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The ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) is a widely used methodology for state estimation in partial, noisily observed dynamical systems, and for parameter estimation in inverse problems. Despite its widespread use in the geophysical sciences,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2016-09-21 Claudia Schillings , Andrew M. Stuart

Conventional approximations to Bayesian inference rely on either approximations by statistics such as mean and covariance or by point particles. Recent advances such as the ensemble Gaussian mixture filter have generalized these notions to…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-04-10 Andrey A Popov

A sequential estimator based on the Ensemble Kalman Filter for Data Assimilation of fluid flows is presented in this research work. The main feature of this estimator is that the Kalman filter update, which relies on the determination of…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2021-07-28 Gabriel Moldovan , Guillame Lehnasch , Laurent Cordier , Marcello Meldi

The non-parametric version of Amari's dually affine Information Geometry provides a practical calculus to perform computations of interest in statistical machine learning. The method uses the notion of a statistical bundle, a mathematical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-07 Giovanni Pistone

This paper focuses on designing a consistent and efficient filter for map-based visual-inertial localization. First, we propose a new Lie group with its algebra, based on which a novel invariant extended Kalman filter (invariant EKF) is…

Robotics · Computer Science 2022-04-27 Zhuqing Zhang , Yang Song , Shoudong Huang , Rong Xiong , Yue Wang

The use of model order reduction techniques in combination with ensemble-based methods for estimating the state of systems described by nonlinear partial differential equations has been of great interest in recent years in the data…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Francesco A. B. Silva , Cecilia Pagliantini , Karen Veroy

This paper develops efficient ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) implementations based on shrinkage covariance estimation. The forecast ensemble members at each step are used to estimate the background error covariance matrix via the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-03 Elias D. Nino-Ruiz , Adrian Sandu

In this work, a novel sequential Monte Carlo filter is introduced which aims at efficient sampling of high-dimensional state spaces with a limited number of particles. Particles are pushed forward from the prior to the posterior density…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-05-30 Manuel Pulido , Peter Jan vanLeeuwen

Many real-world problems require one to estimate parameters of interest, in a Bayesian framework, from data that are collected sequentially in time. Conventional methods for sampling from posterior distributions, such as {Markov Chain Monte…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-01-25 Jiangqi Wu , Linjie Wen , Peter L Green , Jinglai Li , Simon Maskell

Bayesian linear inverse problems aim to recover an unknown signal from noisy observations, incorporating prior knowledge. This paper analyses a data-dependent method to choose the scale parameter of a Gaussian prior. The method we study…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-22 Maia Tienstra , Sebastian Reich

We introduce a new multilevel ensemble Kalman filter method (MLEnKF) which consists of a hierarchy of independent samples of ensemble Kalman filters (EnKF). This new MLEnKF method is fundamentally different from the preexisting method…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-09-22 Håkon Hoel , Gaukhar Shaimerdenova , Raúl Tempone

Popular (ensemble) Kalman filter data assimilation (DA) approaches assume that the errors in both the a priori estimate of the state and those in the observations are Gaussian. For constrained variables, e.g. sea ice concentration or…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-19 Ivo Pasmans , Yumeng Chen , Tobias Sebastian Finn , Marc Bocquet , Alberto Carrassi

This paper presents a variational representation of the Bayes' law using optimal transportation theory. The variational representation is in terms of the optimal transportation between the joint distribution of the (state, observation) and…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-09-14 Amirhossein Taghvaei , Bamdad Hosseini

We address the problem of observation noise misspecification in Bayesian filtering of dynamical systems via recent advances in generalised Bayesian inference. Mis-match in tail decay between the true data generating process and an assumed…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Hans Reimann , Sebastian Reich

Counter-adversarial system design problems have lately motivated the development of inverse Bayesian filters. For example, inverse Kalman filter (I-KF) has been recently formulated to estimate the adversary's Kalman-filter-tracked estimates…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-08-11 Himali Singh , Arpan Chattopadhyay , Kumar Vijay Mishra

Filtering is concerned with online estimation of the state of a dynamical system from partial and noisy observations. In applications where the state of the system is high dimensional, ensemble Kalman filters are often the method of choice.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-07-30 Omar Al Ghattas , Jiajun Bao , Daniel Sanz-Alonso

In this paper, we propose an approach to address the problems with ambiguity in tuning the process and observation noises for a discrete-time linear Kalman filter. Conventional approaches to tuning (e.g. using normalized estimation error…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2021-08-25 Zhaozhong Chen , Christoffer Heckman , Simon Julier , Nisar Ahmed

The paper proposes a new recursive filter for non-linear systems that inherently computes a valid bound on the mean square estimation error. The proposed filter, bound based extended Kalman, (BEKF) is in the form of an extended Kalman…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2014-10-02 Gyorgy Hexner , Haim Weiss

This paper introduces a new perspective on multi-class ensemble classification that considers training an ensemble as a state estimation problem. The new perspective considers the final ensemble classifier model as a static state, which can…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-02-25 Arjun Pakrashi , Brian Mac Namee

In this paper we address the problem of estimating the posterior distribution of the static parameters of a continuous time state space model with discrete time observations by an algorithm that combines the Kalman filter and a particle…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-22 Jian He , Asma Khedher , Peter Spreij