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The note studies the problem of selecting a good enough subset out of a finite number of alternatives under a fixed simulation budget. Our work aims to maximize the posterior probability of correctly selecting a good subset. We formulate…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-05-09 Gongbo Zhang , Bin Chen , Qing-shan Jia , Yijie Peng

Many machine learning models depend on solving a large scale optimization problem. Recently, sub-sampled Newton methods have emerged to attract much attention for optimization due to their efficiency at each iteration, rectified a weakness…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-09-06 Haishan Ye , Luo Luo , Zhihua Zhang

Computation of the large sparse matrix exponential has been an important topic in many fields, such as network and finite-element analysis. The existing scaling and squaring algorithm (SSA) is not suitable for the computation of the large…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-10-12 Feng Wu , Kailing Zhang , Li Zhu , Jiayao Hu

In order to tackle the problem of sampling from heavy tailed, high dimensional distributions via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods, Yang, Latuszy\'nski, and Roberts (2022) (arXiv:2205.12112) introduces the stereographic projection as…

Computation · Statistics 2025-05-19 Cameron Bell , Krzystof Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

Sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) samplers are powerful tools for Bayesian inference but suffer from high computational costs due to their reliance on large particle ensembles for accurate estimates. We introduce persistent sampling (PS), an…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-06-24 Minas Karamanis , Uroš Seljak

Optimization software enables the solution of problems with millions of variables and associated parameters. These parameters are, however, often uncertain and represented with an analytical description of the parameter's distribution or…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-01-17 John R. Birge

We design and implement a novel algorithm for computing a multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) estimator of the cumulative distribution function of a quantity of interest in problems with random input parameters or initial conditions. Our approach…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2020-08-26 Søren Taverniers , Daniel M. Tartakovsky

In this study, we propose a projection estimation method for large-dimensional matrix factor models with cross-sectionally spiked eigenvalues. By projecting the observation matrix onto the row or column factor space, we simplify factor…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-12-04 Long Yu , Yong He , Xin-bing Kong , Xinsheng Zhang

Sampling-based algorithms solve the path planning problem by generating random samples in the search-space and incrementally growing a connectivity graph or a tree. Conventionally, the sampling strategy used in these algorithms is biased…

Robotics · Computer Science 2021-02-26 Sagar Suhas Joshi , Seth Hutchinson , Panagiotis Tsiotras

For optimization on large-scale data, exactly calculating its solution may be computationally difficulty because of the large size of the data. In this paper we consider subsampled optimization for fast approximating the exact solution. In…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-11 Rong Zhu , Jiming Jiang

Naive approaches to amortized inference in probabilistic programs with unbounded loops can produce estimators with infinite variance. This is particularly true of importance sampling inference in programs that explicitly include rejection…

We propose an efficient probabilistic method to solve a deterministic problem -- we present a randomized optimization approach that drastically reduces the enormous computational cost of optimizing designs under many load cases for both…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2017-10-11 Xiaojia Zhang , Eric de Sturler , Glaucio H. Paulino

We propose novel randomized optimization methods for high-dimensional convex problems based on restrictions of variables to random subspaces. We consider oblivious and data-adaptive subspaces and study their approximation properties via…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2020-12-15 Jonathan Lacotte , Mert Pilanci

Rare event probability estimation is an important topic in reliability analysis. Stochastic methods, such as importance sampling, have been developed to estimate such probabilities but they often fail in high dimension. In this paper, we…

Computation · Statistics 2021-08-24 Maxime El-Masri , Jérôme Morio , Florian Simatos

We consider the problem of computationally-efficient prediction from high dimensional and highly correlated predictors in challenging settings where accurate variable selection is effectively impossible. Direct application of penalization…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-08 Minerva Mukhopadhyay , David B. Dunson

We analyze a lightweight simulation-based inference method that infers simulator parameters using only a regression-based projection of the observed data. After fitting a surrogate linear regression once, the procedure simulates small…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Arya Farahi , Jonah Rose , Paul Torrey

Distribution-free uncertainty estimation for ensemble methods is increasingly desirable due to the widening deployment of multi-modal black-box predictive models. Conformal prediction is one approach that avoids such distributional…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-26 Eduardo Ochoa Rivera , Yash Patel , Ambuj Tewari

We analyze the computational efficiency of approximate Bayesian computation (ABC), which approximates a likelihood function by drawing pseudo-samples from the associated model. For the rejection sampling version of ABC, it is known that…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-18 Luke Bornn , Natesh Pillai , Aaron Smith , Dawn Woodard

I present two new methods for exactly summing a set of floating-point numbers, and then correctly rounding to the nearest floating-point number. Higher accuracy than simple summation (rounding after each addition) is important in many…

Numerical Analysis · Computer Science 2015-05-22 Radford M. Neal

Many problems in signal processing and machine learning can be formalized as weak submodular optimization tasks. For such problems, a simple greedy algorithm (\textsc{Greedy}) is guaranteed to find a solution achieving the objective with a…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2021-11-24 Abolfazl Hashemi , Haris Vikalo , Gustavo de Veciana
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