

In the first part of the paper, we consider a discrete-time stochastic control system. We show that, under certain conditions, the set of random occupational measures generated by the state-control trajectories of the system as well as the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-12-21 Lucas Gamertsfelder