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Understanding both global and layer-specific group structures is useful for uncovering complex patterns in networks with multiple interaction types. In this work, we introduce a new model, the hierarchical multiplex stochastic blockmodel…

Change-point processes are one flexible approach to model long time series. We propose a method to uncover which model parameter truly vary when a change-point is detected. Given a set of breakpoints, we use a penalized likelihood approach…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-02-09 Arnaud Dufays , Aristide Houndetoungan , Alain Coën

Multivariate time series data come as a collection of time series describing different aspects of a certain temporal phenomenon. Anomaly detection in this type of data constitutes a challenging problem yet with numerous applications in…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-11-12 Jinbo Li , Hesam Izakian , Witold Pedrycz , Iqbal Jamal

This paper considers a structural-factor approach to modeling high-dimensional time series and space-time data by decomposing individual series into trend, seasonal, and irregular components. For ease in analyzing many time series, we…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-03-19 Zhaoxing Gao , Ruey S Tsay

We aim to develop a time series modeling methodology tailored to high-dimensional environments, addressing two critical challenges: variable selection from a large pool of candidates, and the detection of structural break points, where the…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-04-15 Angelo Milfont , Alvaro Veiga

We propose a combination of cluster analysis and stochastic process analysis to characterize high-dimensional complex dynamical systems by few dominating variables. As an example, stock market data are analyzed for which the dynamical…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-10 Philip Rinn , Yuriy Stepanov , Joachim Peinke , Thomas Guhr , Rudi Schäfer

We investigate two recently proposed multivariate time series analysis techniques that aim at detecting phase synchronization clusters in spatially extended, nonstationary systems with regard to field applications. The starting point of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2010-03-15 Stephan Bialonski , Klaus Lehnertz

We propose a general statistical framework for clustering multiple time series that exhibit nonlinear dynamics into an a-priori-unknown number of sub-groups. Our motivation comes from neuroscience, where an important problem is to identify,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-03-05 Alexander Lin , Yingzhuo Zhang , Jeremy Heng , Stephen A. Allsop , Kay M. Tye , Pierre E. Jacob , Demba Ba

A novel methodology is proposed for clustering multivariate time series data using energy distance defined in Sz\'ekely and Rizzo (2013). Specifically, a dissimilarity matrix is formed using the energy distance statistic to measure…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-13 Richard A. Davis , Leon Fernandes , Konstantinos Fokianos

Clustering temporal and dynamically changing multivariate time series from real-world fields, called temporal clustering for short, has been a major challenge due to inherent complexities. Although several deep temporal clustering…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-01-13 Zhi Wang , Yanni Li , Pingping Zheng , Yiyuan Jiao

This note outlines a method for clustering time series based on a statistical model in which volatility shifts at unobserved change-points. The model accommodates some classical stylized features of returns and its relation to GARCH is…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-06-26 Nick Whiteley

Classifying subsets based on spatial and temporal features is crucial to the analysis of spatiotemporal data given the inherent spatial and temporal variability. Since no single clustering algorithm ensures optimal results, researchers have…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-20 Francis Ndikum Nji , Omar Faruque , Mostafa Cham , Janeja Vandana , Jianwu Wang

In complex systems, events occur at irregular intervals that inherently encode the underlying dynamics of the system. Analyzing the temporal clustering of these events reveals critical insights into the non-random patterns and the temporal…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-03-20 Ambedkar Sanket Sukdeo , K. Shri Vignesh , Sachin S. Gunthe , T Narayan Rao , Amit Kumar Patra , R. I. Sujith

Recent advances in engineering technologies have enabled the collection of a large number of longitudinal features. This wealth of information presents unique opportunities for researchers to investigate the complex nature of diseases and…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-27 Zihang Lu , Noirrit Kiran Chandra

In multivariate time series systems, lead-lag relationships reveal dependencies between time series when they are shifted in time relative to each other. Uncovering such relationships is valuable in downstream tasks, such as control,…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-09-19 Yichi Zhang , Mihai Cucuringu , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff , Stefan Zohren

Bayesian hierarchical modeling is a natural framework to effectively integrate data and borrow information across groups. In this paper, we address problems related to density estimation and identifying clusters across related groups, by…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-29 Huizi Zhang , Sara Wade , Natalia Bochkina

We present a data mining technique for the analysis of multichannel oscillatory timeseries data and show an application using poloidal arrays of magnetic sensors installed in the H-1 heliac. The procedure is highly automated, and scales…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-05-13 D. G. Pretty , B. D. Blackwell

How to extract useful insights from data is always a challenge, especially if the data is multidimensional. Often, the data can be organized according to certain hierarchical structure that are stemmed either from data collection process or…

Applications · Statistics 2016-04-21 Kun Yang , Wing Hung Wong

We present a data-driven method for separating complex, multiscale systems into their constituent time-scale components using a recursive implementation of dynamic mode decomposition (DMD). Local linear models are built from windowed…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2019-06-26 Daniel Dylewsky , Molei Tao , J. Nathan Kutz

Based on structured data derived from large complex systems, we computationally further develop and refine a major factor selection protocol by accommodating structural dependency and heterogeneity among many features to unravel data's…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-09-07 Hsieh Fushing , Elizabeth Chou , Ting-Li Chen