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The theory of bias-variance used to serve as a guide for model selection when applying Machine Learning algorithms. However, modern practice has shown success with over-parameterized models that were expected to overfit but did not. This…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-21 Luis Sa-Couto , Jose Miguel Ramos , Miguel Almeida , Andreas Wichert

Recent years have seen a flurry of activities in designing provably efficient nonconvex procedures for solving statistical estimation problems. Due to the highly nonconvex nature of the empirical loss, state-of-the-art procedures often…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-09 Cong Ma , Kaizheng Wang , Yuejie Chi , Yuxin Chen

This paper studies transfer learning for ridge-regularized robust linear regression in the moderate-dimensional regime, where the number of predictors is of the same order as the sample size and the regression coefficients are not assumed…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-14 Lingfeng Lyu , Xiao Guo , Zongqi Liu

Random matrix theory has become a widely useful tool in high-dimensional statistics and theoretical machine learning. However, random matrix theory is largely focused on the proportional asymptotics in which the number of columns grows…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-23 Chen Cheng , Andrea Montanari

We analyze gradient descent with randomly weighted data points in a linear regression model, under a generic weighting distribution. This includes various forms of stochastic gradient descent, importance sampling, but also extends to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-12 Gabriel Clara , Yazan Mash'al

We study grokking, the onset of generalization long after overfitting, in a classical ridge regression setting. We prove end-to-end grokking results for learning over-parameterized linear regression models using gradient descent with weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-02-09 Mingyue Xu , Gal Vardi , Itay Safran

Random feature ridge regression is often analyzed in the high-dimensional regime under the homogeneous sampling model $x_i=\Sigma^{1/2}x_i'$, where the vectors $x_i'$ have iid entries and the same covariance matrix $\Sigma$ is shared by all…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-19 Issa-Mbenard Dabo , Jérémie Bigot

This paper presents the asymptotic behavior of a linear instrumental variables (IV) estimator that uses a ridge regression penalty. The regularization tuning parameter is selected empirically by splitting the observed data into training and…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-08-27 Nandana Sengupta , Fallaw Sowell

We study the problem of learning an unknown function using random feature models. Our main contribution is an exact asymptotic analysis of such learning problems with Gaussian data. Under mild regularity conditions for the feature matrix,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-08-28 Oussama Dhifallah , Yue M. Lu

As modern machine learning models continue to advance the computational frontier, it has become increasingly important to develop precise estimates for expected performance improvements under different model and data scaling regimes.…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-13 Lechao Xiao , Hong Hu , Theodor Misiakiewicz , Yue M. Lu , Jeffrey Pennington

Ridge estimators regularize the squared Euclidean lengths of parameters. Such estimators are mathematically and computationally attractive but involve tuning parameters that can be difficult to calibrate. In this paper, we show that ridge…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-02-28 Shih-Ting Huang , Fang Xie , Johannes Lederer

`Double descent' delineates the generalization behaviour of models depending on the regime they belong to: under- or over-parameterized. The current theoretical understanding behind the occurrence of this phenomenon is primarily based on…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-15 Sidak Pal Singh , Aurelien Lucchi , Thomas Hofmann , Bernhard Schölkopf

Recent studies show that transformer-based architectures emulate gradient descent during a forward pass, contributing to in-context learning capabilities - an ability where the model adapts to new tasks based on a sequence of prompt…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-13 Karthik Duraisamy

We demonstrate the ability of hybrid regularization methods to automatically avoid the double descent phenomenon arising in the training of random feature models (RFM). The hallmark feature of the double descent phenomenon is a spike in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Kelvin Kan , James G Nagy , Lars Ruthotto

This study examines generalized cross-validation for the tuning parameter selection for ridge regression in high-dimensional misspecified linear models. The set of candidates for the tuning parameter includes not only positive values but…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-21 Akira Shinkyu

Deep neural networks are known to exhibit a `double descent' behavior as the number of parameters increases. Recently, it has also been shown that an `epochwise double descent' effect exists in which the generalization error initially…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-08-30 Cory Stephenson , Tyler Lee

General ridge estimators are widely used in the general linear model because they possess desirable properties such as linear sufficiency and linear admissibility. However, when the covariance matrix of the error term is partially unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Hirai Mukasa

In this paper, we consider nonparametric estimation over general Dirichlet metric measure spaces. Unlike the more commonly studied reproducing kernel Hilbert space, whose elements may be defined pointwise, a Dirichlet space typically only…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-27 Prem Talwai , David Simchi-Levi

This paper provides a comprehensive error analysis of learning with vector-valued random features (RF). The theory is developed for RF ridge regression in a fully general infinite-dimensional input-output setting, but nonetheless applies to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-05-24 Samuel Lanthaler , Nicholas H. Nelsen

Classical learning theory describes a well-characterised U-shaped relationship between model complexity and prediction error, reflecting a transition from underfitting in underparameterised regimes to overfitting as complexity grows. Recent…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-01 Guillermo Comesaña Cimadevila