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We study the problem of signal estimation from non-linear observations when the signal belongs to a low-dimensional set buried in a high-dimensional space. A rough heuristic often used in practice postulates that non-linear observations may…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2015-11-17 Yaniv Plan , Roman Vershynin

Standard geostatistical models assume stationarity and rely on a variogram model to account for the spatial dependence in the observed data. In some instances, this assumption that the spatial dependence structure is constant throughout the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-12-16 Dave Higdon , Jenise Swall , John Kern

In this paper, we propose a fast, well-performing, and consistent method for segmenting a piecewise-stationary, linear time series with an unknown number of breakpoints. The time series model we use is the nonparametric Locally Stationary…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-11-30 Haeran Cho , Piotr Fryzlewicz

State-space modeling has emerged as a powerful paradigm for sequence analysis in various tasks such as natural language processing, time-series forecasting, and signal processing. In this work, we propose an \emph{Adaptive State-Space…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-31 Alice Zhang , Chao Li

We study the problem of detecting and localizing multiple changes in the mean parameter of a Banach space-valued time series. The goal is to construct a collection of narrow confidence intervals, each containing at least one (or exactly…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-11 Tim Kutta , Holger Dette , Shixuan Wang

This paper provides an overview of three notable approaches for detecting anomalies in spatio-temporal data. The three review methods are selected from the framework of multivariate statistical process control (SPC), scan statistics, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-19 Ji Chen

Time-series stationarity is a property that statistical characteristics such as trend, variance, seasonality remain constant over time. It is considered fundamental to many forecasting and analysis methods. Different tests detect different…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-13 Bhanu Suraj Malla , Yuqing Hu

Six time series related to atmospheric phenomena are used as inputs for experiments offorecasting with singular spectrum analysis (SSA). Existing methods for SSA parametersselection are compared throughout their forecasting accuracy…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2024-03-26 Teodor Knapik , Adolphe Ratiarison , Hasina Razafindralambo

We propose an extension to time series with several simultaneously measured variables of the nonlinearity test, which combines the redundancy -- linear redundancy approach with the surrogate data technique. For several variables various…

comp-gas · Physics 2009-10-28 Milan Paluš

Classical and more recent tests for detecting distributional changes in multivariate time series often lack power against alternatives that involve changes in the cross-sectional dependence structure. To be able to detect such changes…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-09-16 Axel Bücher , Ivan Kojadinovic , Tom Rohmer , Johan Segers

This paper challenges the dominance of stochastic trend models by introducing the Seasonal-Trend-Stationary ARMA (STSA) framework, which represents univariate nonstationary time series as stationary fluctuations around deterministic trend…

Applications · Statistics 2025-11-26 Zhandos Abdikhadir , Terence Tai Leung Chong

We propose a method for adaptive nonlinear sequential modeling of vector-time series data. Data is modeled as a nonlinear function of past values corrupted by noise, and the underlying non-linear function is assumed to be approximately…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-11 Qiuyi Han , Jie Ding , Edoardo Airoldi , Vahid Tarokh

We develop a method for the multifractal characterization of nonstationary time series, which is based on a generalization of the detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA). We relate our multifractal DFA method to the standard partition…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-07 Jan W. Kantelhardt , Stephan A. Zschiegner , Eva Koscielny-Bunde , Armin Bunde , Shlomo Havlin , H. Eugene Stanley

We consider the change-point detection in multivariate continuous and integer valued time series. We propose a Wald-type statistic based on the estimator performed by a general contrast function; which can be constructed from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-29 Mamadou Lamine Diop , William Kengne

Dimension reduction techniques for multivariate time series decompose the observed series into a few useful independent/orthogonal univariate components. We develop a spectral domain method for multivariate second-order stationary time…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-12 Raanju R. Sundararajan

Many econometric analyses involve spatio--temporal data. A considerable amount of literature has addressed spatio--temporal models, with Spatial Dynamic Panel Data (SDPD) being widely investigated and applied. In real data applications,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-18 Maria Lucia Parrella

Localizing more sources than sensors with a sparse linear array (SLA) has long relied on minimizing a distance between two covariance matrices and recent algorithms often utilize semidefinite programming (SDP). Although deep neural network…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-03-11 Kuan-Lin Chen , Bhaskar D. Rao

Discrimination between non-stationarity and long-range dependency is a difficult and long-standing issue in modelling financial time series. This paper uses an adaptive spectral technique which jointly models the non-stationarity and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-02-12 Nick James , Roman Marchant , Richard Gerlach , Sally Cripps

Information from frequency bands in biomedical time series provides useful summaries of the observed signal. Many existing methods consider summaries of the time series obtained over a few well-known, pre-defined frequency bands of…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-01-11 Raanju R. Sundararajan , Scott A. Bruce

Performance estimation aims at estimating the loss that a predictive model will incur on unseen data. These procedures are part of the pipeline in every machine learning project and are used for assessing the overall generalisation ability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-31 Vitor Cerqueira , Luis Torgo , Igor Mozetic